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Virginia vs. NC State: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Mar 12, 2026 12:00 pm - Charlotte, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Virginia by 6.5, Total Points: 153.5

More Games From Mar 12, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 153.5 Official TR Pick 54% odds to go under
Under 153.5 Decision Tree 54% odds to go under
Over 153.5 Similar Games 56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record UVA NCST
Season 17-19-0 21-13-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-12-0 14-6-0
Streak Ov 6 Un 1
Last 5 5-0-0 4-1-0
Last 10 7-3-0 6-4-0
Home 6-11-0 8-8-0
Away 11-8-0 13-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Virginia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Home Rider 147.5 87-53 Under -7.5
11/07 Home NC Central 153.0 81-62 Under -10.0
11/11 Home Hampton 148.5 91-53 Under -4.5
11/15 Home Marshall 155.5 104-78 Over +26.5
11/21 Neutral Northwestern 149.5 83-78 Over +11.5
11/23 Neutral Butler 155.5 73-80 Under -2.5
11/28 Home Queens 159.0 94-69 Over +4.0
12/03 Away Texas 154.5 88-69 Over +2.5
12/06 Neutral Dayton 147.5 86-73 Over +11.5
12/09 Home Maryland ES 134.5 84-60 Over +9.5
12/20 Home Maryland 153.5 80-72 Under -1.5
12/22 Home American 154.0 95-51 Under -8.0
12/31 Away Virginia Tech 153.5 85-95 Over +26.5
01/03 Away NC State 151.5 76-61 Under -14.5
01/07 Home California 148.0 84-60 Under -4.0
01/10 Home Stanford 143.5 70-55 Under -18.5
01/13 Away Louisville 155.0 79-70 Under -6.0
01/17 Away SMU 153.0 72-68 Under -13.0
01/24 Home North Carolina 148.5 80-85 Over +16.5
01/27 Away Notre Dame 146.0 100-97 Over +51.0
01/31 Away Boston College 139.5 73-66 Under -0.5
02/03 Home Pittsburgh 142.5 67-47 Under -28.5
02/07 Home Syracuse 147.5 72-59 Under -16.5
02/10 Away Florida St 156.0 61-58 Under -37.0
02/14 Neutral Ohio St 146.5 70-66 Under -10.5
02/18 Away Georgia Tech 149.0 94-68 Over +13.0
02/21 Home Miami 146.5 86-83 Over +22.5
02/24 Home NC State 152.5 90-61 Under -1.5
02/28 Away Duke 142.5 51-77 Under -14.5
03/03 Home Wake Forest 150.5 75-70 Under -5.5
03/07 Home Virginia Tech 146.5 76-72 Over +1.5
03/12 Neutral NC State 153.5 81-74 Over +1.5
03/13 Neutral Miami 145.5 84-62 Over +0.5
03/14 Neutral Duke 139.5 70-74 Over +4.5
03/20 Neutral Wright St 146.5 82-73 Over +8.5
03/22 Neutral Tennessee 137.5 72-79 Over +13.5

NC State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Home NC Central 145.0 114-66 Over +35.0
11/07 Home UAB 162.5 94-70 Over +1.5
11/12 Home NC Greensboro 153.5 110-64 Over +20.5
11/17 Home VCU 164.5 85-79 Under -0.5
11/24 Neutral Seton Hall 143.5 74-85 Over +15.5
11/25 Neutral Boise St 154.0 81-70 Under -3.0
11/26 Neutral Texas 161.5 97-102 Over +37.5
12/03 Away Auburn 162.5 73-83 Under -6.5
12/06 Home NC Asheville 155.5 75-63 Under -17.5
12/10 Home Liberty 149.5 85-45 Under -19.5
12/13 Home Kansas 148.5 76-77 Over +4.5
12/17 Neutral Texas So 152.5 108-72 Over +27.5
12/21 Neutral Mississippi 148.5 76-62 Under -10.5
12/31 Home Wake Forest 159.5 70-57 Under -32.5
01/03 Home Virginia 151.5 61-76 Under -14.5
01/06 Away Boston College 142.0 79-71 Over +8.0
01/10 Away Florida St 160.0 113-69 Over +22.0
01/17 Home Georgia Tech 154.5 74-78 Under -2.5
01/20 Away Clemson 142.0 80-76 Over +14.0
01/24 Away Pittsburgh 146.0 81-72 Over +7.0
01/27 Home Syracuse 151.5 88-68 Over +4.5
01/31 Away Wake Forest 154.5 96-78 Over +19.5
02/03 Away SMU 159.5 84-83 Over +7.5
02/07 Home Virginia Tech 152.0 82-73 Over +3.0
02/09 Away Louisville 161.5 77-118 Over +33.5
02/14 Home Miami 158.0 76-77 Under -5.0
02/17 Home North Carolina 155.5 82-58 Under -15.5
02/24 Away Virginia 152.5 61-90 Under -1.5
02/28 Away Notre Dame 154.5 90-96 Over +31.5
03/02 Home Duke 150.5 64-93 Over +6.5
03/07 Home Stanford 152.5 84-85 Over +16.5
03/11 Neutral Pittsburgh 144.5 98-88 Over +41.5
03/12 Neutral Virginia 153.5 74-81 Over +1.5
03/17 Neutral Texas 158.5 66-68 Under -24.5