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Ohio St at Michigan St: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Feb 22, 2026 1:00 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 10.5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: OSU @ MSU

More Games From Feb 22, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 146.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 146.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under
Under 146.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	OSU	MSU
Season	16-18-0	16-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-10-0	11-10-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	10-7-0	7-10-0
Away	6-11-0	9-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Ohio St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	IU Indy	171.5	118-102	Over	+48.5
11/07	Home	Purdue FW	159.5	94-68	Over	+2.5
11/11	Home	App State	147.0	75-53	Under	-19.0
11/16	Home	Notre Dame	156.5	64-63	Under	-29.5
11/20	Home	W Michigan	160.0	91-58	Under	-11.0
11/25	Home	Mt St Mary's	151.5	113-60	Over	+21.5
11/28	Away	Pittsburgh	148.5	66-67	Under	-15.5
12/06	Away	Northwestern	155.5	86-82	Over	+12.5
12/09	Home	Illinois	163.0	80-88	Over	+5.0
12/13	Neutral	West Virginia	145.0	89-88	Over	+32.0
12/20	Neutral	North Carolina	157.5	70-71	Under	-16.5
12/23	Home	Grambling	153.5	89-63	Under	-1.5
01/02	Away	Rutgers	151.5	80-73	Over	+1.5
01/05	Home	Nebraska	155.5	69-72	Under	-14.5
01/08	Away	Oregon	152.5	72-62	Under	-18.5
01/11	Away	Washington	156.0	74-81	Under	-1.0
01/17	Home	UCLA	147.0	86-74	Over	+13.0
01/20	Home	Minnesota	143.5	82-74	Over	+12.5
01/23	Away	Michigan	165.5	62-74	Under	-29.5
01/26	Home	Penn St	153.5	84-78	Over	+8.5
01/31	Away	Wisconsin	155.5	82-92	Over	+18.5
02/05	Away	Maryland	151.0	82-62	Under	-7.0
02/08	Home	Michigan	161.5	61-82	Under	-18.5
02/11	Home	USC	151.5	89-82	Over	+19.5
02/14	Neutral	Virginia	146.5	66-70	Under	-10.5
02/17	Home	Wisconsin	158.0	86-69	Under	-3.0
02/22	Away	Michigan St	146.5	60-66	Under	-20.5
02/25	Away	Iowa	141.5	57-74	Under	-10.5
03/01	Home	Purdue	150.5	82-74	Over	+5.5
03/04	Away	Penn St	152.5	94-62	Over	+3.5
03/07	Home	Indiana	148.5	91-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Iowa	140.5	72-69	Over	+0.5
03/13	Neutral	Michigan	155.5	67-71	Under	-17.5
03/19	Neutral	TCU	146.5	64-66	Under	-16.5

Michigan St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Colgate	144.5	80-69	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Arkansas	155.5	69-66	Under	-20.5
11/13	Home	San Jose St	143.0	79-60	Under	-4.0
11/18	Neutral	Kentucky	153.0	83-66	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Detroit Mercy	152.5	84-56	Under	-12.5
11/25	Neutral	E Carolina	142.0	89-56	Over	+3.0
11/27	Neutral	North Carolina	152.5	74-58	Under	-20.5
12/02	Home	Iowa	134.0	71-52	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Duke	141.5	60-66	Under	-15.5
12/13	Away	Penn St	145.0	76-72	Over	+3.0
12/16	Home	Toledo	150.5	92-69	Over	+10.5
12/20	Neutral	Oakland	154.5	79-70	Under	-5.5
12/29	Home	Cornell	160.5	114-97	Over	+50.5
01/02	Away	Nebraska	146.5	56-58	Under	-32.5
01/05	Home	USC	150.5	80-51	Under	-19.5
01/08	Home	Northwestern	144.0	76-66	Under	-2.0
01/13	Home	Indiana	145.5	81-60	Under	-4.5
01/17	Away	Washington	146.0	80-63	Under	-3.0
01/20	Away	Oregon	140.0	68-52	Under	-20.0
01/24	Home	Maryland	139.5	91-48	Under	-0.5
01/27	Away	Rutgers	139.0	88-79	Over	+28.0
01/30	Home	Michigan	150.5	71-83	Over	+3.5
02/04	Away	Minnesota	134.5	73-76	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Illinois	143.5	85-82	Over	+23.5
02/13	Away	Wisconsin	148.0	71-92	Over	+15.0
02/17	Home	UCLA	139.5	82-59	Over	+1.5
02/22	Home	Ohio St	146.5	66-60	Under	-20.5
02/26	Away	Purdue	143.5	76-74	Over	+6.5
03/01	Away	Indiana	144.5	77-64	Under	-3.5
03/05	Home	Rutgers	141.5	91-87	Over	+36.5
03/08	Away	Michigan	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	UCLA	141.5	84-88	Over	+30.5
03/19	Neutral	N Dakota St	143.5	92-67	Over	+15.5
03/21	Neutral	Louisville	151.5	77-69	Under	-5.5
03/27	Neutral	UConn	136.5	63-67	Under	-6.5