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Alabama St at Mississippi St: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Dec 29, 2025 7:30 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 17.5, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: ALST @ MSST

More Games From Dec 29, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Alabama St +18.5 Official TR Pick Alabama St 50% odds to cover
Alabama St +18.5 Power Rating Model Alabama St 74% odds to cover
Alabama St +18.5 Decision Tree Alabama St 50% odds to cover
Mississippi St -18.5 Similar Games Mississippi St 65% odds to cover
Mississippi St -18.5 Predictive Ratings Mississippi St 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ALST adv MSST
Season 13-18-0 10-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-0 6-13-0
Streak L3 L6
Last 5 1-4-0 0-5-0
Last 10 4-6-0 2-8-0
Home 4-4-0 4-12-0
Away 9-14-0 6-10-0

Alabama St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/07 Away Florida St +25.0 L by 37 -12.0
11/11 Away UAB +19.5 W by 3 +22.5
11/14 Home Virginia-Lynchburg -- W by 56 --
11/17 Away Colorado +22.5 L by 28 -5.5
11/19 Away Air Force +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
11/21 Neutral IU Indy +3.0 W by 21 +24.0
11/23 Neutral SIU Edward +4.0 L by 15 -11.0
11/26 Away New Mexico +19.0 L by 6 +13.0
12/07 Away UT Martin +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
12/11 Away Missouri +26.5 L by 8 +18.5
12/17 Away Cincinnati +21.0 L by 37 -16.0
12/22 Away Memphis +20.5 L by 21 -0.5
12/29 Away Mississippi St +17.5 L by 38 -20.5
01/03 Away Miss Valley St -13.5 W by 20 +6.5
01/05 Away AR-Pine Bluff (Pick) L by 11 -11.0
01/10 Home Jackson St -7.0 L by 11 -18.0
01/12 Home Alcorn St -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
01/19 Neutral Alabama A&M -2.0 L by 4 -6.0
01/24 Away Prairie View -1.5 W by 15 +13.5
01/27 Away Texas So +2.5 L by 32 -29.5
01/31 Home Bethune +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
02/02 Home Florida A&M -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
02/07 Away Grambling +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
02/09 Away Southern +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
02/14 Home AR-Pine Bluff -4.0 W by 18 +14.0
02/16 Home Miss Valley St -16.5 W by 37 +20.5
02/19 Away Bethune +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
02/21 Away Florida A&M -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
02/28 Away Alabama A&M +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
03/03 Home Southern -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
03/05 Home Grambling -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
03/09 Neutral Alcorn St -7.5 L by 12 -19.5

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5