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Southern at Alabama St: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Mar 3, 2026 8:00 pm - Montgomery, AL
Odds: Alabama State by 1.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: SOU @ ALST

More Games From Mar 3, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Southern +1.5 Official TR Pick Southern 53% odds to cover
Southern +1.5 Power Rating Model Southern 57% odds to cover
Southern +1.5 Decision Tree Southern 54% odds to cover
Southern +1.5 Predictive Ratings Southern 56% odds to cover
Alabama St -1.5 Similar Games Alabama St 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record SOU adv ALST
Season 13-18-0 13-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-12-0 8-11-0
Streak L1 L3
Last 5 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 3-6-0 4-4-0
Away 10-12-0 9-14-0

Southern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Arkansas +27.0 L by 32 -5.0
11/05 Away Marquette +24.5 L by 18 +6.5
11/10 Home Ecclesia College -- W by 64 --
11/15 Home Champion Baptist -- W by 65 --
11/18 Away Washington +23.5 L by 6 +17.5
11/21 Away San Jose St +5.5 L by 14 -8.5
11/29 Away NW State -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
12/01 Home Louisiana College -- W by 53 --
12/08 Away Texas +22.0 L by 26 -4.0
12/10 Away Texas St +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/16 Away Cal Baptist +13.5 L by 8 +5.5
12/21 Away Baylor +26.0 L by 44 -18.0
12/29 Away Illinois +33.5 L by 35 -1.5
01/03 Home Texas So -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
01/05 Home Prairie View -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
01/10 Away Florida A&M -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
01/12 Away Bethune +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/17 Away Grambling +1.5 W by 18 +19.5
01/24 Home AR-Pine Bluff -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
01/28 Home Miss Valley St -20.5 W by 11 -9.5
01/31 Away Alcorn St -7.5 L by 5 -12.5
02/02 Away Jackson St -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
02/07 Home Alabama A&M -6.0 W by 13 +7.0
02/09 Home Alabama St -6.5 W by 1 -5.5
02/14 Away Prairie View -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
02/16 Away Texas So -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
02/21 Home Grambling -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
02/26 Home Florida A&M -8.5 L by 11 -19.5
02/28 Home Bethune -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
03/03 Away Alabama St +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
03/05 Away Alabama A&M +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/12 Neutral AR-Pine Bluff -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
03/13 Neutral Florida A&M -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Prairie View -3.5 L by 6 -9.5

Alabama St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/07 Away Florida St +25.0 L by 37 -12.0
11/11 Away UAB +19.5 W by 3 +22.5
11/14 Home Virginia-Lynchburg -- W by 56 --
11/17 Away Colorado +22.5 L by 28 -5.5
11/19 Away Air Force +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
11/21 Neutral IU Indy +3.0 W by 21 +24.0
11/23 Neutral SIU Edward +4.0 L by 15 -11.0
11/26 Away New Mexico +19.0 L by 6 +13.0
12/07 Away UT Martin +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
12/11 Away Missouri +26.5 L by 8 +18.5
12/17 Away Cincinnati +21.0 L by 37 -16.0
12/22 Away Memphis +20.5 L by 21 -0.5
12/29 Away Mississippi St +17.5 L by 38 -20.5
01/03 Away Miss Valley St -13.5 W by 20 +6.5
01/05 Away AR-Pine Bluff (Pick) L by 11 -11.0
01/10 Home Jackson St -7.0 L by 11 -18.0
01/12 Home Alcorn St -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
01/19 Neutral Alabama A&M -2.0 L by 4 -6.0
01/24 Away Prairie View -1.5 W by 15 +13.5
01/27 Away Texas So +2.5 L by 32 -29.5
01/31 Home Bethune +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
02/02 Home Florida A&M -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
02/07 Away Grambling +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
02/09 Away Southern +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
02/14 Home AR-Pine Bluff -4.0 W by 18 +14.0
02/16 Home Miss Valley St -16.5 W by 37 +20.5
02/19 Away Bethune +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
02/21 Away Florida A&M -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
02/28 Away Alabama A&M +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
03/03 Home Southern -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
03/05 Home Grambling -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
03/09 Neutral Alcorn St -7.5 L by 12 -19.5