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S Alabama at Texas St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 3:30 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 3, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: USA @ TXST

More Games From Dec 20, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Texas St -1.5 Official TR Pick Texas St 51% odds to cover
Texas St -1.5 Decision Tree Texas St 52% odds to cover
S Alabama +3.0 Power Rating Model S Alabama 73% odds to cover
S Alabama +3.0 Similar Games S Alabama 52% odds to cover
S Alabama +1.5 Predictive Ratings S Alabama 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USA adv TXST
Season 17-14-0 14-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 8-10-1
Streak W1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 7-3-0 7-3-0
Home 6-6-0 10-5-0
Away 11-8-0 4-10-1

S Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Toledo +3.0 W by 2 +5.0
11/06 Home Alcorn St -19.0 W by 6 -13.0
11/08 Home Spring Hill -- W by 49 --
11/13 Neutral C Michigan -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/15 Neutral Coppin St -19.5 W by 10 -9.5
11/19 Away Jacksonville St +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
11/21 Away UAB +7.5 L by 8 -0.5
11/30 Away UTSA -2.0 W by 24 +22.0
12/02 Neutral New Mexico St +4.0 W by 2 +6.0
12/05 Away E Tennessee St +6.5 L by 26 -19.5
12/14 Home N Texas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/17 Away UL Monroe -9.5 W by 4 -5.5
12/20 Away Texas St +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
12/29 Home Mobile -- W by 33 --
12/31 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/03 Away Troy +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
01/10 Home Georgia So -1.5 W by 16 +14.5
01/15 Home Arkansas St +4.0 W by 4 +8.0
01/17 Home Louisiana -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
01/22 Away J Madison +4.0 W by 7 +11.0
01/29 Home Coastal Car -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/31 Home Georgia St -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
02/04 Away App State +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/07 Home Buffalo -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
02/12 Away Southern Miss +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
02/14 Away Arkansas St +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/16 Away Marshall +6.0 L by 4 +2.0
02/19 Home Texas St -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
02/21 Home Troy +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
02/25 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 35 +20.5
02/27 Home Southern Miss -4.5 L by 13 -17.5
03/06 Neutral Georgia So -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
03/17 Away Auburn +18.5 L by 11 +7.5

Texas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Bowling Green +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
11/05 Home Texas A&M-San Antonio -- W by 59 --
11/08 Away Tulane +12.5 L by 8 +4.5
11/12 Home UTSA -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
11/15 Home Texas So -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
11/18 Home Abl Christian -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
11/21 Home Little Rock -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
11/24 Home Texas Lutheran -- W by 52 --
11/28 Neutral Seattle +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
11/29 Neutral Lehigh -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
12/03 Away Rice +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/10 Home Southern -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
12/17 Home Arkansas St +5.0 L by 19 -14.0
12/20 Home S Alabama -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
12/31 Away Troy +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/03 Away UL Monroe -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/08 Away Southern Miss +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/10 Away Arkansas St +11.5 L by 1 +10.5
01/14 Home Louisiana -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
01/17 Home Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
01/22 Away Coastal Car +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/24 Away J Madison +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/28 Home Marshall +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/31 Home Old Dominion -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
02/04 Away Georgia So +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
02/07 Home W Michigan -6.0 W by 16 +10.0
02/11 Home Troy +5.0 W by 12 +17.0
02/14 Home UL Monroe -14.0 W by 11 -3.0
02/19 Away S Alabama +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
02/21 Away Louisiana -3.0 L by 13 -16.0
02/27 Home App State -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/06 Neutral Southern Miss -1.5 L by 4 -5.5