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Louisville at Arkansas: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Dec 3, 2025 7:15 pm - Fayetteville, AR
Odds: Louisville by 2, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: LOU @ ARK

More Games From Dec 3, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 166.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 166.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over
Under 166.0	Similar Games	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	LOU	ARK
Season	15-20-0	22-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-12-0	12-9-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 3
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	8-2-0
Home	6-11-0	12-5-0
Away	9-9-0	10-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Carolina St	159.0	104-45	Under	-10.0
11/06	Home	Jackson St	165.5	106-70	Over	+10.5
11/11	Home	Kentucky	173.0	96-88	Over	+11.0
11/15	Home	Ohio	175.0	106-81	Over	+12.0
11/21	Neutral	Cincinnati	164.0	74-64	Under	-26.0
11/24	Home	E Michigan	162.5	87-46	Under	-29.5
11/26	Home	NJIT	158.5	104-47	Under	-7.5
12/03	Away	Arkansas	166.5	80-89	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Indiana	162.5	87-78	Over	+2.5
12/13	Home	Memphis	162.5	99-73	Over	+9.5
12/16	Away	Tennessee	156.5	62-83	Under	-11.5
12/20	Home	Montana	165.0	94-54	Under	-17.0
12/30	Away	California	159.0	90-70	Over	+1.0
01/02	Away	Stanford	157.5	76-80	Under	-1.5
01/06	Home	Duke	160.5	73-84	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	Boston College	151.0	75-62	Under	-14.0
01/13	Home	Virginia	155.0	70-79	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	Pittsburgh	152.5	100-59	Over	+6.5
01/24	Home	Virginia Tech	160.5	85-71	Under	-4.5
01/26	Away	Duke	157.0	52-83	Under	-22.0
01/31	Home	SMU	161.5	88-74	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Notre Dame	156.5	76-65	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	Wake Forest	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	NC State	161.5	118-77	Over	+33.5
02/14	Neutral	Baylor	162.5	82-71	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	SMU	168.0	85-95	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Georgia Tech	167.5	87-70	Under	-10.5
02/23	Away	North Carolina	162.5	74-77	Under	-11.5
02/28	Away	Clemson	146.5	75-80	Over	+8.5
03/03	Home	Syracuse	159.5	77-62	Under	-20.5
03/07	Away	Miami	155.5	92-89	Over	+25.5
03/11	Neutral	SMU	164.5	62-58	Under	-44.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami	152.5	73-78	Under	-1.5
03/19	Neutral	S Florida	160.5	83-79	Over	+1.5
03/21	Neutral	Michigan St	151.5	69-77	Under	-5.5

Arkansas Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Southern	149.5	109-77	Over	+36.5
11/08	Away	Michigan St	155.5	66-69	Under	-20.5
11/11	Home	C Arkansas	158.5	93-56	Under	-9.5
11/14	Home	Samford	159.5	79-75	Under	-5.5
11/18	Home	Winthrop	168.5	84-83	Under	-1.5
11/21	Home	Jackson St	160.0	115-61	Over	+16.0
11/27	Neutral	Duke	160.0	71-80	Under	-9.0
12/03	Home	Louisville	166.5	89-80	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Fresno St	161.5	82-58	Under	-21.5
12/13	Neutral	Texas Tech	155.0	93-86	Over	+24.0
12/16	Home	Queens	169.5	108-80	Over	+18.5
12/20	Neutral	Houston	146.0	85-94	Over	+33.0
12/29	Home	J Madison	159.5	103-74	Over	+17.5
01/03	Home	Tennessee	158.5	86-75	Over	+2.5
01/07	Away	Mississippi	152.0	94-87	Over	+29.0
01/10	Away	Auburn	169.0	73-95	Under	-1.0
01/14	Home	South Carolina	155.0	108-74	Over	+27.0
01/17	Away	Georgia	181.5	76-90	Under	-15.5
01/20	Home	Vanderbilt	173.5	93-68	Under	-12.5
01/24	Home	LSU	164.5	85-81	Over	+1.5
01/27	Away	Oklahoma	167.5	83-79	Under	-5.5
01/31	Home	Kentucky	161.5	77-85	Over	+0.5
02/07	Away	Mississippi St	164.0	88-68	Under	-8.0
02/10	Away	LSU	159.0	91-62	Under	-6.0
02/14	Home	Auburn	165.0	88-75	Under	-2.0
02/18	Away	Alabama	184.0	115-117	Over	+48.0
02/21	Home	Missouri	159.5	94-86	Over	+20.5
02/25	Home	Texas A&M	170.5	99-84	Over	+12.5
02/28	Away	Florida	168.5	77-111	Over	+19.5
03/04	Home	Texas	163.5	105-85	Over	+26.5
03/07	Away	Missouri	163.5	88-84	Over	+8.5
03/13	Neutral	Oklahoma	167.5	82-79	Under	-6.5
03/14	Neutral	Mississippi	159.5	93-90	Over	+23.5
03/15	Neutral	Vanderbilt	165.5	86-75	Under	-4.5
03/19	Neutral	Hawai'i	158.5	97-78	Over	+16.5
03/21	Neutral	High Point	171.5	94-88	Over	+10.5
03/26	Neutral	Arizona	166.5	88-109	Over	+30.5