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Alabama St at Florida St: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Nov 7, 2025 7:00 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Florida State by 25, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: ALST @ FSU

More Games From Nov 7, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 166.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 166.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 166.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ALST	FSU
Season	14-17-0	17-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	12-8-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 4
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	7-3-0
Home	2-6-0	8-9-0
Away	12-11-0	9-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Alabama St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/07	Away	Florida St	166.5	64-101	Under	-1.5
11/11	Away	UAB	164.5	77-74	Under	-13.5
11/14	Home	Virginia-Lynchburg	--	124-68	Under	--
11/17	Away	Colorado	157.5	66-94	Over	+2.5
11/19	Away	Air Force	138.5	64-66	Under	-8.5
11/21	Neutral	IU Indy	182.5	101-80	Under	-1.5
11/23	Neutral	SIU Edward	142.0	68-83	Over	+9.0
11/26	Away	New Mexico	148.0	87-93	Over	+32.0
12/07	Away	UT Martin	144.0	64-74	Under	-6.0
12/11	Away	Missouri	155.5	77-85	Over	+6.5
12/17	Away	Cincinnati	145.5	51-88	Under	-6.5
12/22	Away	Memphis	151.5	67-88	Over	+3.5
12/29	Away	Mississippi St	154.0	56-94	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Miss Valley St	144.0	89-69	Over	+14.0
01/05	Away	AR-Pine Bluff	159.5	79-90	Over	+9.5
01/10	Home	Jackson St	153.0	64-75	Under	-14.0
01/12	Home	Alcorn St	151.5	81-66	Under	-4.5
01/19	Neutral	Alabama A&M	146.5	69-73	Under	-4.5
01/24	Away	Prairie View	158.5	95-80	Over	+16.5
01/27	Away	Texas So	154.5	64-96	Over	+5.5
01/31	Home	Bethune	153.5	54-69	Under	-30.5
02/02	Home	Florida A&M	140.5	79-66	Over	+4.5
02/07	Away	Grambling	144.0	47-57	Under	-40.0
02/09	Away	Southern	149.0	68-69	Under	-12.0
02/14	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	150.5	79-61	Under	-10.5
02/16	Home	Miss Valley St	141.5	92-55	Over	+5.5
02/19	Away	Bethune	147.5	71-82	Over	+5.5
02/21	Away	Florida A&M	144.5	63-76	Under	-5.5
02/28	Away	Alabama A&M	143.5	89-88	Over	+33.5
03/03	Home	Southern	154.5	64-71	Under	-19.5
03/05	Home	Grambling	144.5	63-65	Under	-16.5
03/09	Neutral	Alcorn St	141.5	65-77	Over	+0.5

Florida St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Alcorn St	157.0	108-76	Over	+27.0
11/07	Home	Alabama St	166.5	101-64	Under	-1.5
11/11	Away	Florida	180.5	76-78	Under	-26.5
11/18	Home	UT Martin	165.0	87-73	Under	-5.0
11/21	Home	Georgia So	175.5	98-72	Under	-5.5
11/25	Home	CS Bakersfield	159.5	89-59	Under	-11.5
11/28	Neutral	Texas A&M	175.0	59-95	Under	-21.0
12/02	Home	Georgia	176.5	73-107	Over	+3.5
12/06	Neutral	Houston	148.5	67-82	Over	+0.5
12/13	Neutral	UMass	165.5	95-103	Over	+32.5
12/16	Away	Dayton	163.0	69-97	Over	+3.0
12/19	Home	Miss Valley St	164.5	96-49	Under	-19.5
12/22	Home	Jacksonville	160.0	87-63	Under	-10.0
12/30	Away	North Carolina	166.5	66-79	Under	-21.5
01/03	Home	Duke	163.0	87-91	Over	+15.0
01/10	Home	NC State	160.0	69-113	Over	+22.0
01/13	Away	Syracuse	160.5	86-94	Over	+19.5
01/17	Home	Wake Forest	168.5	68-69	Under	-31.5
01/20	Away	Miami	163.5	65-63	Under	-35.5
01/24	Away	SMU	164.5	80-83	Under	-1.5
01/28	Home	California	157.5	63-61	Under	-33.5
01/31	Home	Stanford	150.5	88-80	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Notre Dame	153.0	82-79	Over	+8.0
02/10	Home	Virginia	156.0	58-61	Under	-37.0
02/14	Away	Virginia Tech	156.5	92-69	Over	+4.5
02/17	Home	Boston College	148.0	80-72	Over	+4.0
02/21	Away	Clemson	143.5	70-65	Under	-8.5
02/24	Home	Miami	153.5	73-83	Over	+2.5
02/28	Away	Georgia Tech	158.5	80-71	Under	-7.5
03/04	Away	Pittsburgh	144.5	75-74	Over	+4.5
03/07	Home	SMU	158.5	91-78	Over	+10.5
03/11	Neutral	California	154.5	95-89	Over	+29.5
03/12	Neutral	Duke	150.5	79-80	Over	+8.5