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Illinois at USC: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 18, 2026 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Illinois by 10, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: ILL @ USC

More Games From Feb 18, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 149.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 149.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Under 149.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ILL	USC
Season	15-21-0	17-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-10-0	11-10-0
Streak	Un 4	Ov 3
Last 5	1-4-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	6-10-0	9-6-0
Away	9-11-0	8-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Illinois Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Jackson St	156.5	113-55	Over	+11.5
11/07	Home	FGCU	160.5	113-70	Over	+22.5
11/11	Home	Texas Tech	169.0	81-77	Under	-11.0
11/14	Home	Colgate	164.5	84-65	Under	-15.5
11/19	Neutral	Alabama	181.5	86-90	Under	-5.5
11/22	Home	LIU	162.5	98-58	Under	-6.5
11/24	Home	UT Rio Grande	164.5	87-73	Under	-4.5
11/28	Neutral	UConn	150.5	61-74	Under	-15.5
12/06	Neutral	Tennessee	149.5	75-62	Under	-12.5
12/09	Away	Ohio St	163.0	88-80	Over	+5.0
12/13	Home	Nebraska	156.5	80-83	Over	+6.5
12/22	Neutral	Missouri	152.0	91-48	Under	-13.0
12/29	Home	Southern	163.5	90-55	Under	-18.5
01/03	Away	Penn St	156.5	73-65	Under	-18.5
01/08	Home	Rutgers	149.0	81-55	Under	-13.0
01/11	Away	Iowa	141.0	75-69	Over	+3.0
01/14	Away	Northwestern	152.5	79-68	Under	-5.5
01/17	Home	Minnesota	142.5	77-67	Over	+1.5
01/21	Home	Maryland	148.5	89-70	Over	+10.5
01/24	Away	Purdue	154.5	88-82	Over	+15.5
01/29	Home	Washington	153.0	75-66	Under	-12.0
02/01	Away	Nebraska	153.5	78-69	Under	-6.5
02/04	Home	Northwestern	150.0	84-44	Under	-22.0
02/07	Away	Michigan St	143.5	82-85	Over	+23.5
02/10	Home	Wisconsin	154.0	90-92	Over	+28.0
02/15	Home	Indiana	153.5	71-51	Under	-31.5
02/18	Away	USC	149.5	101-65	Over	+16.5
02/21	Away	UCLA	146.5	94-95	Over	+42.5
02/27	Home	Michigan	159.5	70-84	Under	-5.5
03/03	Home	Oregon	147.5	80-54	Under	-13.5
03/08	Away	Maryland	145.5	78-72	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Wisconsin	158.5	88-91	Over	+20.5
03/19	Neutral	Penn	150.5	105-70	Over	+24.5
03/21	Neutral	VCU	150.5	76-55	Under	-19.5
03/26	Neutral	Houston	141.5	65-55	Under	-21.5
03/28	Neutral	Iowa	138.5	71-59	Under	-8.5
04/04	Neutral	UConn	139.5	62-71	Under	-6.5

USC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Cal Poly	164.5	94-64	Under	-6.5
11/09	Home	Manhattan	155.0	114-83	Over	+42.0
11/14	Neutral	Illinois St	154.5	87-67	Under	-0.5
11/20	Home	Troy	159.0	107-106	Over	+54.0
11/24	Neutral	Boise St	154.5	70-67	Under	-17.5
11/25	Neutral	Seton Hall	145.5	83-81	Over	+18.5
11/26	Neutral	Arizona St	161.5	88-75	Over	+1.5
12/02	Away	Oregon	154.0	82-77	Over	+5.0
12/06	Home	Washington	153.5	76-84	Over	+6.5
12/09	Away	San Diego	158.5	94-81	Over	+16.5
12/14	Home	Washington St	156.5	68-61	Under	-27.5
12/17	Home	UTSA	157.5	97-70	Over	+9.5
12/21	Home	UC Santa Cruz	--	102-63	Under	--
01/02	Away	Michigan	173.5	66-96	Under	-11.5
01/05	Away	Michigan St	150.5	51-80	Under	-19.5
01/09	Away	Minnesota	147.0	70-69	Under	-8.0
01/13	Home	Maryland	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
01/17	Home	Purdue	155.5	64-69	Under	-22.5
01/21	Home	Northwestern	149.5	68-74	Under	-7.5
01/25	Away	Wisconsin	158.5	73-71	Under	-14.5
01/28	Away	Iowa	141.0	72-73	Over	+4.0
01/31	Home	Rutgers	145.5	78-75	Over	+7.5
02/03	Home	Indiana	154.0	81-75	Over	+2.0
02/08	Away	Penn St	156.5	77-75	Under	-4.5
02/11	Away	Ohio St	151.5	82-89	Over	+19.5
02/18	Home	Illinois	149.5	65-101	Over	+16.5
02/21	Home	Oregon	149.5	70-71	Under	-8.5
02/24	Away	UCLA	150.5	62-81	Under	-7.5
02/28	Home	Nebraska	149.5	67-82	Under	-0.5
03/04	Away	Washington	151.5	72-91	Over	+11.5
03/07	Home	UCLA	151.5	68-89	Over	+5.5
03/11	Neutral	Washington	154.5	79-83	Over	+7.5