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Illinois at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 8:00 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 1, Total Points: 143.5

Matchup Menu: ILL @ MSU

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan St -1.0 Official TR Pick Michigan St 52% odds to cover
Michigan St -1.0 Decision Tree Michigan St 52% odds to cover
Illinois +1.0 Power Rating Model Illinois 57% odds to cover
Illinois +1.0 Similar Games Illinois 51% odds to cover
Illinois +1.0 Predictive Ratings Illinois 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ILL adv MSU
Season 21-15-0 17-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-10-0 11-9-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 6-4-0
Home 9-7-0 7-9-1
Away 12-8-0 10-7-1

Illinois Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Jackson St -29.0 W by 58 +29.0
11/07 Home FGCU -28.5 W by 43 +14.5
11/11 Home Texas Tech -3.5 W by 4 +0.5
11/14 Home Colgate -30.5 W by 19 -11.5
11/19 Neutral Alabama -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
11/22 Home LIU -33.0 W by 40 +7.0
11/24 Home UT Rio Grande -33.0 W by 14 -19.0
11/28 Neutral UConn +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
12/06 Neutral Tennessee +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/09 Away Ohio St -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
12/13 Home Nebraska -9.0 L by 3 -12.0
12/22 Neutral Missouri -8.5 W by 43 +34.5
12/29 Home Southern -33.5 W by 35 +1.5
01/03 Away Penn St -14.5 W by 8 -6.5
01/08 Home Rutgers -23.0 W by 26 +3.0
01/11 Away Iowa -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/14 Away Northwestern -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
01/17 Home Minnesota -15.0 W by 10 -5.0
01/21 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 19 +0.5
01/24 Away Purdue +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
01/29 Home Washington -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
02/01 Away Nebraska +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
02/04 Home Northwestern -15.5 W by 40 +24.5
02/07 Away Michigan St +1.0 L by 3 -2.0
02/10 Home Wisconsin -9.5 L by 2 -11.5
02/15 Home Indiana -8.5 W by 20 +11.5
02/18 Away USC -10.0 W by 36 +26.0
02/21 Away UCLA -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
02/27 Home Michigan +1.5 L by 14 -12.5
03/03 Home Oregon -17.5 W by 26 +8.5
03/08 Away Maryland -14.5 W by 6 -8.5
03/13 Neutral Wisconsin -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
03/19 Neutral Penn -25.5 W by 35 +9.5
03/21 Neutral VCU -11.5 W by 21 +9.5
03/26 Neutral Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/28 Neutral Iowa -6.5 W by 12 +5.5
04/04 Neutral UConn -1.5 L by 9 -10.5

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5