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W Michigan at Texas St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 3:00 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 6, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: WMU @ TXST

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
W Michigan +6.0 Official TR Pick W Michigan 51% odds to cover
W Michigan +6.0 Power Rating Model W Michigan 70% odds to cover
W Michigan +6.0 Decision Tree W Michigan 51% odds to cover
W Michigan +6.0 Predictive Ratings W Michigan 51% odds to cover
Texas St -6.0 Similar Games Texas St 62% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record WMU adv TXST
Season 16-12-0 14-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-8-0 8-10-1
Streak W1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 8-5-0 10-5-0
Away 8-7-0 4-10-1

W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Coastal Car -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
11/06 Home Northwood (MI) -- L by 4 --
11/09 Away Campbell +9.5 L by 9 +0.5
11/12 Home Purdue FW +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
11/16 Away South Dakota +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
11/20 Away Ohio St +26.5 L by 33 -6.5
11/23 Home Mt St Mary's (Pick) W by 23 +23.0
11/29 Away Valparaiso +5.0 L by 29 -24.0
12/03 Home S Indiana -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
12/06 Away SIU Edward +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
12/14 Away Iowa +25.5 L by 40 -14.5
12/20 Home Buffalo +2.5 L by 17 -14.5
12/22 Home Defiance -- W by 37 --
12/30 Away Toledo +10.5 L by 5 +5.5
01/06 Away Miami OH +14.5 L by 11 +3.5
01/10 Home E Michigan +1.5 W by 17 +18.5
01/13 Home UMass +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/17 Away Akron +21.5 L by 15 +6.5
01/20 Home Bowling Green +6.5 L by 18 -11.5
01/24 Home C Michigan -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/27 Away N Illinois +1.5 L by 20 -18.5
02/03 Away Ohio +9.0 L by 20 -11.0
02/07 Away Texas St +6.0 L by 16 -10.0
02/11 Home Toledo +6.0 L by 11 -5.0
02/14 Away E Michigan +6.5 W by 14 +20.5
02/17 Home Akron +14.0 L by 17 -3.0
02/21 Away C Michigan +3.5 L by 13 -9.5
02/24 Away Bowling Green +11.5 W by 9 +20.5
02/27 Home Miami OH +11.5 L by 2 +9.5
03/03 Home Ball St -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
03/06 Away Kent St +13.5 L by 8 +5.5

Texas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Bowling Green +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
11/05 Home Texas A&M-San Antonio -- W by 59 --
11/08 Away Tulane +12.5 L by 8 +4.5
11/12 Home UTSA -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
11/15 Home Texas So -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
11/18 Home Abl Christian -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
11/21 Home Little Rock -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
11/24 Home Texas Lutheran -- W by 52 --
11/28 Neutral Seattle +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
11/29 Neutral Lehigh -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
12/03 Away Rice +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/10 Home Southern -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
12/17 Home Arkansas St +5.0 L by 19 -14.0
12/20 Home S Alabama -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
12/31 Away Troy +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/03 Away UL Monroe -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/08 Away Southern Miss +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/10 Away Arkansas St +11.5 L by 1 +10.5
01/14 Home Louisiana -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
01/17 Home Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
01/22 Away Coastal Car +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/24 Away J Madison +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/28 Home Marshall +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/31 Home Old Dominion -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
02/04 Away Georgia So +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
02/07 Home W Michigan -6.0 W by 16 +10.0
02/11 Home Troy +5.0 W by 12 +17.0
02/14 Home UL Monroe -14.0 W by 11 -3.0
02/19 Away S Alabama +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
02/21 Away Louisiana -3.0 L by 13 -16.0
02/27 Home App State -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/06 Neutral Southern Miss -1.5 L by 4 -5.5