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Miami at SMU: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Mar 4, 2026 7:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: SMU by 1.5, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ SMU

More Games From Mar 4, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
SMU -1.5 Official TR Pick SMU 53% odds to cover
SMU -1.5 Similar Games SMU 55% odds to cover
SMU -1.5 Decision Tree SMU 53% odds to cover
SMU -1.5 Predictive Ratings SMU 57% odds to cover
Miami +1.5 Power Rating Model Miami 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv SMU
Season 18-15-1 14-19-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-9-1 8-11-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 4-6-0
Home 7-9-1 7-11-0
Away 11-6-0 7-8-1

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Jacksonville -20.0 W by 17 -3.0
11/06 Home Bethune -16.5 W by 40 +23.5
11/10 Home Stetson -34.0 W by 41 +7.0
11/16 Neutral Florida +11.0 L by 14 -3.0
11/20 Home Elon -20.0 W by 27 +7.0
11/23 Home Delaware St -- W by 56 --
11/27 Neutral BYU +7.0 L by 10 -3.0
11/28 Neutral Georgetown -5.5 W by 13 +7.5
12/02 Away Mississippi +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
12/06 Home Southern Miss -19.0 W by 24 +5.0
12/13 Home UL Monroe -36.0 W by 25 -11.0
12/16 Home Florida Intl -22.5 W by 17 -5.5
12/21 Home N Florida -37.5 W by 38 +0.5
12/30 Home Pittsburgh -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
01/07 Away Wake Forest +1.0 W by 4 +5.0
01/10 Home Georgia Tech -15.5 W by 10 -5.5
01/13 Away Notre Dame -5.0 W by 12 +7.0
01/17 Away Clemson +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
01/20 Home Florida St -11.0 L by 2 -13.0
01/24 Away Syracuse -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/28 Home Stanford -9.0 W by 9 0.0
01/31 Home California -11.5 L by 1 -12.5
02/07 Away Boston College -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
02/10 Home North Carolina +1.0 W by 9 +10.0
02/14 Away NC State +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
02/17 Home Virginia Tech -8.0 W by 1 -7.0
02/21 Away Virginia +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
02/24 Away Florida St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
02/28 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 22 +6.5
03/04 Away SMU +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
03/07 Home Louisville -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
03/12 Neutral Louisville +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Virginia +3.5 L by 22 -18.5
03/20 Neutral Missouri -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/22 Neutral Purdue +7.5 L by 10 -2.5

SMU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Tarleton St -21.5 W by 20 -1.5
11/06 Home Texas A&M-CC -23.5 W by 11 -12.5
11/11 Home Murray St -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
11/15 Home Butler -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
11/18 Home AR-Pine Bluff -34.5 W by 46 +11.5
11/21 Home Arkansas St -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
11/24 Home Radford -25.0 W by 17 -8.0
11/28 Away Mississippi St +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
12/03 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 19 -8.5
12/07 Neutral Texas A&M +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/13 Neutral LSU +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/21 Home C Arkansas -24.5 W by 17 -7.5
12/28 Home CS Fullerton -22.0 W by 47 +25.0
01/03 Home North Carolina -1.0 W by 14 +13.0
01/07 Away Clemson +4.0 L by 4 0.0
01/10 Away Duke +16.0 L by 7 +9.0
01/14 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 1 -8.0
01/17 Home Virginia +2.0 L by 4 -2.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
01/24 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/31 Away Louisville +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
02/03 Home NC State (Pick) L by 1 -1.0
02/07 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 19 +15.0
02/10 Home Notre Dame -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
02/14 Away Syracuse -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
02/17 Home Louisville +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
02/21 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
02/25 Away California -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Away Stanford -1.5 L by 20 -21.5
03/04 Home Miami -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
03/07 Away Florida St +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/10 Neutral Syracuse -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
03/11 Neutral Louisville +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/18 Neutral Miami OH -7.5 L by 10 -17.5