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Southern at Baylor: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Dec 21, 2025 1:00 pm - Waco, TX
Odds: Baylor by 26, Total Points: 169.5

Matchup Menu: SOU @ BAY

More Games From Dec 21, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 169.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 169.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 169.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SOU	BAY
Season	20-11-0	17-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	13-8-0	9-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	7-3-0	5-5-0
Home	7-2-0	11-5-0
Away	13-9-0	6-11-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Arkansas	149.5	77-109	Over	+36.5
11/05	Away	Marquette	156.0	82-100	Over	+26.0
11/10	Home	Ecclesia College	--	115-51	Under	--
11/15	Home	Champion Baptist	--	129-64	Under	--
11/18	Away	Washington	157.5	93-99	Over	+34.5
11/21	Away	San Jose St	150.5	66-80	Under	-4.5
11/29	Away	NW State	144.5	75-73	Over	+3.5
12/01	Home	Louisiana College	--	101-48	Under	--
12/08	Away	Texas	158.5	69-95	Over	+5.5
12/10	Away	Texas St	142.0	83-86	Over	+27.0
12/16	Away	Cal Baptist	156.0	67-75	Under	-14.0
12/21	Away	Baylor	169.5	67-111	Over	+8.5
12/29	Away	Illinois	163.5	55-90	Under	-18.5
01/03	Home	Texas So	153.5	84-73	Over	+3.5
01/05	Home	Prairie View	160.5	85-89	Over	+13.5
01/10	Away	Florida A&M	153.5	59-67	Under	-27.5
01/12	Away	Bethune	151.5	77-73	Under	-1.5
01/17	Away	Grambling	153.5	71-53	Under	-29.5
01/24	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	153.5	74-75	Under	-4.5
01/28	Home	Miss Valley St	142.0	80-69	Over	+7.0
01/31	Away	Alcorn St	148.0	73-78	Over	+3.0
02/02	Away	Jackson St	152.5	96-91	Over	+34.5
02/07	Home	Alabama A&M	143.0	81-68	Over	+6.0
02/09	Home	Alabama St	149.0	69-68	Under	-12.0
02/14	Away	Prairie View	161.5	87-82	Over	+7.5
02/16	Away	Texas So	151.5	73-74	Under	-4.5
02/21	Home	Grambling	142.5	87-73	Over	+17.5
02/26	Home	Florida A&M	147.5	71-82	Over	+5.5
02/28	Home	Bethune	153.5	79-82	Over	+7.5
03/03	Away	Alabama St	154.5	71-64	Under	-19.5
03/05	Away	Alabama A&M	145.5	88-85	Over	+27.5
03/12	Neutral	AR-Pine Bluff	151.5	84-81	Over	+13.5
03/13	Neutral	Florida A&M	141.5	73-70	Over	+1.5
03/14	Neutral	Prairie View	146.5	66-72	Under	-8.5

Baylor Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	UT Rio Grande	154.5	96-81	Over	+22.5
11/09	Home	Washington	156.5	78-69	Under	-9.5
11/14	Home	Tarleton St	149.5	94-81	Over	+25.5
11/24	Neutral	Creighton	155.5	81-74	Under	-0.5
11/25	Neutral	St John's	159.5	81-96	Over	+17.5
11/26	Neutral	San Diego St	148.5	91-81	Over	+23.5
12/02	Home	Sacramento St	158.5	110-88	Over	+39.5
12/06	Away	Memphis	158.5	71-78	Under	-9.5
12/10	Home	Norfolk St	148.5	97-67	Over	+15.5
12/19	Home	Alcorn St	161.0	113-56	Over	+8.0
12/21	Home	Southern	169.5	111-67	Over	+8.5
12/29	Home	Arlington Baptist College	--	124-61	Under	--
01/03	Away	TCU	154.5	63-69	Under	-22.5
01/07	Home	Iowa St	155.5	60-70	Under	-25.5
01/10	Home	Houston	142.5	55-77	Under	-10.5
01/13	Away	Oklahoma St	165.5	94-79	Over	+7.5
01/16	Away	Kansas	156.0	62-80	Under	-14.0
01/20	Home	Texas Tech	154.5	73-92	Over	+10.5
01/24	Home	TCU	147.0	90-97	Over	+40.0
01/28	Away	Cincinnati	146.5	57-67	Under	-22.5
01/31	Away	West Virginia	139.0	63-53	Under	-23.0
02/04	Home	Colorado	156.0	86-67	Under	-3.0
02/07	Away	Iowa St	151.5	69-72	Under	-10.5
02/10	Home	BYU	158.5	94-99	Over	+34.5
02/14	Neutral	Louisville	162.5	71-82	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	Kansas St	158.5	74-90	Over	+5.5
02/21	Home	Arizona St	157.5	73-68	Under	-16.5
02/24	Home	Arizona	155.5	80-87	Over	+11.5
02/28	Away	UCF	160.5	87-86	Over	+12.5
03/04	Away	Houston	143.5	64-77	Under	-2.5
03/07	Home	Utah	148.5	101-75	Over	+27.5
03/10	Neutral	Arizona St	152.5	79-83	Over	+9.5
04/01	Neutral	Minnesota	147.0	67-48	Under	-32.0
04/04	Neutral	Oklahoma	158.5	69-82	Under	-7.5