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Illinois at USC: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 18, 2026 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Illinois by 10, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: ILL @ USC

More Games From Feb 18, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
USC +10.0 Official TR Pick USC 52% odds to cover
USC +10.0 Power Rating Model USC 65% odds to cover
USC +10.0 Similar Games USC 60% odds to cover
USC +10.0 Decision Tree USC 52% odds to cover
USC +10.0 Predictive Ratings USC 57% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ILL adv USC
Season 21-15-0 13-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-10-0 8-13-0
Streak L1 L7
Last 5 4-1-0 0-5-0
Last 10 5-5-0 2-8-0
Home 9-7-0 6-9-0
Away 12-8-0 7-9-0

Illinois Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Jackson St -29.0 W by 58 +29.0
11/07 Home FGCU -28.5 W by 43 +14.5
11/11 Home Texas Tech -3.5 W by 4 +0.5
11/14 Home Colgate -30.5 W by 19 -11.5
11/19 Neutral Alabama -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
11/22 Home LIU -33.0 W by 40 +7.0
11/24 Home UT Rio Grande -33.0 W by 14 -19.0
11/28 Neutral UConn +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
12/06 Neutral Tennessee +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/09 Away Ohio St -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
12/13 Home Nebraska -9.0 L by 3 -12.0
12/22 Neutral Missouri -8.5 W by 43 +34.5
12/29 Home Southern -33.5 W by 35 +1.5
01/03 Away Penn St -14.5 W by 8 -6.5
01/08 Home Rutgers -23.0 W by 26 +3.0
01/11 Away Iowa -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/14 Away Northwestern -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
01/17 Home Minnesota -15.0 W by 10 -5.0
01/21 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 19 +0.5
01/24 Away Purdue +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
01/29 Home Washington -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
02/01 Away Nebraska +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
02/04 Home Northwestern -15.5 W by 40 +24.5
02/07 Away Michigan St +1.0 L by 3 -2.0
02/10 Home Wisconsin -9.5 L by 2 -11.5
02/15 Home Indiana -8.5 W by 20 +11.5
02/18 Away USC -10.0 W by 36 +26.0
02/21 Away UCLA -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
02/27 Home Michigan +1.5 L by 14 -12.5
03/03 Home Oregon -17.5 W by 26 +8.5
03/08 Away Maryland -14.5 W by 6 -8.5
03/13 Neutral Wisconsin -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
03/19 Neutral Penn -25.5 W by 35 +9.5
03/21 Neutral VCU -11.5 W by 21 +9.5
03/26 Neutral Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/28 Neutral Iowa -6.5 W by 12 +5.5
04/04 Neutral UConn -1.5 L by 9 -10.5

USC Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Cal Poly -25.0 W by 30 +5.0
11/09 Home Manhattan -28.0 W by 31 +3.0
11/14 Neutral Illinois St -15.5 W by 20 +4.5
11/20 Home Troy -17.5 W by 1 -16.5
11/24 Neutral Boise St -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
11/25 Neutral Seton Hall -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/26 Neutral Arizona St -5.0 W by 13 +8.0
12/02 Away Oregon -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
12/06 Home Washington -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
12/09 Away San Diego -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
12/14 Home Washington St -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
12/17 Home UTSA -25.5 W by 27 +1.5
12/21 Home UC Santa Cruz -- W by 39 --
01/02 Away Michigan +22.5 L by 30 -7.5
01/05 Away Michigan St +12.0 L by 29 -17.0
01/09 Away Minnesota +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
01/13 Home Maryland -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
01/17 Home Purdue +9.0 L by 5 +4.0
01/21 Home Northwestern -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
01/25 Away Wisconsin +8.0 W by 2 +10.0
01/28 Away Iowa +9.0 L by 1 +8.0
01/31 Home Rutgers -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
02/03 Home Indiana +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
02/08 Away Penn St -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
02/11 Away Ohio St +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/18 Home Illinois +10.0 L by 36 -26.0
02/21 Home Oregon -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
02/24 Away UCLA +6.5 L by 19 -12.5
02/28 Home Nebraska +5.5 L by 15 -9.5
03/04 Away Washington +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
03/07 Home UCLA +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
03/11 Neutral Washington +3.5 L by 4 -0.5