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Duke vs. Michigan: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 6:30 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan by 2.5, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: DUKE vs. MICH

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Duke +2.5 Official TR Pick Duke 50% odds to cover
Duke +2.5 Power Rating Model Duke 56% odds to cover
Duke +2.5 Decision Tree Duke 50% odds to cover
Michigan -2.5 Similar Games Michigan 58% odds to cover
Michigan -2.5 Predictive Ratings Michigan 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DUKE adv MICH
Season 20-18-0 19-21-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 8-15-0
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 7-8-0 8-7-0
Away 13-10-0 11-14-0

Duke Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Texas -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/08 Home W Carolina -37.0 W by 41 +4.0
11/11 Away Army -34.5 W by 55 +20.5
11/14 Home Indiana St -36.5 W by 38 +1.5
11/18 Neutral Kansas -11.0 W by 12 +1.0
11/21 Home Niagara -39.5 W by 58 +18.5
11/23 Home Howard -43.5 W by 37 -6.5
11/27 Neutral Arkansas -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
12/02 Home Florida -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
12/06 Away Michigan St -1.0 W by 6 +5.0
12/16 Home Lipscomb -32.0 W by 24 -8.0
12/20 Neutral Texas Tech -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/31 Home Georgia Tech -27.5 W by 6 -21.5
01/03 Away Florida St -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
01/06 Away Louisville (Pick) W by 11 +11.0
01/10 Home SMU -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/14 Away California -14.0 W by 15 +1.0
01/17 Away Stanford -11.0 W by 30 +19.0
01/24 Home Wake Forest -18.0 W by 21 +3.0
01/26 Home Louisville -8.5 W by 31 +22.5
01/31 Away Virginia Tech -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
02/03 Home Boston College -27.0 W by 18 -9.0
02/07 Away North Carolina -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
02/10 Away Pittsburgh -18.0 W by 16 -2.0
02/14 Home Clemson -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
02/16 Home Syracuse -20.5 W by 37 +16.5
02/21 Neutral Michigan +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/24 Away Notre Dame -16.5 W by 44 +27.5
02/28 Home Virginia -9.5 W by 26 +16.5
03/02 Away NC State -9.5 W by 29 +19.5
03/07 Home North Carolina -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Florida St -16.5 W by 1 -15.5
03/13 Neutral Clemson -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Virginia -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/19 Neutral Siena -28.5 W by 6 -22.5
03/21 Neutral TCU -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral St John's -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
03/29 Neutral UConn -4.5 L by 1 -5.5

Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Oakland -24.5 W by 43 +18.5
11/11 Neutral Wake Forest -15.0 W by 1 -14.0
11/14 Away TCU -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/19 Home Middle Tenn -28.0 W by 25 -3.0
11/24 Neutral San Diego St -5.5 W by 40 +34.5
11/25 Neutral Auburn -5.0 W by 30 +25.0
11/26 Neutral Gonzaga +2.5 W by 40 +42.5
12/06 Home Rutgers -25.5 W by 41 +15.5
12/09 Home Villanova -18.0 W by 28 +10.0
12/13 Away Maryland -19.5 W by 18 -1.5
12/21 Home La Salle -40.5 W by 52 +11.5
12/29 Home McNeese -24.0 W by 41 +17.0
01/02 Home USC -22.5 W by 30 +7.5
01/06 Away Penn St -24.0 W by 2 -22.0
01/10 Home Wisconsin -19.0 L by 3 -22.0
01/14 Away Washington -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
01/17 Away Oregon -18.5 W by 10 -8.5
01/20 Home Indiana -15.5 W by 14 -1.5
01/23 Home Ohio St -16.5 W by 12 -4.5
01/27 Home Nebraska -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/30 Away Michigan St -2.5 W by 12 +9.5
02/05 Home Penn St -26.5 W by 41 +14.5
02/08 Away Ohio St -9.5 W by 21 +11.5
02/11 Away Northwestern -15.0 W by 12 -3.0
02/14 Home UCLA -16.5 W by 30 +13.5
02/17 Away Purdue -2.5 W by 11 +8.5
02/21 Neutral Duke -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
02/24 Home Minnesota -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
02/27 Away Illinois -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/05 Away Iowa -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
03/08 Home Michigan St -10.5 W by 10 -0.5
03/13 Neutral Ohio St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
03/14 Neutral Wisconsin -12.5 W by 3 -9.5
03/15 Neutral Purdue -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
03/19 Neutral Howard -30.5 W by 21 -9.5
03/21 Neutral Saint Louis -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral Alabama -9.5 W by 13 +3.5
03/29 Neutral Tennessee -8.5 W by 33 +24.5
04/04 Neutral Arizona -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
04/06 Neutral UConn -6.5 W by 6 -0.5