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Ohio St at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Feb 22, 2026 1:00 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 10.5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: OSU @ MSU

More Games From Feb 22, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan St -10.5 Official TR Pick Michigan St 53% odds to cover
Michigan St -10.5 Decision Tree Michigan St 53% odds to cover
Ohio St +10.5 Power Rating Model Ohio St 67% odds to cover
Ohio St +10.5 Similar Games Ohio St 55% odds to cover
Ohio St +10.5 Predictive Ratings Ohio St 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record OSU adv MSU
Season 17-16-1 17-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-9-1 11-9-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 8-2-0 6-4-0
Home 7-9-1 7-9-1
Away 10-7-0 10-7-1

Ohio St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home IU Indy -34.0 W by 16 -18.0
11/07 Home Purdue FW -24.0 W by 26 +2.0
11/11 Home App State -23.5 W by 22 -1.5
11/16 Home Notre Dame -10.0 W by 1 -9.0
11/20 Home W Michigan -26.5 W by 33 +6.5
11/25 Home Mt St Mary's -30.5 W by 53 +22.5
11/28 Away Pittsburgh -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
12/06 Away Northwestern (Pick) W by 4 +4.0
12/09 Home Illinois +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
12/13 Neutral West Virginia -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
12/20 Neutral North Carolina +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
12/23 Home Grambling -28.5 W by 26 -2.5
01/02 Away Rutgers -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
01/05 Home Nebraska -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
01/08 Away Oregon +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
01/11 Away Washington +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/17 Home UCLA -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/20 Home Minnesota -8.0 W by 8 0.0
01/23 Away Michigan +16.5 L by 12 +4.5
01/26 Home Penn St -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
01/31 Away Wisconsin +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
02/05 Away Maryland -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
02/08 Home Michigan +9.5 L by 21 -11.5
02/11 Home USC -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
02/14 Neutral Virginia +5.0 L by 4 +1.0
02/17 Home Wisconsin (Pick) W by 17 +17.0
02/22 Away Michigan St +10.5 L by 6 +4.5
02/25 Away Iowa +6.5 L by 17 -10.5
03/01 Home Purdue +6.5 W by 8 +14.5
03/04 Away Penn St -6.5 W by 32 +25.5
03/07 Home Indiana -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
03/12 Neutral Iowa +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/13 Neutral Michigan +12.5 L by 4 +8.5
03/19 Neutral TCU -2.5 L by 2 -4.5

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5