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Florida St vs. Duke: Recap
Thursday Mar 12, 2026 7:00 pm -
Charlotte, NC
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Duke by 16.5,
Total Points:
150.5
Matchup Menu: FSU vs. DUKE
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | FSU | 5.9% | ||
| DUKE | 94.1% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE -16.5 | FSU | 48.9% | ||
| DUKE | 51.1% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 150.5 | Over | 48.9% | ||
| Under | 51.1% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | FSU | -3.2% | ||
| DUKE | -1.1% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 66.6 | 67.0 | 79 |
| DUKE | 83.4 | 83.5 | 80 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | FSU | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 80.4 | 81.6 |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.4 | +18.0 |
| Assists/Game | 14.3 | 16.6 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 35.3 | 40.3 |
| Effective FG % | 52.3% | 56.7% |
| Off Rebound % | 29.3% | 36.8% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.347 | 0.382 |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 13.4% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | FSU | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 77.9 | 63.6 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 52.2% | 46.2% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 22.2 | 26.4 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Steals/Game | 7.9 | 7.4 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 18.3 | 15.5 |