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Southern Miss at LSU: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Dec 29, 2025 8:00 pm - Baton Rouge, LA
Odds: Louisiana State by 21.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: USM @ LSU

More Games From Dec 29, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Southern Miss +20.0 Official TR Pick Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
Southern Miss +20.0 Power Rating Model Southern Miss 70% odds to cover
Southern Miss +20.0 Decision Tree Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
Southern Miss +20.0 Predictive Ratings Southern Miss 51% odds to cover
LSU -20.0 Similar Games LSU 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USM adv LSU
Season 16-16-0 18-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-10-0 11-8-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 8-2-0 5-5-0
Home 5-6-0 7-10-0
Away 11-10-0 11-4-0

Southern Miss Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Buffalo +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/06 Home Tougaloo -- W by 36 --
11/09 Away South Carolina +17.0 L by 4 +13.0
11/13 Away Grambling +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
11/18 Home William Carey -- W by 23 --
11/22 Neutral N Florida -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/23 Neutral UT Martin -- W by 10 --
12/03 Away Radford +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
12/06 Away Miami +19.0 L by 24 -5.0
12/08 Home Grambling -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
12/13 Neutral Mississippi +13.0 L by 4 +9.0
12/18 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/20 Home Arkansas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/29 Away LSU +21.5 L by 28 -6.5
01/01 Away UL Monroe -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
01/03 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
01/08 Home Texas St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/10 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
01/14 Away Troy +9.0 L by 26 -17.0
01/17 Away Texas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/22 Away Georgia St +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Coastal Car +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
01/29 Home App State +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/31 Home J Madison +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/04 Away Marshall +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/07 Home Kent St +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/12 Home S Alabama -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/14 Home Troy +5.0 W by 4 +9.0
02/21 Home Old Dominion -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
02/24 Away Arkansas St +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
02/27 Away S Alabama +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/05 Neutral J Madison +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/06 Neutral Texas St +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
03/07 Neutral App State +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/08 Neutral Troy +5.5 L by 8 -2.5

LSU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home Tarleton St -15.0 W by 36 +21.0
11/10 Home New Orleans -19.5 W by 35 +15.5
11/13 Home Florida Intl -21.5 W by 17 -4.5
11/18 Home Alcorn St -32.5 W by 26 -6.5
11/21 Home Omaha -21.0 W by 26 +5.0
11/28 Neutral Drake -11.5 W by 9 -2.5
11/29 Neutral DePaul -5.5 W by 33 +27.5
12/03 Away Boston College -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
12/07 Neutral Texas Tech +5.5 L by 24 -18.5
12/13 Neutral SMU -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/19 Home SE Louisiana -24.5 W by 13 -11.5
12/22 Home Prairie View -29.5 W by 14 -15.5
12/29 Home Southern Miss -21.5 W by 28 +6.5
01/03 Away Texas A&M +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/06 Home South Carolina -7.5 L by 10 -17.5
01/10 Away Vanderbilt +13.5 L by 11 +2.5
01/14 Home Kentucky +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/17 Home Missouri -1.0 W by 8 +7.0
01/20 Away Florida +15.5 L by 18 -2.5
01/24 Away Arkansas +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
01/28 Home Mississippi St -7.0 L by 14 -21.0
01/31 Away South Carolina -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/07 Home Georgia +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
02/10 Home Arkansas +4.5 L by 29 -24.5
02/14 Away Tennessee +14.5 L by 10 +4.5
02/17 Away Texas +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
02/21 Home Alabama +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/25 Away Mississippi +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
02/28 Home Oklahoma -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
03/03 Away Auburn +10.5 L by 14 -3.5
03/07 Home Texas A&M +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Kentucky +8.5 L by 5 +3.5