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Southern Miss at LSU: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Dec 29, 2025 8:00 pm - Baton Rouge, LA
Odds: Louisiana State by 21.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: USM @ LSU

More Games From Dec 29, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 154.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 154.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 154.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USM	LSU
Season	20-12-0	15-15-2
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-7-0	8-9-2
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 3
Last 5	4-1-0	4-1-0
Last 10	7-3-0	6-4-0
Home	4-7-0	7-8-2
Away	16-5-0	8-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Miss Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Buffalo	154.0	79-85	Over	+10.0
11/06	Home	Tougaloo	--	93-57	Under	--
11/09	Away	South Carolina	147.5	79-83	Over	+14.5
11/13	Away	Grambling	147.5	70-75	Under	-2.5
11/18	Home	William Carey	--	82-59	Under	--
11/22	Neutral	N Florida	155.0	92-83	Over	+20.0
11/23	Neutral	UT Martin	150.0	70-60	Under	-20.0
12/03	Away	Radford	153.0	82-75	Over	+4.0
12/06	Away	Miami	145.5	64-88	Over	+6.5
12/08	Home	Grambling	142.5	68-60	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	Mississippi	138.5	67-71	Under	-0.5
12/18	Home	Louisiana	132.5	62-54	Under	-16.5
12/20	Home	Arkansas St	155.5	86-93	Over	+23.5
12/29	Away	LSU	154.5	62-90	Under	-2.5
01/01	Away	UL Monroe	154.5	87-73	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Louisiana	129.5	74-67	Over	+11.5
01/08	Home	Texas St	144.5	80-70	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	UL Monroe	155.5	70-60	Under	-25.5
01/14	Away	Troy	145.5	65-91	Over	+10.5
01/17	Away	Texas St	140.5	67-74	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Georgia St	144.5	62-69	Under	-13.5
01/24	Away	Coastal Car	143.5	67-85	Over	+8.5
01/29	Home	App State	134.5	63-70	Under	-1.5
01/31	Home	J Madison	143.0	73-65	Under	-5.0
02/04	Away	Marshall	147.5	77-81	Over	+10.5
02/07	Home	Kent St	150.5	66-65	Under	-19.5
02/12	Home	S Alabama	135.5	78-84	Over	+26.5
02/14	Home	Troy	144.5	69-65	Under	-10.5
02/21	Home	Old Dominion	147.5	86-81	Over	+19.5
02/24	Away	Arkansas St	158.5	84-89	Over	+14.5
02/27	Away	S Alabama	141.5	68-55	Under	-18.5
03/05	Neutral	J Madison	143.5	86-80	Over	+22.5
03/06	Neutral	Texas St	140.5	81-77	Over	+17.5
03/07	Neutral	App State	137.5	86-73	Over	+21.5
03/08	Neutral	Troy	143.5	70-78	Over	+4.5

LSU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	Tarleton St	149.5	96-60	Over	+6.5
11/10	Home	New Orleans	162.5	93-58	Under	-11.5
11/13	Home	Florida Intl	158.5	98-81	Over	+20.5
11/18	Home	Alcorn St	156.5	107-81	Over	+31.5
11/21	Home	Omaha	163.5	99-73	Over	+8.5
11/28	Neutral	Drake	151.5	71-62	Under	-18.5
11/29	Neutral	DePaul	152.5	96-63	Over	+6.5
12/03	Away	Boston College	149.0	78-69	Under	-2.0
12/07	Neutral	Texas Tech	154.5	58-82	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	SMU	158.5	89-77	Over	+7.5
12/19	Home	SE Louisiana	145.0	78-65	Under	-2.0
12/22	Home	Prairie View	161.5	104-90	Over	+32.5
12/29	Home	Southern Miss	154.5	90-62	Under	-2.5
01/03	Away	Texas A&M	168.0	72-75	Under	-21.0
01/06	Home	South Carolina	146.0	68-78	Push	0.0
01/10	Away	Vanderbilt	159.0	73-84	Under	-2.0
01/14	Home	Kentucky	151.5	74-75	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Missouri	148.0	78-70	Push	0.0
01/20	Away	Florida	158.5	61-79	Under	-18.5
01/24	Away	Arkansas	164.5	81-85	Over	+1.5
01/28	Home	Mississippi St	154.5	66-80	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	South Carolina	148.5	92-87	Over	+30.5
02/07	Home	Georgia	162.0	71-83	Under	-8.0
02/10	Home	Arkansas	159.0	62-91	Under	-6.0
02/14	Away	Tennessee	143.5	63-73	Under	-7.5
02/17	Away	Texas	150.5	85-88	Over	+22.5
02/21	Home	Alabama	171.5	83-90	Over	+1.5
02/25	Away	Mississippi	148.5	106-99	Over	+56.5
02/28	Home	Oklahoma	156.5	67-83	Under	-6.5
03/03	Away	Auburn	155.5	74-88	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Texas A&M	160.5	91-94	Over	+24.5
03/11	Neutral	Kentucky	151.5	82-87	Over	+17.5