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N Dakota St vs. Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Mar 19, 2026 4:27 pm - Buffalo, NY (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan State by 15.5, Total Points: 143.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan St -16.5 Official TR Pick Michigan St 51% odds to cover
Michigan St -16.5 Similar Games Michigan St 61% odds to cover
Michigan St -16.5 Decision Tree Michigan St 51% odds to cover
Michigan St -16.5 Predictive Ratings Michigan St 55% odds to cover
N Dakota St +16.5 Power Rating Model N Dakota St 63% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record NDSU adv MSU
Season 18-14-0 17-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 11-9-1
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 6-4-0
Home 7-4-0 7-9-1
Away 11-10-0 10-7-1

N Dakota St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Oregon St +10.0 L by 2 +8.0
11/05 Away UC Davis +2.0 L by 12 -10.0
11/11 Home CS Northridge -4.5 W by 22 +17.5
11/12 Home St. Scholastica -4.5 W by 73 +68.5
11/17 Home S Illinois -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
11/19 Home Jamestown -- W by 15 --
11/26 Neutral Jacksonville St -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
11/28 Away Arkansas St +3.0 L by 5 -2.0
12/03 Away Montana +3.5 W by 9 +12.5
12/06 Home N Arizona -13.0 W by 1 -12.0
12/11 Away CS Bakersfield -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
12/13 Away Drake +5.5 W by 5 +10.5
12/15 Home Minnesota-Crookston -- W by 34 --
12/21 Neutral UC Irvine -1.0 L by 1 -2.0
12/22 Away UTEP -2.5 L by 10 -12.5
12/31 Home South Dakota -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
01/03 Home Oral Roberts -13.5 W by 2 -11.5
01/08 Away Kansas City -9.5 W by 24 +14.5
01/10 Away Omaha -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
01/14 Home S Dakota St -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
01/17 Home St Thomas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/22 Away Denver -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/24 Away Oral Roberts -8.5 W by 28 +19.5
01/31 Away South Dakota -9.0 W by 5 -4.0
02/05 Home Denver -12.0 L by 7 -19.0
02/07 Home Omaha -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
02/14 Away North Dakota -5.0 W by 17 +12.0
02/18 Away S Dakota St -1.0 W by 8 +7.0
02/21 Home Kansas City -20.0 W by 36 +16.0
02/26 Away St Thomas +3.5 L by 22 -18.5
02/28 Home North Dakota -11.5 W by 33 +21.5
03/05 Neutral Oral Roberts -12.5 W by 11 -1.5
03/07 Neutral Omaha -8.5 W by 24 +15.5
03/08 Neutral North Dakota -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
03/19 Neutral Michigan St +15.5 L by 25 -9.5

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5