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Illinois at Michigan St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 8:00 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 1, Total Points: 143.5

Matchup Menu: ILL @ MSU

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 143.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 143.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 143.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ILL	MSU
Season	15-21-0	16-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-10-0	11-10-0
Streak	Un 4	Un 2
Last 5	1-4-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	6-10-0	7-10-0
Away	9-11-0	9-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Illinois Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Jackson St	156.5	113-55	Over	+11.5
11/07	Home	FGCU	160.5	113-70	Over	+22.5
11/11	Home	Texas Tech	169.0	81-77	Under	-11.0
11/14	Home	Colgate	164.5	84-65	Under	-15.5
11/19	Neutral	Alabama	181.5	86-90	Under	-5.5
11/22	Home	LIU	162.5	98-58	Under	-6.5
11/24	Home	UT Rio Grande	164.5	87-73	Under	-4.5
11/28	Neutral	UConn	150.5	61-74	Under	-15.5
12/06	Neutral	Tennessee	149.5	75-62	Under	-12.5
12/09	Away	Ohio St	163.0	88-80	Over	+5.0
12/13	Home	Nebraska	156.5	80-83	Over	+6.5
12/22	Neutral	Missouri	152.0	91-48	Under	-13.0
12/29	Home	Southern	163.5	90-55	Under	-18.5
01/03	Away	Penn St	156.5	73-65	Under	-18.5
01/08	Home	Rutgers	149.0	81-55	Under	-13.0
01/11	Away	Iowa	141.0	75-69	Over	+3.0
01/14	Away	Northwestern	152.5	79-68	Under	-5.5
01/17	Home	Minnesota	142.5	77-67	Over	+1.5
01/21	Home	Maryland	148.5	89-70	Over	+10.5
01/24	Away	Purdue	154.5	88-82	Over	+15.5
01/29	Home	Washington	153.0	75-66	Under	-12.0
02/01	Away	Nebraska	153.5	78-69	Under	-6.5
02/04	Home	Northwestern	150.0	84-44	Under	-22.0
02/07	Away	Michigan St	143.5	82-85	Over	+23.5
02/10	Home	Wisconsin	154.0	90-92	Over	+28.0
02/15	Home	Indiana	153.5	71-51	Under	-31.5
02/18	Away	USC	149.5	101-65	Over	+16.5
02/21	Away	UCLA	146.5	94-95	Over	+42.5
02/27	Home	Michigan	159.5	70-84	Under	-5.5
03/03	Home	Oregon	147.5	80-54	Under	-13.5
03/08	Away	Maryland	145.5	78-72	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Wisconsin	158.5	88-91	Over	+20.5
03/19	Neutral	Penn	150.5	105-70	Over	+24.5
03/21	Neutral	VCU	150.5	76-55	Under	-19.5
03/26	Neutral	Houston	141.5	65-55	Under	-21.5
03/28	Neutral	Iowa	138.5	71-59	Under	-8.5
04/04	Neutral	UConn	139.5	62-71	Under	-6.5

Michigan St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Colgate	144.5	80-69	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Arkansas	155.5	69-66	Under	-20.5
11/13	Home	San Jose St	143.0	79-60	Under	-4.0
11/18	Neutral	Kentucky	153.0	83-66	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Detroit Mercy	152.5	84-56	Under	-12.5
11/25	Neutral	E Carolina	142.0	89-56	Over	+3.0
11/27	Neutral	North Carolina	152.5	74-58	Under	-20.5
12/02	Home	Iowa	134.0	71-52	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Duke	141.5	60-66	Under	-15.5
12/13	Away	Penn St	145.0	76-72	Over	+3.0
12/16	Home	Toledo	150.5	92-69	Over	+10.5
12/20	Neutral	Oakland	154.5	79-70	Under	-5.5
12/29	Home	Cornell	160.5	114-97	Over	+50.5
01/02	Away	Nebraska	146.5	56-58	Under	-32.5
01/05	Home	USC	150.5	80-51	Under	-19.5
01/08	Home	Northwestern	144.0	76-66	Under	-2.0
01/13	Home	Indiana	145.5	81-60	Under	-4.5
01/17	Away	Washington	146.0	80-63	Under	-3.0
01/20	Away	Oregon	140.0	68-52	Under	-20.0
01/24	Home	Maryland	139.5	91-48	Under	-0.5
01/27	Away	Rutgers	139.0	88-79	Over	+28.0
01/30	Home	Michigan	150.5	71-83	Over	+3.5
02/04	Away	Minnesota	134.5	73-76	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Illinois	143.5	85-82	Over	+23.5
02/13	Away	Wisconsin	148.0	71-92	Over	+15.0
02/17	Home	UCLA	139.5	82-59	Over	+1.5
02/22	Home	Ohio St	146.5	66-60	Under	-20.5
02/26	Away	Purdue	143.5	76-74	Over	+6.5
03/01	Away	Indiana	144.5	77-64	Under	-3.5
03/05	Home	Rutgers	141.5	91-87	Over	+36.5
03/08	Away	Michigan	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	UCLA	141.5	84-88	Over	+30.5
03/19	Neutral	N Dakota St	143.5	92-67	Over	+15.5
03/21	Neutral	Louisville	151.5	77-69	Under	-5.5
03/27	Neutral	UConn	136.5	63-67	Under	-6.5