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Virginia at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Jan 27, 2026 7:00 pm - South Bend, IN
Odds: Virginia by 9.5, Total Points: 146

Matchup Menu: UVA @ ND

More Games From Jan 27, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Notre Dame +9.5 Official TR Pick Notre Dame 51% odds to cover
Notre Dame +9.5 Power Rating Model Notre Dame 62% odds to cover
Notre Dame +9.5 Decision Tree Notre Dame 51% odds to cover
Notre Dame +9.5 Predictive Ratings Notre Dame 61% odds to cover
Virginia -9.5 Similar Games Virginia 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UVA adv ND
Season 17-17-2 15-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 7-11-0
Streak L2 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 8-8-1 8-9-0
Away 9-9-1 7-7-0

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Rider -26.5 W by 34 +7.5
11/07 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 19 -15.0
11/11 Home Hampton -24.0 W by 38 +14.0
11/15 Home Marshall -20.5 W by 26 +5.5
11/21 Neutral Northwestern -5.0 W by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral Butler -7.0 L by 7 -14.0
11/28 Home Queens -25.0 W by 25 0.0
12/03 Away Texas +3.0 W by 19 +22.0
12/06 Neutral Dayton -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/09 Home Maryland ES -36.5 W by 24 -12.5
12/20 Home Maryland -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
12/22 Home American -27.5 W by 44 +16.5
12/31 Away Virginia Tech -6.0 L by 10 -16.0
01/03 Away NC State +4.0 W by 15 +19.0
01/07 Home California -14.0 W by 24 +10.0
01/10 Home Stanford -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
01/13 Away Louisville +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/17 Away SMU -2.0 W by 4 +2.0
01/24 Home North Carolina -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
01/27 Away Notre Dame -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
01/31 Away Boston College -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
02/03 Home Pittsburgh -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
02/07 Home Syracuse -14.0 W by 13 -1.0
02/10 Away Florida St -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/14 Neutral Ohio St -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/18 Away Georgia Tech -13.0 W by 26 +13.0
02/21 Home Miami -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
02/24 Home NC State -6.5 W by 29 +22.5
02/28 Away Duke +9.5 L by 26 -16.5
03/03 Home Wake Forest -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
03/07 Home Virginia Tech -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral NC State -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/13 Neutral Miami -3.5 W by 22 +18.5
03/14 Neutral Duke +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Wright St -17.5 W by 9 -8.5
03/22 Neutral Tennessee +1.5 L by 7 -5.5

Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home LIU -15.0 W by 22 +7.0
11/07 Home Detroit Mercy -21.0 W by 32 +11.0
11/11 Home E Illinois -23.5 W by 20 -3.5
11/16 Away Ohio St +10.0 L by 1 +9.0
11/19 Home Bellarmine -23.0 W by 7 -16.0
11/24 Neutral Kansas +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/25 Neutral Rutgers -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
11/26 Neutral Houston +11.5 L by 10 +1.5
12/02 Home Missouri +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
12/05 Away TCU +7.0 W by 2 +9.0
12/10 Home Idaho -11.5 W by 15 +3.5
12/13 Home Evansville -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
12/21 Home Purdue FW -11.5 L by 3 -14.5
12/30 Away Stanford +6.5 W by 7 +13.5
01/02 Away California +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/10 Home Clemson +3.0 L by 15 -12.0
01/13 Home Miami +5.0 L by 12 -7.0
01/17 Away Virginia Tech +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
01/21 Away North Carolina +13.5 L by 22 -8.5
01/24 Home Boston College -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
01/27 Home Virginia +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
01/31 Away Syracuse +5.0 L by 14 -9.0
02/04 Away Louisville +18.0 L by 11 +7.0
02/07 Home Florida St -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/10 Away SMU +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
02/14 Home Georgia Tech -6.0 W by 15 +9.0
02/21 Away Pittsburgh +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
02/24 Home Duke +16.5 L by 44 -27.5
02/28 Home NC State +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
03/04 Home Stanford +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
03/07 Away Boston College -1.5 L by 8 -9.5