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Louisville at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Dec 3, 2025 7:15 pm - Fayetteville, AR
Odds: Louisville by 2, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: LOU @ ARK

More Games From Dec 3, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Arkansas +1.5 Official TR Pick Arkansas 51% odds to cover
Arkansas +1.5 Similar Games Arkansas 55% odds to cover
Arkansas +1.5 Decision Tree Arkansas 52% odds to cover
Louisville -1.5 Power Rating Model Louisville 69% odds to cover
Louisville -1.5 Predictive Ratings Louisville 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record LOU adv ARK
Season 17-18-0 23-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-13-0 13-8-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 3-7-0 5-5-0
Home 10-7-0 12-5-0
Away 7-11-0 11-9-0

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Carolina St -36.5 W by 59 +22.5
11/06 Home Jackson St -38.5 W by 36 -2.5
11/11 Home Kentucky -6.0 W by 8 +2.0
11/15 Home Ohio -31.0 W by 25 -6.0
11/21 Neutral Cincinnati -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
11/24 Home E Michigan -33.5 W by 41 +7.5
11/26 Home NJIT -43.5 W by 57 +13.5
12/03 Away Arkansas -2.0 L by 9 -11.0
12/06 Neutral Indiana -4.0 W by 9 +5.0
12/13 Home Memphis -16.5 W by 26 +9.5
12/16 Away Tennessee +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
12/20 Home Montana -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/30 Away California -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
01/02 Away Stanford -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
01/06 Home Duke (Pick) L by 11 -11.0
01/10 Home Boston College -21.0 W by 13 -8.0
01/13 Home Virginia -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
01/17 Away Pittsburgh -7.0 W by 41 +34.0
01/24 Home Virginia Tech -13.5 W by 14 +0.5
01/26 Away Duke +8.5 L by 31 -22.5
01/31 Home SMU -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
02/04 Home Notre Dame -18.0 W by 11 -7.0
02/07 Away Wake Forest -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
02/09 Home NC State -7.5 W by 41 +33.5
02/14 Neutral Baylor -7.0 W by 11 +4.0
02/17 Away SMU -4.0 L by 10 -14.0
02/21 Home Georgia Tech -23.0 W by 17 -6.0
02/23 Away North Carolina -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
02/28 Away Clemson -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
03/03 Home Syracuse -14.5 W by 15 +0.5
03/07 Away Miami +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/11 Neutral SMU -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/12 Neutral Miami -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/19 Neutral S Florida -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/21 Neutral Michigan St +5.5 L by 8 -2.5

Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Southern -27.0 W by 32 +5.0
11/08 Away Michigan St +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
11/11 Home C Arkansas -35.5 W by 37 +1.5
11/14 Home Samford -24.5 W by 4 -20.5
11/18 Home Winthrop -22.5 W by 1 -21.5
11/21 Home Jackson St -29.5 W by 54 +24.5
11/27 Neutral Duke +12.5 L by 9 +3.5
12/03 Home Louisville +2.0 W by 9 +11.0
12/06 Neutral Fresno St -19.5 W by 24 +4.5
12/13 Neutral Texas Tech +2.0 W by 7 +9.0
12/16 Home Queens -23.0 W by 28 +5.0
12/20 Neutral Houston +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
12/29 Home J Madison -23.5 W by 29 +5.5
01/03 Home Tennessee +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
01/07 Away Mississippi -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
01/10 Away Auburn +2.0 L by 22 -20.0
01/14 Home South Carolina -12.0 W by 34 +22.0
01/17 Away Georgia +2.5 L by 14 -11.5
01/20 Home Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
01/24 Home LSU -10.5 W by 4 -6.5
01/27 Away Oklahoma -3.0 W by 4 +1.0
01/31 Home Kentucky -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
02/07 Away Mississippi St -6.0 W by 20 +14.0
02/10 Away LSU -4.5 W by 29 +24.5
02/14 Home Auburn -7.0 W by 13 +6.0
02/18 Away Alabama +4.0 L by 2 +2.0
02/21 Home Missouri -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
02/25 Home Texas A&M -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
02/28 Away Florida +9.5 L by 34 -24.5
03/04 Home Texas -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
03/07 Away Missouri +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Oklahoma -6.5 W by 3 -3.5
03/14 Neutral Mississippi -8.5 W by 3 -5.5
03/15 Neutral Vanderbilt +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/19 Neutral Hawai'i -14.5 W by 19 +4.5
03/21 Neutral High Point -12.5 W by 6 -6.5
03/26 Neutral Arizona +8.5 L by 21 -12.5