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Miami at SMU: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Mar 4, 2026 7:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: SMU by 1.5, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ SMU

More Games From Mar 4, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 156.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 156.5	Similar Games	59% odds to go under
Under 156.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIA	SMU
Season	21-12-1	21-12-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-8-1	12-7-1
Streak	Ov 3	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-3-1
Home	12-4-1	10-8-0
Away	9-8-0	11-4-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Jacksonville	142.5	86-69	Over	+12.5
11/06	Home	Bethune	155.0	101-61	Over	+7.0
11/10	Home	Stetson	162.0	102-61	Over	+1.0
11/16	Neutral	Florida	171.5	68-82	Under	-21.5
11/20	Home	Elon	164.5	99-72	Over	+6.5
11/23	Home	Delaware St	--	97-41	Under	--
11/27	Neutral	BYU	165.0	62-72	Under	-31.0
11/28	Neutral	Georgetown	152.0	78-65	Under	-9.0
12/02	Away	Mississippi	145.5	75-66	Under	-4.5
12/06	Home	Southern Miss	145.5	88-64	Over	+6.5
12/13	Home	UL Monroe	153.5	104-79	Over	+29.5
12/16	Home	Florida Intl	161.5	98-81	Over	+17.5
12/21	Home	N Florida	170.5	105-67	Over	+1.5
12/30	Home	Pittsburgh	145.0	76-69	Push	0.0
01/07	Away	Wake Forest	157.5	81-77	Over	+0.5
01/10	Home	Georgia Tech	156.5	91-81	Over	+15.5
01/13	Away	Notre Dame	143.0	81-69	Over	+7.0
01/17	Away	Clemson	143.0	59-69	Under	-15.0
01/20	Home	Florida St	163.5	63-65	Under	-35.5
01/24	Away	Syracuse	150.5	85-76	Over	+10.5
01/28	Home	Stanford	147.5	79-70	Over	+1.5
01/31	Home	California	149.5	85-86	Over	+21.5
02/07	Away	Boston College	141.5	74-68	Over	+0.5
02/10	Home	North Carolina	156.5	75-66	Under	-15.5
02/14	Away	NC State	158.0	77-76	Under	-5.0
02/17	Home	Virginia Tech	148.5	67-66	Under	-15.5
02/21	Away	Virginia	146.5	83-86	Over	+22.5
02/24	Away	Florida St	153.5	83-73	Over	+2.5
02/28	Home	Boston College	143.5	76-54	Under	-13.5
03/04	Away	SMU	156.5	77-69	Under	-10.5
03/07	Home	Louisville	155.5	89-92	Over	+25.5
03/12	Neutral	Louisville	152.5	78-73	Under	-1.5
03/13	Neutral	Virginia	145.5	62-84	Over	+0.5
03/20	Neutral	Missouri	145.5	80-66	Over	+0.5
03/22	Neutral	Purdue	147.5	69-79	Over	+0.5

SMU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Tarleton St	145.0	96-76	Over	+27.0
11/06	Home	Texas A&M-CC	160.5	69-58	Under	-33.5
11/11	Home	Murray St	164.5	102-91	Over	+28.5
11/15	Home	Butler	164.0	87-85	Over	+8.0
11/18	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	168.5	106-60	Under	-2.5
11/21	Home	Arkansas St	172.5	100-69	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Radford	165.5	89-72	Under	-4.5
11/28	Away	Mississippi St	162.5	87-81	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Vanderbilt	165.5	69-88	Under	-8.5
12/07	Neutral	Texas A&M	164.0	93-80	Over	+9.0
12/13	Neutral	LSU	158.5	77-89	Over	+7.5
12/21	Home	C Arkansas	157.0	99-82	Over	+24.0
12/28	Home	CS Fullerton	170.5	110-63	Over	+2.5
01/03	Home	North Carolina	155.5	97-83	Over	+24.5
01/07	Away	Clemson	149.5	70-74	Under	-5.5
01/10	Away	Duke	156.0	75-82	Over	+1.0
01/14	Home	Virginia Tech	156.5	77-76	Under	-3.5
01/17	Home	Virginia	153.0	68-72	Under	-13.0
01/20	Away	Wake Forest	157.5	91-79	Over	+12.5
01/24	Home	Florida St	164.5	83-80	Under	-1.5
01/31	Away	Louisville	161.5	74-88	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	NC State	159.5	83-84	Over	+7.5
02/07	Away	Pittsburgh	147.5	86-67	Over	+5.5
02/10	Home	Notre Dame	154.0	89-81	Over	+16.0
02/14	Away	Syracuse	157.0	78-79	Push	0.0
02/17	Home	Louisville	168.0	95-85	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Boston College	150.5	94-70	Over	+13.5
02/25	Away	California	163.5	69-73	Under	-21.5
02/28	Away	Stanford	155.5	75-95	Over	+14.5
03/04	Home	Miami	156.5	69-77	Under	-10.5
03/07	Away	Florida St	158.5	78-91	Over	+10.5
03/10	Neutral	Syracuse	154.5	86-69	Over	+0.5
03/11	Neutral	Louisville	164.5	58-62	Under	-44.5
03/18	Neutral	Miami OH	161.5	79-89	Over	+6.5