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Southern at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Dec 21, 2025 1:00 pm - Waco, TX
Odds: Baylor by 26, Total Points: 169.5

Matchup Menu: SOU @ BAY

More Games From Dec 21, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Baylor -25.5 Official TR Pick Baylor 50% odds to cover
Baylor -25.5 Similar Games Baylor 59% odds to cover
Baylor -25.5 Decision Tree Baylor 50% odds to cover
Southern +25.5 Power Rating Model Southern 78% odds to cover
Southern +25.5 Predictive Ratings Southern 68% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record SOU adv BAY
Season 13-18-0 15-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-12-0 8-11-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 3-6-0 7-9-0
Away 10-12-0 8-9-0

Southern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Arkansas +27.0 L by 32 -5.0
11/05 Away Marquette +24.5 L by 18 +6.5
11/10 Home Ecclesia College -- W by 64 --
11/15 Home Champion Baptist -- W by 65 --
11/18 Away Washington +23.5 L by 6 +17.5
11/21 Away San Jose St +5.5 L by 14 -8.5
11/29 Away NW State -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
12/01 Home Louisiana College -- W by 53 --
12/08 Away Texas +22.0 L by 26 -4.0
12/10 Away Texas St +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/16 Away Cal Baptist +13.5 L by 8 +5.5
12/21 Away Baylor +26.0 L by 44 -18.0
12/29 Away Illinois +33.5 L by 35 -1.5
01/03 Home Texas So -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
01/05 Home Prairie View -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
01/10 Away Florida A&M -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
01/12 Away Bethune +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/17 Away Grambling +1.5 W by 18 +19.5
01/24 Home AR-Pine Bluff -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
01/28 Home Miss Valley St -20.5 W by 11 -9.5
01/31 Away Alcorn St -7.5 L by 5 -12.5
02/02 Away Jackson St -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
02/07 Home Alabama A&M -6.0 W by 13 +7.0
02/09 Home Alabama St -6.5 W by 1 -5.5
02/14 Away Prairie View -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
02/16 Away Texas So -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
02/21 Home Grambling -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
02/26 Home Florida A&M -8.5 L by 11 -19.5
02/28 Home Bethune -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
03/03 Away Alabama St +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
03/05 Away Alabama A&M +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/12 Neutral AR-Pine Bluff -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
03/13 Neutral Florida A&M -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Prairie View -3.5 L by 6 -9.5

Baylor Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home UT Rio Grande -24.5 W by 15 -9.5
11/09 Home Washington -6.0 W by 9 +3.0
11/14 Home Tarleton St -23.5 W by 13 -10.5
11/24 Neutral Creighton -3.0 W by 7 +4.0
11/25 Neutral St John's +6.5 L by 15 -8.5
11/26 Neutral San Diego St -2.0 W by 10 +8.0
12/02 Home Sacramento St -29.5 W by 22 -7.5
12/06 Away Memphis -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
12/10 Home Norfolk St -27.0 W by 30 +3.0
12/19 Home Alcorn St -35.5 W by 57 +21.5
12/21 Home Southern -26.0 W by 44 +18.0
12/29 Home Arlington Baptist College -- W by 63 --
01/03 Away TCU +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
01/07 Home Iowa St +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
01/10 Home Houston +2.5 L by 22 -19.5
01/13 Away Oklahoma St -1.5 W by 15 +13.5
01/16 Away Kansas +7.5 L by 18 -10.5
01/20 Home Texas Tech +2.5 L by 19 -16.5
01/24 Home TCU -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
01/28 Away Cincinnati +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
01/31 Away West Virginia +3.0 W by 10 +13.0
02/04 Home Colorado -8.0 W by 19 +11.0
02/07 Away Iowa St +14.0 L by 3 +11.0
02/10 Home BYU +3.0 L by 5 -2.0
02/14 Neutral Louisville +7.0 L by 11 -4.0
02/17 Away Kansas St -4.0 L by 16 -20.0
02/21 Home Arizona St -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
02/24 Home Arizona +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/28 Away UCF +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
03/04 Away Houston +13.5 L by 13 +0.5
03/07 Home Utah -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/10 Neutral Arizona St -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
04/01 Neutral Minnesota -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
04/04 Neutral Oklahoma -1.5 L by 13 -14.5