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Alabama St at Florida St: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Nov 7, 2025 7:00 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Florida State by 25, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: ALST @ FSU

More Games From Nov 7, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Florida St -25.5 Official TR Pick Florida St 52% odds to cover
Florida St -25.5 Similar Games Florida St 51% odds to cover
Florida St -25.5 Decision Tree Florida St 52% odds to cover
Alabama St +25.5 Power Rating Model Alabama St 86% odds to cover
Alabama St +25.5 Predictive Ratings Alabama St 78% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ALST adv FSU
Season 13-18-0 19-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-0 12-7-1
Streak L3 W3
Last 5 1-4-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 4-4-0 10-6-1
Away 9-14-0 9-7-0

Alabama St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/07 Away Florida St +25.0 L by 37 -12.0
11/11 Away UAB +19.5 W by 3 +22.5
11/14 Home Virginia-Lynchburg -- W by 56 --
11/17 Away Colorado +22.5 L by 28 -5.5
11/19 Away Air Force +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
11/21 Neutral IU Indy +3.0 W by 21 +24.0
11/23 Neutral SIU Edward +4.0 L by 15 -11.0
11/26 Away New Mexico +19.0 L by 6 +13.0
12/07 Away UT Martin +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
12/11 Away Missouri +26.5 L by 8 +18.5
12/17 Away Cincinnati +21.0 L by 37 -16.0
12/22 Away Memphis +20.5 L by 21 -0.5
12/29 Away Mississippi St +17.5 L by 38 -20.5
01/03 Away Miss Valley St -13.5 W by 20 +6.5
01/05 Away AR-Pine Bluff (Pick) L by 11 -11.0
01/10 Home Jackson St -7.0 L by 11 -18.0
01/12 Home Alcorn St -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
01/19 Neutral Alabama A&M -2.0 L by 4 -6.0
01/24 Away Prairie View -1.5 W by 15 +13.5
01/27 Away Texas So +2.5 L by 32 -29.5
01/31 Home Bethune +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
02/02 Home Florida A&M -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
02/07 Away Grambling +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
02/09 Away Southern +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
02/14 Home AR-Pine Bluff -4.0 W by 18 +14.0
02/16 Home Miss Valley St -16.5 W by 37 +20.5
02/19 Away Bethune +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
02/21 Away Florida A&M -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
02/28 Away Alabama A&M +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
03/03 Home Southern -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
03/05 Home Grambling -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
03/09 Neutral Alcorn St -7.5 L by 12 -19.5

Florida St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Alcorn St -27.0 W by 32 +5.0
11/07 Home Alabama St -25.0 W by 37 +12.0
11/11 Away Florida +18.0 L by 2 +16.0
11/18 Home UT Martin -20.0 W by 14 -6.0
11/21 Home Georgia So -18.5 W by 26 +7.5
11/25 Home CS Bakersfield -25.0 W by 30 +5.0
11/28 Neutral Texas A&M -1.5 L by 36 -37.5
12/02 Home Georgia -1.0 L by 34 -35.0
12/06 Neutral Houston +13.0 L by 15 -2.0
12/13 Neutral UMass -13.0 L by 8 -21.0
12/16 Away Dayton +7.0 L by 28 -21.0
12/19 Home Miss Valley St -39.5 W by 47 +7.5
12/22 Home Jacksonville -23.5 W by 24 +0.5
12/30 Away North Carolina +12.0 L by 13 -1.0
01/03 Home Duke +16.5 L by 4 +12.5
01/10 Home NC State +4.5 L by 44 -39.5
01/13 Away Syracuse +5.0 L by 8 -3.0
01/17 Home Wake Forest +1.0 L by 1 0.0
01/20 Away Miami +11.0 W by 2 +13.0
01/24 Away SMU +12.0 L by 3 +9.0
01/28 Home California -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
01/31 Home Stanford -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
02/07 Away Notre Dame +1.0 W by 3 +4.0
02/10 Home Virginia +8.0 L by 3 +5.0
02/14 Away Virginia Tech +5.0 W by 23 +28.0
02/17 Home Boston College -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
02/21 Away Clemson +8.5 W by 5 +13.5
02/24 Home Miami +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
02/28 Away Georgia Tech -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
03/04 Away Pittsburgh -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/07 Home SMU -1.5 W by 13 +11.5
03/11 Neutral California -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Duke +16.5 L by 1 +15.5