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Notre Dame at Louisville: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 18, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: ND @ LOU

More Games From Feb 4, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 154.5	Official TR Pick	57% odds to go under
Under 154.5	Decision Tree	57% odds to go under
Over 154.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ND	LOU
Season	22-9-0	15-20-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-3-0	8-12-0
Streak	Ov 8	Un 1
Last 5	5-0-0	2-3-0
Last 10	9-1-0	4-6-0
Home	14-3-0	6-11-0
Away	8-6-0	9-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Notre Dame Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	LIU	137.0	89-67	Over	+19.0
11/07	Home	Detroit Mercy	148.0	102-70	Over	+24.0
11/11	Home	E Illinois	143.5	78-58	Under	-7.5
11/16	Away	Ohio St	156.5	63-64	Under	-29.5
11/19	Home	Bellarmine	151.5	86-79	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	Kansas	142.5	61-71	Under	-10.5
11/25	Neutral	Rutgers	140.5	68-63	Under	-9.5
11/26	Neutral	Houston	133.0	56-66	Under	-11.0
12/02	Home	Missouri	146.5	76-71	Over	+0.5
12/05	Away	TCU	141.5	87-85	Over	+30.5
12/10	Home	Idaho	144.5	80-65	Over	+0.5
12/13	Home	Evansville	136.5	82-58	Over	+3.5
12/21	Home	Purdue FW	149.0	69-72	Under	-8.0
12/30	Away	Stanford	144.0	47-40	Under	-57.0
01/02	Away	California	138.5	71-72	Over	+4.5
01/10	Home	Clemson	133.5	61-76	Over	+3.5
01/13	Home	Miami	143.0	69-81	Over	+7.0
01/17	Away	Virginia Tech	143.0	76-89	Over	+22.0
01/21	Away	North Carolina	149.0	69-91	Over	+11.0
01/24	Home	Boston College	136.5	68-64	Under	-4.5
01/27	Home	Virginia	146.0	97-100	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Syracuse	147.5	72-86	Over	+10.5
02/04	Away	Louisville	156.5	65-76	Under	-15.5
02/07	Home	Florida St	153.0	79-82	Over	+8.0
02/10	Away	SMU	154.0	81-89	Over	+16.0
02/14	Home	Georgia Tech	150.0	89-74	Over	+13.0
02/21	Away	Pittsburgh	138.0	68-73	Over	+3.0
02/24	Home	Duke	142.5	56-100	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	NC State	154.5	96-90	Over	+31.5
03/04	Home	Stanford	147.5	78-86	Over	+16.5
03/07	Away	Boston College	141.5	69-77	Over	+4.5

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Carolina St	159.0	104-45	Under	-10.0
11/06	Home	Jackson St	165.5	106-70	Over	+10.5
11/11	Home	Kentucky	173.0	96-88	Over	+11.0
11/15	Home	Ohio	175.0	106-81	Over	+12.0
11/21	Neutral	Cincinnati	164.0	74-64	Under	-26.0
11/24	Home	E Michigan	162.5	87-46	Under	-29.5
11/26	Home	NJIT	158.5	104-47	Under	-7.5
12/03	Away	Arkansas	166.5	80-89	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Indiana	162.5	87-78	Over	+2.5
12/13	Home	Memphis	162.5	99-73	Over	+9.5
12/16	Away	Tennessee	156.5	62-83	Under	-11.5
12/20	Home	Montana	165.0	94-54	Under	-17.0
12/30	Away	California	159.0	90-70	Over	+1.0
01/02	Away	Stanford	157.5	76-80	Under	-1.5
01/06	Home	Duke	160.5	73-84	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	Boston College	151.0	75-62	Under	-14.0
01/13	Home	Virginia	155.0	70-79	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	Pittsburgh	152.5	100-59	Over	+6.5
01/24	Home	Virginia Tech	160.5	85-71	Under	-4.5
01/26	Away	Duke	157.0	52-83	Under	-22.0
01/31	Home	SMU	161.5	88-74	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Notre Dame	156.5	76-65	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	Wake Forest	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	NC State	161.5	118-77	Over	+33.5
02/14	Neutral	Baylor	162.5	82-71	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	SMU	168.0	85-95	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Georgia Tech	167.5	87-70	Under	-10.5
02/23	Away	North Carolina	162.5	74-77	Under	-11.5
02/28	Away	Clemson	146.5	75-80	Over	+8.5
03/03	Home	Syracuse	159.5	77-62	Under	-20.5
03/07	Away	Miami	155.5	92-89	Over	+25.5
03/11	Neutral	SMU	164.5	62-58	Under	-44.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami	152.5	73-78	Under	-1.5
03/19	Neutral	S Florida	160.5	83-79	Over	+1.5
03/21	Neutral	Michigan St	151.5	69-77	Under	-5.5