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Liberty at Dayton: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 12:30 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 9.5, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: LIB @ DAY

More Games From Dec 20, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Dayton -10.5 Official TR Pick Dayton 53% odds to cover
Dayton -10.0 Similar Games Dayton 50% odds to cover
Dayton -10.5 Decision Tree Dayton 54% odds to cover
Liberty +10.0 Power Rating Model Liberty 62% odds to cover
Liberty +10.5 Predictive Ratings Liberty 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record LIB adv DAY
Season 13-18-0 18-19-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-13-0 10-11-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 3-7-0 6-4-0
Home 6-7-0 8-10-0
Away 7-11-0 10-9-0

Liberty Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Kentucky Christian -- W by 41 --
11/07 Home Charleston -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/09 Home Florida Atlantic -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
11/17 Home Piedmont International -- W by 52 --
11/24 Neutral Vermont -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
11/25 Neutral Towson -5.0 L by 3 -8.0
11/26 Neutral Bradley -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/06 Home Coppin St -31.0 W by 42 +11.0
12/10 Away NC State +12.5 L by 40 -27.5
12/16 Home Midway -- W by 38 --
12/20 Away Dayton +9.5 W by 3 +12.5
12/28 Away Florida Intl -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
01/02 Home Kennesaw St -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
01/04 Home Jacksonville St -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
01/08 Away Louisiana Tech -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
01/10 Away Sam Houston -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
01/15 Home New Mexico St -9.0 W by 2 -7.0
01/17 Home UTEP -13.5 W by 11 -2.5
01/21 Away W Kentucky -1.0 W by 7 +6.0
01/24 Home Delaware -15.0 W by 16 +1.0
01/29 Away Middle Tenn -1.5 W by 16 +14.5
02/04 Away Delaware -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/07 Home Missouri St -9.0 W by 3 -6.0
02/11 Away New Mexico St -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
02/14 Away UTEP -6.5 W by 9 +2.5
02/19 Home Florida Intl -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
02/21 Home W Kentucky -7.5 L by 21 -28.5
02/26 Away Kennesaw St -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
02/28 Away Jacksonville St -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
03/05 Home Louisiana Tech -8.5 L by 5 -13.5
03/07 Home Sam Houston -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
03/11 Neutral Missouri St -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
03/17 Away George Mason +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/21 Away Nevada +7.5 L by 10 -2.5

Dayton Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Canisius -25.5 W by 40 +14.5
11/08 Home UMBC -25.5 W by 6 -19.5
11/11 Away Cincinnati +6.0 L by 12 -6.0
11/15 Home Bethune -21.5 W by 9 -12.5
11/19 Away Marquette +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
11/22 Home NC Central -28.0 W by 19 -9.0
11/27 Neutral Georgetown -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
11/28 Neutral BYU +9.5 L by 4 +5.5
12/02 Home E Tennessee St -11.5 W by 17 +5.5
12/06 Neutral Virginia +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
12/13 Home N Florida -31.5 W by 23 -8.5
12/16 Home Florida St -7.0 W by 28 +21.0
12/20 Home Liberty -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
12/31 Home Fordham -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/03 Away Loyola Chi -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
01/06 Home G Washington -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/13 Away Duquesne -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/16 Home Loyola Chi -16.5 W by 27 +10.5
01/21 Away La Salle -10.5 L by 3 -13.5
01/24 Away Saint Joseph's -6.5 L by 7 -13.5
01/27 Home Rhode Island -8.5 L by 5 -13.5
01/30 Away Saint Louis +9.5 L by 31 -21.5
02/03 Home St Bonaventure -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
02/06 Away VCU +8.5 L by 26 -17.5
02/15 Home Davidson -5.0 W by 11 +6.0
02/18 Away George Mason +2.0 W by 15 +17.0
02/21 Home Duquesne -7.0 W by 12 +5.0
02/24 Home Saint Louis +3.5 W by 15 +18.5
02/27 Away G Washington +2.5 W by 2 +4.5
03/03 Away Richmond -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
03/06 Home VCU -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
03/13 Neutral St Bonaventure -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
03/14 Neutral Saint Louis +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
03/15 Neutral VCU +2.5 L by 8 -5.5
03/18 Away Bradley -2.5 W by 14 +11.5
03/21 Away NC Wilmington -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
03/25 Home Illinois St -7.5 L by 6 -13.5