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Florida at Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 12:00 pm - Oxford, MS
Odds: Florida by 13.5, Total Points: 151

Matchup Menu: FLA @ MISS

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Florida -13.5 Official TR Pick Florida 51% odds to cover
Florida -13.5 Decision Tree Florida 51% odds to cover
Mississippi +13.5 Power Rating Model Mississippi 61% odds to cover
Mississippi +13.5 Similar Games Mississippi 59% odds to cover
Mississippi +13.5 Predictive Ratings Mississippi 59% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record FLA adv MISS
Season 18-17-0 15-20-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 14-6-0 12-10-0
Streak L1 W4
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 6-4-0 7-3-0
Home 7-8-0 4-12-0
Away 11-9-0 11-8-0

Florida Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Neutral Arizona -3.5 L by 6 -9.5
11/06 Home N Florida -43.0 W by 40 -3.0
11/11 Home Florida St -18.0 W by 2 -16.0
11/16 Neutral Miami -11.0 W by 14 +3.0
11/21 Home Merrimack -36.5 W by 35 -1.5
11/27 Neutral TCU -11.0 L by 4 -15.0
11/28 Neutral Providence -13.5 W by 12 -1.5
12/02 Away Duke +9.5 L by 1 +8.5
12/09 Neutral UConn +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
12/13 Neutral G Washington -13.5 W by 10 -3.5
12/17 Home St Francis PA -44.5 W by 41 -3.5
12/21 Home Colgate -27.5 W by 30 +2.5
12/29 Home Dartmouth -35.5 W by 22 -13.5
01/03 Away Missouri -7.5 L by 2 -9.5
01/06 Home Georgia -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
01/10 Home Tennessee -4.5 W by 24 +19.5
01/13 Away Oklahoma -7.5 W by 17 +9.5
01/17 Away Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
01/20 Home LSU -15.5 W by 18 +2.5
01/24 Home Auburn -11.5 L by 9 -20.5
01/28 Away South Carolina -13.5 W by 47 +33.5
02/01 Home Alabama -9.0 W by 23 +14.0
02/07 Away Texas A&M -5.0 W by 19 +14.0
02/11 Away Georgia -9.5 W by 20 +10.5
02/14 Home Kentucky -13.0 W by 9 -4.0
02/17 Home South Carolina -23.5 W by 14 -9.5
02/21 Away Mississippi -13.5 W by 19 +5.5
02/25 Away Texas -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
02/28 Home Arkansas -9.5 W by 34 +24.5
03/03 Home Mississippi St -20.5 W by 34 +13.5
03/07 Away Kentucky -5.5 W by 7 +1.5
03/13 Neutral Kentucky -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
03/14 Neutral Vanderbilt -7.5 L by 17 -24.5
03/20 Neutral Prairie View -35.5 W by 59 +23.5
03/22 Neutral Iowa -10.5 L by 1 -11.5

Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home SE Louisiana -22.0 W by 30 +8.0
11/07 Home UL Monroe -38.0 W by 21 -17.0
11/11 Home Memphis -9.5 W by 6 -3.5
11/14 Home CS Bakersfield -23.0 W by 22 -1.0
11/18 Home Austin Peay -19.5 W by 7 -12.5
11/25 Neutral Iowa +4.5 L by 5 -0.5
11/26 Neutral Utah -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/02 Home Miami -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
12/06 Away St John's +13.5 L by 5 +8.5
12/13 Neutral Southern Miss -13.0 W by 4 -9.0
12/17 Neutral Alabama A&M -20.0 W by 14 -6.0
12/21 Neutral NC State +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
12/29 Home Alcorn St -28.5 W by 36 +7.5
01/03 Away Oklahoma +7.0 L by 16 -9.0
01/07 Home Arkansas +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
01/10 Home Missouri (Pick) W by 7 +7.0
01/14 Away Georgia +11.0 W by 2 +13.0
01/17 Away Mississippi St +4.0 W by 1 +5.0
01/20 Home Auburn +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
01/24 Away Kentucky +11.0 L by 9 +2.0
01/31 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
02/03 Away Tennessee +13.0 L by 18 -5.0
02/07 Away Texas +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
02/11 Home Alabama +6.5 L by 19 -12.5
02/14 Home Mississippi St -3.5 L by 12 -15.5
02/18 Away Texas A&M +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
02/21 Home Florida +13.5 L by 19 -5.5
02/25 Home LSU -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
02/28 Away Auburn +11.5 W by 6 +17.5
03/03 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
03/07 Home South Carolina -6.5 L by 3 -9.5
03/11 Neutral Texas +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
03/12 Neutral Georgia +5.5 W by 4 +9.5
03/13 Neutral Alabama +12.5 W by 1 +13.5
03/14 Neutral Arkansas +8.5 L by 3 +5.5