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Liberty at Dayton: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 12:30 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 9.5, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: LIB @ DAY

More Games From Dec 20, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 142.5	Official TR Pick	56% odds to go under
Under 142.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 142.5	Decision Tree	56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	LIB	DAY
Season	18-13-0	13-24-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	13-8-0	5-16-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	6-4-0	2-8-0
Home	8-5-0	4-14-0
Away	10-8-0	9-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Liberty Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Kentucky Christian	--	98-57	Under	--
11/07	Home	Charleston	145.5	90-75	Over	+19.5
11/09	Home	Florida Atlantic	151.5	88-68	Over	+4.5
11/17	Home	Piedmont International	--	98-46	Under	--
11/24	Neutral	Vermont	142.0	79-73	Over	+10.0
11/25	Neutral	Towson	135.5	69-72	Over	+5.5
11/26	Neutral	Bradley	144.5	64-74	Under	-6.5
12/06	Home	Coppin St	143.5	92-50	Under	-1.5
12/10	Away	NC State	149.5	45-85	Under	-19.5
12/16	Home	Midway	--	95-57	Under	--
12/20	Away	Dayton	142.5	64-61	Under	-17.5
12/28	Away	Florida Intl	152.5	97-94	Over	+38.5
01/02	Home	Kennesaw St	158.0	81-73	Under	-4.0
01/04	Home	Jacksonville St	134.5	78-69	Over	+12.5
01/08	Away	Louisiana Tech	135.5	72-56	Under	-7.5
01/10	Away	Sam Houston	154.5	82-74	Over	+1.5
01/15	Home	New Mexico St	144.5	73-71	Under	-0.5
01/17	Home	UTEP	137.5	80-69	Over	+11.5
01/21	Away	W Kentucky	148.5	76-69	Under	-3.5
01/24	Home	Delaware	134.5	67-51	Under	-16.5
01/29	Away	Middle Tenn	135.5	81-65	Over	+10.5
02/04	Away	Delaware	132.5	75-69	Over	+11.5
02/07	Home	Missouri St	140.5	79-76	Over	+14.5
02/11	Away	New Mexico St	143.5	77-75	Over	+8.5
02/14	Away	UTEP	137.5	73-64	Under	-0.5
02/19	Home	Florida Intl	152.5	90-89	Over	+26.5
02/21	Home	W Kentucky	147.5	73-94	Over	+19.5
02/26	Away	Kennesaw St	152.5	65-74	Under	-13.5
02/28	Away	Jacksonville St	139.5	81-78	Over	+19.5
03/05	Home	Louisiana Tech	136.5	71-76	Over	+10.5
03/07	Home	Sam Houston	152.5	79-72	Under	-1.5
03/11	Neutral	Missouri St	142.5	69-77	Over	+3.5
03/17	Away	George Mason	141.5	77-71	Over	+6.5
03/21	Away	Nevada	146.5	63-73	Under	-10.5

Dayton Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Canisius	142.0	88-48	Under	-6.0
11/08	Home	UMBC	154.5	77-71	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Cincinnati	148.5	62-74	Under	-12.5
11/15	Home	Bethune	148.5	91-82	Over	+24.5
11/19	Away	Marquette	151.5	77-71	Under	-3.5
11/22	Home	NC Central	148.5	74-55	Under	-19.5
11/27	Neutral	Georgetown	145.0	84-79	Over	+18.0
11/28	Neutral	BYU	150.5	79-83	Over	+11.5
12/02	Home	E Tennessee St	140.5	88-71	Over	+18.5
12/06	Neutral	Virginia	147.5	73-86	Over	+11.5
12/13	Home	N Florida	159.5	84-61	Under	-14.5
12/16	Home	Florida St	163.0	97-69	Over	+3.0
12/20	Home	Liberty	142.5	61-64	Under	-17.5
12/31	Home	Fordham	140.5	63-56	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	Loyola Chi	142.0	70-68	Under	-4.0
01/06	Home	G Washington	154.0	79-72	Under	-3.0
01/13	Away	Duquesne	152.5	71-65	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Loyola Chi	142.5	78-51	Under	-13.5
01/21	Away	La Salle	137.5	64-67	Under	-6.5
01/24	Away	Saint Joseph's	139.5	74-81	Over	+15.5
01/27	Home	Rhode Island	139.0	76-81	Over	+18.0
01/30	Away	Saint Louis	152.5	71-102	Over	+20.5
02/03	Home	St Bonaventure	145.0	72-70	Under	-3.0
02/06	Away	VCU	147.5	73-99	Over	+24.5
02/15	Home	Davidson	140.5	70-59	Under	-11.5
02/18	Away	George Mason	137.0	82-67	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Duquesne	148.5	78-66	Under	-4.5
02/24	Home	Saint Louis	157.5	77-62	Under	-18.5
02/27	Away	G Washington	152.5	68-66	Under	-18.5
03/03	Away	Richmond	144.5	65-60	Under	-19.5
03/06	Home	VCU	145.5	62-68	Under	-15.5
03/13	Neutral	St Bonaventure	142.5	68-63	Under	-11.5
03/14	Neutral	Saint Louis	145.5	70-69	Under	-6.5
03/15	Neutral	VCU	138.5	62-70	Under	-6.5
03/18	Away	Bradley	140.5	80-66	Over	+5.5
03/21	Away	NC Wilmington	139.5	80-61	Over	+1.5
03/25	Home	Illinois St	140.5	55-61	Under	-24.5