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S Florida vs. Louisville: Recap

Thursday Mar 19, 2026 1:30 pm - Buffalo, NY (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 2.5, Total Points: 160.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville USF 36.4%
LOU 63.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -3.5 USF 47.4%
LOU 52.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 160.5 Over 46.8%
Under 53.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off USF -4.4%
LOU 0.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
USF 77.4 78.5 79
LOU 81.6 82.0 83

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat USF LOU
Points/Game 86.8 84.3
Avg Score Margin +10.2 +11.7
Assists/Game 16.8 17.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 42.3 38.3
Effective FG % 50.6% 56.5%
Off Rebound % 35.8% 31.6%
FTA/FGA 0.404 0.331
Turnover % 12.5% 14.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat USF LOU
Opp Points/Game 76.5 72.5
Opp Effective FG % 48.8% 48.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.7 10.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 24.6 25.9
Blocks/Game 4.0 3.3
Steals/Game 9.0 6.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.8 18.5