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Florida at Mississippi: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 12:00 pm - Oxford, MS
Odds: Florida by 13.5, Total Points: 151

Matchup Menu: FLA @ MISS

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 150.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 150.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 150.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	FLA	MISS
Season	14-20-1	21-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-11-1	14-8-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	6-8-1	11-5-0
Away	8-12-0	10-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Florida Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	Arizona	163.5	87-93	Over	+16.5
11/06	Home	N Florida	169.0	104-64	Under	-1.0
11/11	Home	Florida St	180.5	78-76	Under	-26.5
11/16	Neutral	Miami	171.5	82-68	Under	-21.5
11/21	Home	Merrimack	158.5	80-45	Under	-33.5
11/27	Neutral	TCU	155.5	80-84	Over	+8.5
11/28	Neutral	Providence	168.5	90-78	Under	-0.5
12/02	Away	Duke	157.5	66-67	Under	-24.5
12/09	Neutral	UConn	145.5	73-77	Over	+4.5
12/13	Neutral	G Washington	163.0	80-70	Under	-13.0
12/17	Home	St Francis PA	156.5	102-61	Over	+6.5
12/21	Home	Colgate	156.5	90-60	Under	-6.5
12/29	Home	Dartmouth	160.5	94-72	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Missouri	154.5	74-76	Under	-4.5
01/06	Home	Georgia	173.0	92-77	Under	-4.0
01/10	Home	Tennessee	151.5	91-67	Over	+6.5
01/13	Away	Oklahoma	157.5	96-79	Over	+17.5
01/17	Away	Vanderbilt	165.0	98-94	Over	+27.0
01/20	Home	LSU	158.5	79-61	Under	-18.5
01/24	Home	Auburn	162.5	67-76	Under	-19.5
01/28	Away	South Carolina	152.0	95-48	Under	-9.0
02/01	Home	Alabama	177.0	100-77	Push	0.0
02/07	Away	Texas A&M	167.0	86-67	Under	-14.0
02/11	Away	Georgia	165.0	86-66	Under	-13.0
02/14	Home	Kentucky	155.0	92-83	Over	+20.0
02/17	Home	South Carolina	154.5	76-62	Under	-16.5
02/21	Away	Mississippi	151.0	94-75	Over	+18.0
02/25	Away	Texas	158.5	84-71	Under	-3.5
02/28	Home	Arkansas	168.5	111-77	Over	+19.5
03/03	Home	Mississippi St	161.5	108-74	Over	+20.5
03/07	Away	Kentucky	162.5	84-77	Under	-1.5
03/13	Neutral	Kentucky	160.5	71-63	Under	-26.5
03/14	Neutral	Vanderbilt	161.5	74-91	Over	+3.5
03/20	Neutral	Prairie View	152.5	114-55	Over	+16.5
03/22	Neutral	Iowa	145.5	72-73	Under	-0.5

Mississippi Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	SE Louisiana	143.5	88-58	Over	+2.5
11/07	Home	UL Monroe	150.0	86-65	Over	+1.0
11/11	Home	Memphis	151.5	83-77	Over	+8.5
11/14	Home	CS Bakersfield	141.5	82-60	Over	+0.5
11/18	Home	Austin Peay	146.0	72-65	Under	-9.0
11/25	Neutral	Iowa	140.5	69-74	Over	+2.5
11/26	Neutral	Utah	144.5	74-75	Over	+4.5
12/02	Home	Miami	145.5	66-75	Under	-4.5
12/06	Away	St John's	151.0	58-63	Under	-30.0
12/13	Neutral	Southern Miss	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
12/17	Neutral	Alabama A&M	135.0	80-66	Over	+11.0
12/21	Neutral	NC State	148.5	62-76	Under	-10.5
12/29	Home	Alcorn St	148.5	79-43	Under	-26.5
01/03	Away	Oklahoma	146.5	70-86	Over	+9.5
01/07	Home	Arkansas	152.0	87-94	Over	+29.0
01/10	Home	Missouri	143.5	76-69	Over	+1.5
01/14	Away	Georgia	158.5	97-95	Over	+33.5
01/17	Away	Mississippi St	148.0	68-67	Under	-13.0
01/20	Home	Auburn	151.5	66-78	Under	-7.5
01/24	Away	Kentucky	145.5	63-72	Under	-10.5
01/31	Away	Vanderbilt	149.5	68-71	Under	-10.5
02/03	Away	Tennessee	140.5	66-84	Over	+9.5
02/07	Away	Texas	144.5	68-79	Over	+2.5
02/11	Home	Alabama	163.0	74-93	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	Mississippi St	144.0	78-90	Over	+24.0
02/18	Away	Texas A&M	155.0	77-80	Over	+2.0
02/21	Home	Florida	151.0	75-94	Over	+18.0
02/25	Home	LSU	148.5	99-106	Over	+56.5
02/28	Away	Auburn	153.5	85-79	Over	+10.5
03/03	Home	Vanderbilt	155.5	86-89	Over	+19.5
03/07	Home	South Carolina	147.5	61-64	Under	-22.5
03/11	Neutral	Texas	147.5	76-66	Under	-5.5
03/12	Neutral	Georgia	156.5	76-72	Under	-8.5
03/13	Neutral	Alabama	166.5	80-79	Under	-7.5
03/14	Neutral	Arkansas	159.5	90-93	Over	+23.5