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Miami at NC State: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 14, 2026 4:00 pm - Raleigh, NC
Odds: NC State by 6.5, Total Points: 158

Matchup Menu: MIA @ NCST

More Games From Feb 14, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
NC State -6.5 Official TR Pick NC State 53% odds to cover
NC State -6.5 Decision Tree NC State 54% odds to cover
Miami +6.5 Power Rating Model Miami 69% odds to cover
Miami +6.5 Similar Games Miami 64% odds to cover
Miami +6.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv NCST
Season 18-15-1 16-17-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-9-1 9-10-1
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 2-3-0 1-4-0
Last 10 6-4-0 2-8-0
Home 7-9-1 7-8-1
Away 11-6-0 9-9-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Jacksonville -20.0 W by 17 -3.0
11/06 Home Bethune -16.5 W by 40 +23.5
11/10 Home Stetson -34.0 W by 41 +7.0
11/16 Neutral Florida +11.0 L by 14 -3.0
11/20 Home Elon -20.0 W by 27 +7.0
11/23 Home Delaware St -- W by 56 --
11/27 Neutral BYU +7.0 L by 10 -3.0
11/28 Neutral Georgetown -5.5 W by 13 +7.5
12/02 Away Mississippi +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
12/06 Home Southern Miss -19.0 W by 24 +5.0
12/13 Home UL Monroe -36.0 W by 25 -11.0
12/16 Home Florida Intl -22.5 W by 17 -5.5
12/21 Home N Florida -37.5 W by 38 +0.5
12/30 Home Pittsburgh -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
01/07 Away Wake Forest +1.0 W by 4 +5.0
01/10 Home Georgia Tech -15.5 W by 10 -5.5
01/13 Away Notre Dame -5.0 W by 12 +7.0
01/17 Away Clemson +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
01/20 Home Florida St -11.0 L by 2 -13.0
01/24 Away Syracuse -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/28 Home Stanford -9.0 W by 9 0.0
01/31 Home California -11.5 L by 1 -12.5
02/07 Away Boston College -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
02/10 Home North Carolina +1.0 W by 9 +10.0
02/14 Away NC State +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
02/17 Home Virginia Tech -8.0 W by 1 -7.0
02/21 Away Virginia +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
02/24 Away Florida St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
02/28 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 22 +6.5
03/04 Away SMU +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
03/07 Home Louisville -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
03/12 Neutral Louisville +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Virginia +3.5 L by 22 -18.5
03/20 Neutral Missouri -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/22 Neutral Purdue +7.5 L by 10 -2.5

NC State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home NC Central -31.0 W by 48 +17.0
11/07 Home UAB -20.0 W by 24 +4.0
11/12 Home NC Greensboro -30.5 W by 46 +15.5
11/17 Home VCU -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
11/24 Neutral Seton Hall -7.5 L by 11 -18.5
11/25 Neutral Boise St -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
11/26 Neutral Texas -1.0 L by 5 -6.0
12/03 Away Auburn +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
12/06 Home NC Asheville -28.0 W by 12 -16.0
12/10 Home Liberty -12.5 W by 40 +27.5
12/13 Home Kansas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/17 Neutral Texas So -34.0 W by 36 +2.0
12/21 Neutral Mississippi -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
12/31 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 13 +3.0
01/03 Home Virginia -4.0 L by 15 -19.0
01/06 Away Boston College -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
01/10 Away Florida St -4.5 W by 44 +39.5
01/17 Home Georgia Tech -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
01/20 Away Clemson +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
01/24 Away Pittsburgh -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
01/27 Home Syracuse -11.0 W by 20 +9.0
01/31 Away Wake Forest -6.0 W by 18 +12.0
02/03 Away SMU (Pick) W by 1 +1.0
02/07 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 9 0.0
02/09 Away Louisville +7.5 L by 41 -33.5
02/14 Home Miami -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
02/17 Home North Carolina -8.0 W by 24 +16.0
02/24 Away Virginia +6.5 L by 29 -22.5
02/28 Away Notre Dame -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
03/02 Home Duke +9.5 L by 29 -19.5
03/07 Home Stanford -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
03/11 Neutral Pittsburgh -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
03/12 Neutral Virginia +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
03/17 Neutral Texas -1.5 L by 2 -3.5