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Duke vs. Michigan: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 6:30 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan by 2.5, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: DUKE vs. MICH

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 151.5	Official TR Pick	56% odds to go under
Under 151.5	Similar Games	58% odds to go under
Under 151.5	Decision Tree	56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DUKE	MICH
Season	14-24-0	17-23-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-12-0	9-14-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	5-10-0	6-9-0
Away	9-14-0	11-14-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Duke Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Neutral	Texas	154.0	75-60	Under	-19.0
11/08	Home	W Carolina	153.0	95-54	Under	-4.0
11/11	Away	Army	153.5	114-59	Over	+19.5
11/14	Home	Indiana St	163.5	100-62	Under	-1.5
11/18	Neutral	Kansas	148.5	78-66	Under	-4.5
11/21	Home	Niagara	145.0	100-42	Under	-3.0
11/23	Home	Howard	151.0	93-56	Under	-2.0
11/27	Neutral	Arkansas	160.0	80-71	Under	-9.0
12/02	Home	Florida	157.5	67-66	Under	-24.5
12/06	Away	Michigan St	141.5	66-60	Under	-15.5
12/16	Home	Lipscomb	152.0	97-73	Over	+18.0
12/20	Neutral	Texas Tech	152.5	81-82	Over	+10.5
12/31	Home	Georgia Tech	153.5	85-79	Over	+10.5
01/03	Away	Florida St	163.0	91-87	Over	+15.0
01/06	Away	Louisville	160.5	84-73	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	SMU	156.0	82-75	Over	+1.0
01/14	Away	California	149.0	71-56	Under	-22.0
01/17	Away	Stanford	149.0	80-50	Under	-19.0
01/24	Home	Wake Forest	151.5	90-69	Over	+7.5
01/26	Home	Louisville	157.0	83-52	Under	-22.0
01/31	Away	Virginia Tech	148.0	72-58	Under	-18.0
02/03	Home	Boston College	141.5	67-49	Under	-25.5
02/07	Away	North Carolina	151.5	68-71	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Pittsburgh	136.5	70-54	Under	-12.5
02/14	Home	Clemson	134.0	67-54	Under	-13.0
02/16	Home	Syracuse	145.0	101-64	Over	+20.0
02/21	Neutral	Michigan	150.5	68-63	Under	-19.5
02/24	Away	Notre Dame	142.5	100-56	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	Virginia	142.5	77-51	Under	-14.5
03/02	Away	NC State	150.5	93-64	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	North Carolina	147.5	76-61	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Florida St	150.5	80-79	Over	+8.5
03/13	Neutral	Clemson	134.5	73-61	Under	-0.5
03/14	Neutral	Virginia	139.5	74-70	Over	+4.5
03/19	Neutral	Siena	137.5	71-65	Under	-1.5
03/21	Neutral	TCU	141.5	81-58	Under	-2.5
03/27	Neutral	St John's	140.5	80-75	Over	+14.5
03/29	Neutral	UConn	135.5	72-73	Over	+9.5

Michigan Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Oakland	156.5	121-78	Over	+42.5
11/11	Neutral	Wake Forest	167.0	85-84	Over	+2.0
11/14	Away	TCU	163.5	67-63	Under	-33.5
11/19	Home	Middle Tenn	159.5	86-61	Under	-12.5
11/24	Neutral	San Diego St	149.5	94-54	Under	-1.5
11/25	Neutral	Auburn	163.5	102-72	Over	+10.5
11/26	Neutral	Gonzaga	165.5	101-61	Under	-3.5
12/06	Home	Rutgers	153.0	101-60	Over	+8.0
12/09	Home	Villanova	157.0	89-61	Under	-7.0
12/13	Away	Maryland	163.5	101-83	Over	+20.5
12/21	Home	La Salle	155.5	102-50	Under	-3.5
12/29	Home	McNeese	162.0	112-71	Over	+21.0
01/02	Home	USC	173.5	96-66	Under	-11.5
01/06	Away	Penn St	168.5	74-72	Under	-22.5
01/10	Home	Wisconsin	169.5	88-91	Over	+9.5
01/14	Away	Washington	165.5	82-72	Under	-11.5
01/17	Away	Oregon	157.5	81-71	Under	-5.5
01/20	Home	Indiana	163.5	86-72	Under	-5.5
01/23	Home	Ohio St	165.5	74-62	Under	-29.5
01/27	Home	Nebraska	157.0	75-72	Under	-10.0
01/30	Away	Michigan St	150.5	83-71	Over	+3.5
02/05	Home	Penn St	162.5	110-69	Over	+16.5
02/08	Away	Ohio St	161.5	82-61	Under	-18.5
02/11	Away	Northwestern	154.0	87-75	Over	+8.0
02/14	Home	UCLA	155.5	86-56	Under	-13.5
02/17	Away	Purdue	157.0	91-80	Over	+14.0
02/21	Neutral	Duke	150.5	63-68	Under	-19.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	145.5	77-67	Under	-1.5
02/27	Away	Illinois	159.5	84-70	Under	-5.5
03/05	Away	Iowa	146.5	71-68	Under	-7.5
03/08	Home	Michigan St	152.5	90-80	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	Ohio St	155.5	71-67	Under	-17.5
03/14	Neutral	Wisconsin	162.5	68-65	Under	-29.5
03/15	Neutral	Purdue	149.5	72-80	Over	+2.5
03/19	Neutral	Howard	151.5	101-80	Over	+29.5
03/21	Neutral	Saint Louis	161.5	95-72	Over	+5.5
03/27	Neutral	Alabama	172.5	90-77	Under	-5.5
03/29	Neutral	Tennessee	146.5	95-62	Over	+10.5
04/04	Neutral	Arizona	157.5	91-73	Over	+6.5
04/06	Neutral	UConn	146.5	69-63	Under	-14.5