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Alabama St at Mississippi St: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Dec 29, 2025 7:30 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 17.5, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: ALST @ MSST

More Games From Dec 29, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 154.0	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 154.0	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 154.0	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ALST	MSST
Season	14-17-0	16-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	5-5-0
Home	2-6-0	5-11-0
Away	12-11-0	11-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Alabama St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/07	Away	Florida St	166.5	64-101	Under	-1.5
11/11	Away	UAB	164.5	77-74	Under	-13.5
11/14	Home	Virginia-Lynchburg	--	124-68	Under	--
11/17	Away	Colorado	157.5	66-94	Over	+2.5
11/19	Away	Air Force	138.5	64-66	Under	-8.5
11/21	Neutral	IU Indy	182.5	101-80	Under	-1.5
11/23	Neutral	SIU Edward	142.0	68-83	Over	+9.0
11/26	Away	New Mexico	148.0	87-93	Over	+32.0
12/07	Away	UT Martin	144.0	64-74	Under	-6.0
12/11	Away	Missouri	155.5	77-85	Over	+6.5
12/17	Away	Cincinnati	145.5	51-88	Under	-6.5
12/22	Away	Memphis	151.5	67-88	Over	+3.5
12/29	Away	Mississippi St	154.0	56-94	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Miss Valley St	144.0	89-69	Over	+14.0
01/05	Away	AR-Pine Bluff	159.5	79-90	Over	+9.5
01/10	Home	Jackson St	153.0	64-75	Under	-14.0
01/12	Home	Alcorn St	151.5	81-66	Under	-4.5
01/19	Neutral	Alabama A&M	146.5	69-73	Under	-4.5
01/24	Away	Prairie View	158.5	95-80	Over	+16.5
01/27	Away	Texas So	154.5	64-96	Over	+5.5
01/31	Home	Bethune	153.5	54-69	Under	-30.5
02/02	Home	Florida A&M	140.5	79-66	Over	+4.5
02/07	Away	Grambling	144.0	47-57	Under	-40.0
02/09	Away	Southern	149.0	68-69	Under	-12.0
02/14	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	150.5	79-61	Under	-10.5
02/16	Home	Miss Valley St	141.5	92-55	Over	+5.5
02/19	Away	Bethune	147.5	71-82	Over	+5.5
02/21	Away	Florida A&M	144.5	63-76	Under	-5.5
02/28	Away	Alabama A&M	143.5	89-88	Over	+33.5
03/03	Home	Southern	154.5	64-71	Under	-19.5
03/05	Home	Grambling	144.5	63-65	Under	-16.5
03/09	Neutral	Alcorn St	141.5	65-77	Over	+0.5

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5