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Ohio St vs. Virginia: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 14, 2026 8:00 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Virginia by 5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: OSU vs. UVA

More Games From Feb 14, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Ohio St +5.0 Official TR Pick Ohio St 53% odds to cover
Ohio St +5.0 Power Rating Model Ohio St 56% odds to cover
Ohio St +5.0 Similar Games Ohio St 53% odds to cover
Ohio St +5.0 Decision Tree Ohio St 53% odds to cover
Ohio St +5.0 Predictive Ratings Ohio St 60% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record OSU adv UVA
Season 17-16-1 17-17-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-9-1 11-10-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 8-2-0 4-6-0
Home 7-9-1 8-8-1
Away 10-7-0 9-9-1

Ohio St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home IU Indy -34.0 W by 16 -18.0
11/07 Home Purdue FW -24.0 W by 26 +2.0
11/11 Home App State -23.5 W by 22 -1.5
11/16 Home Notre Dame -10.0 W by 1 -9.0
11/20 Home W Michigan -26.5 W by 33 +6.5
11/25 Home Mt St Mary's -30.5 W by 53 +22.5
11/28 Away Pittsburgh -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
12/06 Away Northwestern (Pick) W by 4 +4.0
12/09 Home Illinois +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
12/13 Neutral West Virginia -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
12/20 Neutral North Carolina +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
12/23 Home Grambling -28.5 W by 26 -2.5
01/02 Away Rutgers -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
01/05 Home Nebraska -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
01/08 Away Oregon +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
01/11 Away Washington +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/17 Home UCLA -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/20 Home Minnesota -8.0 W by 8 0.0
01/23 Away Michigan +16.5 L by 12 +4.5
01/26 Home Penn St -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
01/31 Away Wisconsin +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
02/05 Away Maryland -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
02/08 Home Michigan +9.5 L by 21 -11.5
02/11 Home USC -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
02/14 Neutral Virginia +5.0 L by 4 +1.0
02/17 Home Wisconsin (Pick) W by 17 +17.0
02/22 Away Michigan St +10.5 L by 6 +4.5
02/25 Away Iowa +6.5 L by 17 -10.5
03/01 Home Purdue +6.5 W by 8 +14.5
03/04 Away Penn St -6.5 W by 32 +25.5
03/07 Home Indiana -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
03/12 Neutral Iowa +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/13 Neutral Michigan +12.5 L by 4 +8.5
03/19 Neutral TCU -2.5 L by 2 -4.5

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Rider -26.5 W by 34 +7.5
11/07 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 19 -15.0
11/11 Home Hampton -24.0 W by 38 +14.0
11/15 Home Marshall -20.5 W by 26 +5.5
11/21 Neutral Northwestern -5.0 W by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral Butler -7.0 L by 7 -14.0
11/28 Home Queens -25.0 W by 25 0.0
12/03 Away Texas +3.0 W by 19 +22.0
12/06 Neutral Dayton -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/09 Home Maryland ES -36.5 W by 24 -12.5
12/20 Home Maryland -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
12/22 Home American -27.5 W by 44 +16.5
12/31 Away Virginia Tech -6.0 L by 10 -16.0
01/03 Away NC State +4.0 W by 15 +19.0
01/07 Home California -14.0 W by 24 +10.0
01/10 Home Stanford -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
01/13 Away Louisville +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/17 Away SMU -2.0 W by 4 +2.0
01/24 Home North Carolina -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
01/27 Away Notre Dame -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
01/31 Away Boston College -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
02/03 Home Pittsburgh -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
02/07 Home Syracuse -14.0 W by 13 -1.0
02/10 Away Florida St -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/14 Neutral Ohio St -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/18 Away Georgia Tech -13.0 W by 26 +13.0
02/21 Home Miami -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
02/24 Home NC State -6.5 W by 29 +22.5
02/28 Away Duke +9.5 L by 26 -16.5
03/03 Home Wake Forest -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
03/07 Home Virginia Tech -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral NC State -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/13 Neutral Miami -3.5 W by 22 +18.5
03/14 Neutral Duke +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Wright St -17.5 W by 9 -8.5
03/22 Neutral Tennessee +1.5 L by 7 -5.5