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Louisville at California: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 30, 2025 9:00 pm - Berkeley, CA
Odds: Louisville by 7.5, Total Points: 159

Matchup Menu: LOU @ CAL

More Games From Dec 30, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 161.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 161.5	Similar Games	58% odds to go over
Over 161.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	LOU	CAL
Season	15-20-0	15-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-12-0	9-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	6-11-0	8-13-0
Away	9-9-0	7-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Carolina St	159.0	104-45	Under	-10.0
11/06	Home	Jackson St	165.5	106-70	Over	+10.5
11/11	Home	Kentucky	173.0	96-88	Over	+11.0
11/15	Home	Ohio	175.0	106-81	Over	+12.0
11/21	Neutral	Cincinnati	164.0	74-64	Under	-26.0
11/24	Home	E Michigan	162.5	87-46	Under	-29.5
11/26	Home	NJIT	158.5	104-47	Under	-7.5
12/03	Away	Arkansas	166.5	80-89	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Indiana	162.5	87-78	Over	+2.5
12/13	Home	Memphis	162.5	99-73	Over	+9.5
12/16	Away	Tennessee	156.5	62-83	Under	-11.5
12/20	Home	Montana	165.0	94-54	Under	-17.0
12/30	Away	California	159.0	90-70	Over	+1.0
01/02	Away	Stanford	157.5	76-80	Under	-1.5
01/06	Home	Duke	160.5	73-84	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	Boston College	151.0	75-62	Under	-14.0
01/13	Home	Virginia	155.0	70-79	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	Pittsburgh	152.5	100-59	Over	+6.5
01/24	Home	Virginia Tech	160.5	85-71	Under	-4.5
01/26	Away	Duke	157.0	52-83	Under	-22.0
01/31	Home	SMU	161.5	88-74	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Notre Dame	156.5	76-65	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	Wake Forest	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	NC State	161.5	118-77	Over	+33.5
02/14	Neutral	Baylor	162.5	82-71	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	SMU	168.0	85-95	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Georgia Tech	167.5	87-70	Under	-10.5
02/23	Away	North Carolina	162.5	74-77	Under	-11.5
02/28	Away	Clemson	146.5	75-80	Over	+8.5
03/03	Home	Syracuse	159.5	77-62	Under	-20.5
03/07	Away	Miami	155.5	92-89	Over	+25.5
03/11	Neutral	SMU	164.5	62-58	Under	-44.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami	152.5	73-78	Under	-1.5
03/19	Neutral	S Florida	160.5	83-79	Over	+1.5
03/21	Neutral	Michigan St	151.5	69-77	Under	-5.5

California Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	CS Bakersfield	146.5	87-60	Over	+0.5
11/06	Home	Wright St	149.0	77-67	Under	-5.0
11/10	Home	CS Fullerton	162.0	93-65	Under	-4.0
11/13	Away	Kansas St	163.5	96-99	Over	+31.5
11/18	Home	Presbyterian	144.5	67-57	Under	-20.5
11/21	Home	Sacramento St	154.5	91-67	Over	+3.5
11/25	Neutral	UCLA	143.5	80-72	Over	+8.5
12/02	Home	Utah	152.0	79-72	Under	-1.0
12/06	Home	Pacific	144.5	67-61	Under	-16.5
12/09	Home	Dominican (CA)	--	93-71	Under	--
12/13	Home	NW State	145.0	79-70	Over	+4.0
12/19	Home	Morgan St	151.5	97-50	Under	-4.5
12/21	Home	Columbia	152.5	74-56	Under	-22.5
12/30	Home	Louisville	159.0	70-90	Over	+1.0
01/02	Home	Notre Dame	138.5	72-71	Over	+4.5
01/07	Away	Virginia	148.0	60-84	Under	-4.0
01/10	Away	Virginia Tech	148.0	75-78	Over	+5.0
01/14	Home	Duke	149.0	56-71	Under	-22.0
01/17	Home	North Carolina	151.0	84-78	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Stanford	146.5	78-66	Under	-2.5
01/28	Away	Florida St	157.5	61-63	Under	-33.5
01/31	Away	Miami	149.5	86-85	Over	+21.5
02/04	Home	Georgia Tech	152.5	90-85	Over	+22.5
02/07	Home	Clemson	137.0	55-77	Under	-5.0
02/11	Away	Syracuse	148.5	100-107	Over	+58.5
02/14	Away	Boston College	141.5	86-75	Over	+19.5
02/21	Home	Stanford	149.5	72-66	Under	-11.5
02/25	Home	SMU	163.5	73-69	Under	-21.5
02/28	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	56-72	Under	-16.5
03/04	Away	Georgia Tech	155.5	76-65	Under	-14.5
03/07	Away	Wake Forest	153.5	73-80	Under	-0.5
03/11	Neutral	Florida St	154.5	89-95	Over	+29.5
03/18	Home	Illinois Chicago	150.5	91-73	Over	+13.5
03/22	Home	Saint Joseph's	153.5	75-76	Under	-2.5