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Buffalo at Bowling Green: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Jan 27, 2026 7:00 pm - Bowling Green, OH
Odds: Bowling Green by 8, Total Points: 150

Matchup Menu: BUFF @ BGSU

More Games From Jan 27, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 150.0	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 150.0	Similar Games	54% odds to go over
Over 150.0	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BUFF	BGSU
Season	16-14-0	11-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	9-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 2
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	7-6-0	5-9-0
Away	9-8-0	6-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Buffalo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Southern Miss	154.0	85-79	Over	+10.0
11/07	Home	Green Bay	148.0	83-76	Over	+11.0
11/11	Away	DePaul	153.5	66-53	Under	-34.5
11/15	Home	RIT	--	80-64	Under	--
11/18	Home	Vermont	141.5	94-90	Over	+42.5
11/24	Neutral	VMI	151.0	78-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Bucknell	147.0	73-71	Under	-3.0
11/29	Away	Canisius	139.0	71-53	Under	-15.0
12/06	Home	St Bonaventure	144.0	69-77	Over	+2.0
12/09	Away	UMBC	145.5	83-79	Over	+16.5
12/14	Away	E Carolina	146.5	70-73	Under	-3.5
12/20	Away	W Michigan	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
12/22	Home	Penn St.-Behrend	--	92-63	Under	--
12/31	Away	N Illinois	155.0	81-67	Under	-7.0
01/03	Home	Ball St	144.5	85-72	Over	+12.5
01/10	Away	Ohio	156.0	80-91	Over	+15.0
01/13	Home	Kent St	165.5	81-87	Over	+2.5
01/17	Away	Miami OH	162.5	102-105	Over	+44.5
01/20	Home	Akron	166.5	63-82	Under	-21.5
01/23	Home	UMass	159.5	67-68	Under	-24.5
01/27	Away	Bowling Green	150.0	89-78	Over	+17.0
01/31	Home	Ohio	156.5	83-95	Over	+21.5
02/03	Home	Miami OH	164.5	71-73	Under	-20.5
02/07	Away	S Alabama	144.0	69-81	Over	+6.0
02/11	Away	Ball St	141.5	63-53	Under	-25.5
02/17	Home	N Illinois	147.0	70-72	Under	-5.0
02/21	Away	UMass	151.5	86-82	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Akron	160.5	85-99	Over	+23.5
02/28	Home	C Michigan	151.5	70-75	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	E Michigan	144.5	72-67	Under	-5.5
03/06	Away	Toledo	155.5	78-98	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Akron	158.5	70-73	Under	-15.5

Bowling Green Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Texas St	146.0	83-48	Under	-15.0
11/06	Home	Bethany (WV)	--	120-65	Under	--
11/09	Home	Le Moyne	154.5	83-60	Under	-11.5
11/15	Away	Davidson	144.5	87-91	Over	+33.5
11/19	Home	William & Mary	167.0	74-82	Under	-11.0
11/24	Neutral	Bucknell	143.5	71-66	Under	-6.5
11/26	Neutral	VMI	149.0	81-48	Under	-20.0
12/01	Away	Kansas St	159.0	82-66	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Utah Valley	145.0	71-82	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	Aquinas	--	131-50	Under	--
12/16	Home	Chicago St	148.0	76-55	Under	-17.0
12/20	Away	Ohio	154.0	68-58	Under	-28.0
12/22	Home	Siena Heights	--	125-66	Under	--
12/30	Home	Miami OH	150.5	83-93	Over	+25.5
01/03	Away	UMass	152.0	101-100	Over	+49.0
01/06	Away	Kent St	155.5	93-96	Over	+33.5
01/09	Home	Akron	163.0	67-77	Under	-19.0
01/17	Home	E Michigan	141.5	85-79	Over	+22.5
01/20	Away	W Michigan	152.5	72-54	Under	-26.5
01/24	Away	Toledo	156.5	72-73	Under	-11.5
01/27	Home	Buffalo	150.0	78-89	Over	+17.0
01/31	Away	C Michigan	149.5	59-62	Under	-28.5
02/03	Home	Ball St	139.5	77-52	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Arkansas St	154.5	54-91	Under	-9.5
02/11	Away	N Illinois	144.5	68-52	Under	-24.5
02/14	Home	Toledo	151.0	80-70	Under	-1.0
02/17	Home	Kent St	151.5	71-78	Under	-2.5
02/20	Away	Miami OH	154.0	77-91	Over	+14.0
02/24	Home	W Michigan	149.5	79-88	Over	+17.5
02/28	Home	UMass	150.5	81-62	Under	-7.5
03/06	Away	E Michigan	142.5	77-69	Over	+3.5
03/12	Neutral	Toledo	150.5	76-77	Over	+2.5