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Virginia at Notre Dame: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Jan 27, 2026 7:00 pm - South Bend, IN
Odds: Virginia by 9.5, Total Points: 146

Matchup Menu: UVA @ ND

More Games From Jan 27, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 146.0	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 146.0	Similar Games	54% odds to go over
Over 146.0	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UVA	ND
Season	17-19-0	22-9-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-12-0	15-3-0
Streak	Ov 6	Ov 8
Last 5	5-0-0	5-0-0
Last 10	7-3-0	9-1-0
Home	6-11-0	14-3-0
Away	11-8-0	8-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Virginia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Rider	147.5	87-53	Under	-7.5
11/07	Home	NC Central	153.0	81-62	Under	-10.0
11/11	Home	Hampton	148.5	91-53	Under	-4.5
11/15	Home	Marshall	155.5	104-78	Over	+26.5
11/21	Neutral	Northwestern	149.5	83-78	Over	+11.5
11/23	Neutral	Butler	155.5	73-80	Under	-2.5
11/28	Home	Queens	159.0	94-69	Over	+4.0
12/03	Away	Texas	154.5	88-69	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Dayton	147.5	86-73	Over	+11.5
12/09	Home	Maryland ES	134.5	84-60	Over	+9.5
12/20	Home	Maryland	153.5	80-72	Under	-1.5
12/22	Home	American	154.0	95-51	Under	-8.0
12/31	Away	Virginia Tech	153.5	85-95	Over	+26.5
01/03	Away	NC State	151.5	76-61	Under	-14.5
01/07	Home	California	148.0	84-60	Under	-4.0
01/10	Home	Stanford	143.5	70-55	Under	-18.5
01/13	Away	Louisville	155.0	79-70	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	SMU	153.0	72-68	Under	-13.0
01/24	Home	North Carolina	148.5	80-85	Over	+16.5
01/27	Away	Notre Dame	146.0	100-97	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Boston College	139.5	73-66	Under	-0.5
02/03	Home	Pittsburgh	142.5	67-47	Under	-28.5
02/07	Home	Syracuse	147.5	72-59	Under	-16.5
02/10	Away	Florida St	156.0	61-58	Under	-37.0
02/14	Neutral	Ohio St	146.5	70-66	Under	-10.5
02/18	Away	Georgia Tech	149.0	94-68	Over	+13.0
02/21	Home	Miami	146.5	86-83	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	NC State	152.5	90-61	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Duke	142.5	51-77	Under	-14.5
03/03	Home	Wake Forest	150.5	75-70	Under	-5.5
03/07	Home	Virginia Tech	146.5	76-72	Over	+1.5
03/12	Neutral	NC State	153.5	81-74	Over	+1.5
03/13	Neutral	Miami	145.5	84-62	Over	+0.5
03/14	Neutral	Duke	139.5	70-74	Over	+4.5
03/20	Neutral	Wright St	146.5	82-73	Over	+8.5
03/22	Neutral	Tennessee	137.5	72-79	Over	+13.5

Notre Dame Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	LIU	137.0	89-67	Over	+19.0
11/07	Home	Detroit Mercy	148.0	102-70	Over	+24.0
11/11	Home	E Illinois	143.5	78-58	Under	-7.5
11/16	Away	Ohio St	156.5	63-64	Under	-29.5
11/19	Home	Bellarmine	151.5	86-79	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	Kansas	142.5	61-71	Under	-10.5
11/25	Neutral	Rutgers	140.5	68-63	Under	-9.5
11/26	Neutral	Houston	133.0	56-66	Under	-11.0
12/02	Home	Missouri	146.5	76-71	Over	+0.5
12/05	Away	TCU	141.5	87-85	Over	+30.5
12/10	Home	Idaho	144.5	80-65	Over	+0.5
12/13	Home	Evansville	136.5	82-58	Over	+3.5
12/21	Home	Purdue FW	149.0	69-72	Under	-8.0
12/30	Away	Stanford	144.0	47-40	Under	-57.0
01/02	Away	California	138.5	71-72	Over	+4.5
01/10	Home	Clemson	133.5	61-76	Over	+3.5
01/13	Home	Miami	143.0	69-81	Over	+7.0
01/17	Away	Virginia Tech	143.0	76-89	Over	+22.0
01/21	Away	North Carolina	149.0	69-91	Over	+11.0
01/24	Home	Boston College	136.5	68-64	Under	-4.5
01/27	Home	Virginia	146.0	97-100	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Syracuse	147.5	72-86	Over	+10.5
02/04	Away	Louisville	156.5	65-76	Under	-15.5
02/07	Home	Florida St	153.0	79-82	Over	+8.0
02/10	Away	SMU	154.0	81-89	Over	+16.0
02/14	Home	Georgia Tech	150.0	89-74	Over	+13.0
02/21	Away	Pittsburgh	138.0	68-73	Over	+3.0
02/24	Home	Duke	142.5	56-100	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	NC State	154.5	96-90	Over	+31.5
03/04	Home	Stanford	147.5	78-86	Over	+16.5
03/07	Away	Boston College	141.5	69-77	Over	+4.5