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S Alabama at Texas St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 3:30 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 3, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: USA @ TXST

More Games From Dec 20, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 136.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 137.0	Similar Games	51% odds to go over
Over 136.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USA	TXST
Season	16-15-0	16-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	11-8-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	1-4-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	4-6-0
Home	5-7-0	6-9-0
Away	11-8-0	10-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

S Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Toledo	151.0	76-74	Under	-1.0
11/06	Home	Alcorn St	141.5	76-70	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Spring Hill	--	99-50	Under	--
11/13	Neutral	C Michigan	143.0	66-64	Under	-13.0
11/15	Neutral	Coppin St	133.5	72-62	Over	+0.5
11/19	Away	Jacksonville St	134.5	71-65	Over	+1.5
11/21	Away	UAB	147.5	72-80	Over	+4.5
11/30	Away	UTSA	141.0	82-58	Under	-1.0
12/02	Neutral	New Mexico St	135.5	77-75	Over	+16.5
12/05	Away	E Tennessee St	143.5	65-91	Over	+12.5
12/14	Home	N Texas	135.0	57-58	Under	-20.0
12/17	Away	UL Monroe	148.5	96-92	Over	+39.5
12/20	Away	Texas St	137.0	65-67	Under	-5.0
12/29	Home	Mobile	--	85-52	Under	--
12/31	Away	Louisiana	128.0	63-58	Under	-7.0
01/03	Away	Troy	148.5	49-59	Under	-40.5
01/10	Home	Georgia So	148.5	87-71	Over	+9.5
01/15	Home	Arkansas St	154.0	91-87	Over	+24.0
01/17	Home	Louisiana	130.5	56-59	Under	-15.5
01/22	Away	J Madison	138.5	90-83	Over	+34.5
01/29	Home	Coastal Car	140.5	53-48	Under	-39.5
01/31	Home	Georgia St	139.5	69-67	Under	-3.5
02/04	Away	App State	131.0	57-65	Under	-9.0
02/07	Home	Buffalo	144.0	81-69	Over	+6.0
02/12	Away	Southern Miss	135.5	84-78	Over	+26.5
02/14	Away	Arkansas St	149.5	92-88	Over	+30.5
02/16	Away	Marshall	150.5	80-84	Over	+13.5
02/19	Home	Texas St	137.5	82-90	Over	+34.5
02/21	Home	Troy	144.5	65-54	Under	-25.5
02/25	Home	UL Monroe	153.5	89-54	Under	-10.5
02/27	Home	Southern Miss	141.5	55-68	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Georgia So	149.5	85-94	Over	+29.5
03/17	Away	Auburn	151.5	67-78	Under	-6.5

Texas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Bowling Green	146.0	48-83	Under	-15.0
11/05	Home	Texas A&M-San Antonio	--	114-55	Under	--
11/08	Away	Tulane	146.0	71-79	Over	+4.0
11/12	Home	UTSA	147.5	80-69	Over	+1.5
11/15	Home	Texas So	144.5	77-67	Under	-0.5
11/18	Home	Abl Christian	138.5	63-49	Under	-26.5
11/21	Home	Little Rock	130.5	65-56	Under	-9.5
11/24	Home	Texas Lutheran	--	93-41	Under	--
11/28	Neutral	Seattle	136.5	52-66	Under	-18.5
11/29	Neutral	Lehigh	135.0	74-78	Over	+17.0
12/03	Away	Rice	134.0	72-77	Over	+15.0
12/10	Home	Southern	142.0	86-83	Over	+27.0
12/17	Home	Arkansas St	151.5	70-89	Over	+7.5
12/20	Home	S Alabama	137.0	67-65	Under	-5.0
12/31	Away	Troy	145.5	80-100	Over	+34.5
01/03	Away	UL Monroe	150.5	84-79	Over	+12.5
01/08	Away	Southern Miss	144.5	70-80	Over	+5.5
01/10	Away	Arkansas St	156.0	82-83	Over	+9.0
01/14	Home	Louisiana	134.0	59-54	Under	-21.0
01/17	Home	Southern Miss	140.5	74-67	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Coastal Car	140.5	70-72	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	J Madison	144.5	57-82	Under	-5.5
01/28	Home	Marshall	147.5	72-68	Under	-7.5
01/31	Home	Old Dominion	143.5	81-64	Over	+1.5
02/04	Away	Georgia So	151.0	77-71	Under	-3.0
02/07	Home	W Michigan	146.5	77-61	Under	-8.5
02/11	Home	Troy	141.0	74-62	Under	-5.0
02/14	Home	UL Monroe	149.5	95-84	Over	+29.5
02/19	Away	S Alabama	137.5	90-82	Over	+34.5
02/21	Away	Louisiana	134.5	54-67	Under	-13.5
02/27	Home	App State	135.5	60-57	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Southern Miss	140.5	77-81	Over	+17.5