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Air Force at Fresno St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 14, 2026 5:00 pm - Fresno, CA
Odds: Fresno State by 15.5, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: AFA @ FRES

More Games From Feb 14, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 142.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 142.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 142.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	AFA	FRES
Season	19-13-0	13-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-6-0	8-13-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 5
Last 5	2-3-0	0-5-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	13-5-0	8-9-0
Away	6-8-0	5-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Air Force Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Belmont	144.0	63-79	Under	-2.0
11/08	Home	Austin Peay	137.0	54-74	Under	-9.0
11/11	Home	LIU	138.5	72-76	Over	+9.5
11/15	Home	Miami OH	143.5	61-76	Under	-6.5
11/19	Home	Alabama St	138.5	66-64	Under	-8.5
11/21	Home	SIU Edward	129.5	77-63	Over	+10.5
11/23	Home	IU Indy	182.0	98-85	Over	+1.0
11/26	Home	N Colorado	146.5	53-71	Under	-22.5
11/29	Neutral	South Dakota	146.5	63-80	Under	-3.5
12/03	Home	Pacific	134.5	65-80	Over	+10.5
12/07	Away	Navy	133.5	56-61	Under	-16.5
12/17	Away	San Diego St	135.5	58-81	Over	+3.5
12/30	Home	Wyoming	143.0	56-68	Under	-19.0
01/03	Away	UNLV	142.0	39-67	Under	-36.0
01/06	Home	Utah St	139.5	62-99	Over	+21.5
01/10	Home	New Mexico	138.0	49-91	Over	+2.0
01/13	Away	San Jose St	128.5	62-70	Over	+3.5
01/17	Home	Nevada	134.5	66-81	Over	+12.5
01/20	Away	Colorado St	133.5	52-81	Under	-0.5
01/24	Away	Boise St	134.5	54-96	Over	+15.5
01/31	Home	Fresno St	138.5	62-79	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Grand Canyon	137.5	57-81	Over	+0.5
02/07	Home	San Diego St	139.0	54-88	Over	+3.0
02/10	Home	Colorado St	137.0	74-91	Over	+28.0
02/14	Away	Fresno St	142.5	63-93	Over	+13.5
02/17	Away	New Mexico	149.0	61-98	Over	+10.0
02/21	Home	UNLV	152.5	66-91	Over	+4.5
02/24	Home	San Jose St	145.5	80-86	Over	+20.5
02/28	Away	Wyoming	146.5	62-66	Under	-18.5
03/03	Home	Grand Canyon	143.5	60-86	Over	+2.5
03/07	Away	Nevada	144.5	59-74	Under	-11.5
03/11	Neutral	Nevada	140.5	45-80	Under	-15.5

Fresno St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Fresno Pacific	--	88-51	Under	--
11/05	Home	SC Upstate	164.5	66-67	Under	-31.5
11/08	Home	Long Beach St	143.0	82-62	Over	+1.0
11/12	Home	UCSD	148.5	73-78	Over	+2.5
11/15	Home	Utah Valley	156.5	75-74	Under	-7.5
11/18	Home	SF Austin	146.0	80-78	Over	+12.0
11/21	Home	New Orleans	154.5	85-76	Over	+6.5
11/26	Neutral	Pepperdine	150.5	76-53	Under	-21.5
11/30	Home	CS Bakersfield	150.5	71-76	Under	-3.5
12/06	Neutral	Arkansas	161.5	58-82	Under	-21.5
12/10	Away	CS Northridge	161.5	87-89	Over	+14.5
12/20	Away	UNLV	159.5	72-84	Under	-3.5
12/30	Home	Utah St	154.5	63-72	Under	-19.5
01/03	Home	Nevada	146.5	65-66	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	San Jose St	148.5	70-55	Under	-23.5
01/10	Away	San Diego St	146.5	52-71	Under	-23.5
01/13	Home	Colorado St	139.5	79-69	Over	+8.5
01/17	Home	Wyoming	146.0	63-60	Under	-23.0
01/21	Away	New Mexico	148.5	74-83	Over	+8.5
01/24	Home	Grand Canyon	145.5	57-68	Under	-20.5
01/31	Away	Air Force	138.5	79-62	Over	+2.5
02/03	Home	UNLV	153.0	98-96	Over	+41.0
02/07	Away	Nevada	150.0	59-69	Under	-22.0
02/10	Away	Utah St	152.5	78-91	Over	+16.5
02/14	Home	Air Force	142.5	93-63	Over	+13.5
02/17	Away	Wyoming	145.0	82-92	Over	+29.0
02/21	Home	New Mexico	156.5	78-80	Over	+1.5
02/24	Away	Colorado St	149.5	70-74	Under	-5.5
02/28	Home	Boise St	149.5	53-69	Under	-27.5
03/03	Home	San Jose St	151.5	82-68	Under	-1.5
03/07	Away	Grand Canyon	149.5	60-85	Under	-4.5
03/11	Neutral	Colorado St	146.5	63-67	Under	-16.5