Creighton at Villanova: Point Spread Line Movement

Wednesday Jan 7, 2026 7:30 pm - Villanova, PA
Odds: Villanova by 4.5, Total Points: 142.5

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3901 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

• The team like Villanova won the game 2521 times (64.6%).
• The team like Creighton won the game 1380 times (35.4%).
• The team like Creighton did better against the spread, going 1953-1902-46 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 984 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Villanova did better against the spread, going 497-465-22 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.