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Miami vs. Louisville: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Mar 12, 2026 2:30 pm - Charlotte, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 1.5, Total Points: 152.5

Matchup Menu: MIA vs. LOU

More Games From Mar 12, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 153.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 153.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 153.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIA	LOU
Season	21-12-1	15-20-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-8-1	8-12-0
Streak	Ov 3	Un 1
Last 5	4-1-0	2-3-0
Last 10	6-4-0	4-6-0
Home	12-4-1	6-11-0
Away	9-8-0	9-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Jacksonville	142.5	86-69	Over	+12.5
11/06	Home	Bethune	155.0	101-61	Over	+7.0
11/10	Home	Stetson	162.0	102-61	Over	+1.0
11/16	Neutral	Florida	171.5	68-82	Under	-21.5
11/20	Home	Elon	164.5	99-72	Over	+6.5
11/23	Home	Delaware St	--	97-41	Under	--
11/27	Neutral	BYU	165.0	62-72	Under	-31.0
11/28	Neutral	Georgetown	152.0	78-65	Under	-9.0
12/02	Away	Mississippi	145.5	75-66	Under	-4.5
12/06	Home	Southern Miss	145.5	88-64	Over	+6.5
12/13	Home	UL Monroe	153.5	104-79	Over	+29.5
12/16	Home	Florida Intl	161.5	98-81	Over	+17.5
12/21	Home	N Florida	170.5	105-67	Over	+1.5
12/30	Home	Pittsburgh	145.0	76-69	Push	0.0
01/07	Away	Wake Forest	157.5	81-77	Over	+0.5
01/10	Home	Georgia Tech	156.5	91-81	Over	+15.5
01/13	Away	Notre Dame	143.0	81-69	Over	+7.0
01/17	Away	Clemson	143.0	59-69	Under	-15.0
01/20	Home	Florida St	163.5	63-65	Under	-35.5
01/24	Away	Syracuse	150.5	85-76	Over	+10.5
01/28	Home	Stanford	147.5	79-70	Over	+1.5
01/31	Home	California	149.5	85-86	Over	+21.5
02/07	Away	Boston College	141.5	74-68	Over	+0.5
02/10	Home	North Carolina	156.5	75-66	Under	-15.5
02/14	Away	NC State	158.0	77-76	Under	-5.0
02/17	Home	Virginia Tech	148.5	67-66	Under	-15.5
02/21	Away	Virginia	146.5	83-86	Over	+22.5
02/24	Away	Florida St	153.5	83-73	Over	+2.5
02/28	Home	Boston College	143.5	76-54	Under	-13.5
03/04	Away	SMU	156.5	77-69	Under	-10.5
03/07	Home	Louisville	155.5	89-92	Over	+25.5
03/12	Neutral	Louisville	152.5	78-73	Under	-1.5
03/13	Neutral	Virginia	145.5	62-84	Over	+0.5
03/20	Neutral	Missouri	145.5	80-66	Over	+0.5
03/22	Neutral	Purdue	147.5	69-79	Over	+0.5

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Carolina St	159.0	104-45	Under	-10.0
11/06	Home	Jackson St	165.5	106-70	Over	+10.5
11/11	Home	Kentucky	173.0	96-88	Over	+11.0
11/15	Home	Ohio	175.0	106-81	Over	+12.0
11/21	Neutral	Cincinnati	164.0	74-64	Under	-26.0
11/24	Home	E Michigan	162.5	87-46	Under	-29.5
11/26	Home	NJIT	158.5	104-47	Under	-7.5
12/03	Away	Arkansas	166.5	80-89	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Indiana	162.5	87-78	Over	+2.5
12/13	Home	Memphis	162.5	99-73	Over	+9.5
12/16	Away	Tennessee	156.5	62-83	Under	-11.5
12/20	Home	Montana	165.0	94-54	Under	-17.0
12/30	Away	California	159.0	90-70	Over	+1.0
01/02	Away	Stanford	157.5	76-80	Under	-1.5
01/06	Home	Duke	160.5	73-84	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	Boston College	151.0	75-62	Under	-14.0
01/13	Home	Virginia	155.0	70-79	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	Pittsburgh	152.5	100-59	Over	+6.5
01/24	Home	Virginia Tech	160.5	85-71	Under	-4.5
01/26	Away	Duke	157.0	52-83	Under	-22.0
01/31	Home	SMU	161.5	88-74	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Notre Dame	156.5	76-65	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	Wake Forest	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	NC State	161.5	118-77	Over	+33.5
02/14	Neutral	Baylor	162.5	82-71	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	SMU	168.0	85-95	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Georgia Tech	167.5	87-70	Under	-10.5
02/23	Away	North Carolina	162.5	74-77	Under	-11.5
02/28	Away	Clemson	146.5	75-80	Over	+8.5
03/03	Home	Syracuse	159.5	77-62	Under	-20.5
03/07	Away	Miami	155.5	92-89	Over	+25.5
03/11	Neutral	SMU	164.5	62-58	Under	-44.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami	152.5	73-78	Under	-1.5
03/19	Neutral	S Florida	160.5	83-79	Over	+1.5
03/21	Neutral	Michigan St	151.5	69-77	Under	-5.5