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New Mexico St vs. S Alabama: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 2, 2025 7:00 pm - Katy, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: New Mexico State by 4, Total Points: 135.5

Matchup Menu: NMSU vs. USA

More Games From Dec 2, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 135.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 135.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go over
Over 135.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	NMSU	USA
Season	17-11-1	16-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-9-1	9-10-0
Streak	Un 3	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	7-5-0	5-7-0
Away	10-6-1	11-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

New Mexico St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Adams St.	--	83-72	Under	--
11/11	Home	New Mexico Highlands	--	74-58	Under	--
11/15	Home	New Mexico	139.5	76-68	Over	+4.5
11/21	Home	Samford	146.0	81-72	Over	+7.0
11/25	Neutral	UC Irvine	138.5	57-45	Under	-36.5
11/26	Neutral	Georgia St	136.5	77-58	Under	-1.5
12/02	Neutral	S Alabama	135.5	75-77	Over	+16.5
12/06	Away	Abl Christian	132.0	69-77	Over	+14.0
12/13	Neutral	Tulsa	146.0	70-83	Over	+7.0
12/21	Home	Sam Houston	153.5	87-78	Over	+11.5
12/28	Home	University of the Southwest	--	104-33	Under	--
01/02	Away	Florida Intl	155.5	74-89	Over	+7.5
01/04	Away	Missouri St	135.0	82-89	Over	+36.0
01/08	Home	W Kentucky	154.5	80-64	Under	-10.5
01/10	Home	Middle Tenn	142.5	55-59	Under	-28.5
01/15	Away	Liberty	144.5	71-73	Under	-0.5
01/17	Away	Delaware	133.5	97-68	Over	+31.5
01/22	Home	Missouri St	144.0	75-84	Over	+15.0
01/24	Home	Florida Intl	157.5	78-81	Over	+1.5
01/28	Home	Delaware	137.5	64-73	Under	-0.5
01/31	Away	Kennesaw St	159.0	53-76	Under	-30.0
02/04	Away	Louisiana Tech	135.0	72-63	Push	0.0
02/07	Away	UTEP	138.0	88-91	Over	+41.0
02/11	Home	Liberty	143.5	75-77	Over	+8.5
02/14	Away	Jacksonville St	139.0	79-70	Over	+10.0
02/21	Home	UTEP	142.5	67-63	Under	-12.5
02/26	Away	W Kentucky	151.5	70-93	Over	+11.5
02/28	Away	Middle Tenn	148.5	85-86	Over	+22.5
03/05	Home	Jacksonville St	145.5	77-75	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Kennesaw St	157.5	79-76	Under	-2.5
03/10	Neutral	Jacksonville St	141.5	68-63	Under	-10.5
03/11	Neutral	Sam Houston	154.5	61-69	Under	-24.5

S Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Toledo	151.0	76-74	Under	-1.0
11/06	Home	Alcorn St	141.5	76-70	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Spring Hill	--	99-50	Under	--
11/13	Neutral	C Michigan	143.0	66-64	Under	-13.0
11/15	Neutral	Coppin St	133.5	72-62	Over	+0.5
11/19	Away	Jacksonville St	134.5	71-65	Over	+1.5
11/21	Away	UAB	147.5	72-80	Over	+4.5
11/30	Away	UTSA	141.0	82-58	Under	-1.0
12/02	Neutral	New Mexico St	135.5	77-75	Over	+16.5
12/05	Away	E Tennessee St	143.5	65-91	Over	+12.5
12/14	Home	N Texas	135.0	57-58	Under	-20.0
12/17	Away	UL Monroe	148.5	96-92	Over	+39.5
12/20	Away	Texas St	137.0	65-67	Under	-5.0
12/29	Home	Mobile	--	85-52	Under	--
12/31	Away	Louisiana	128.0	63-58	Under	-7.0
01/03	Away	Troy	148.5	49-59	Under	-40.5
01/10	Home	Georgia So	148.5	87-71	Over	+9.5
01/15	Home	Arkansas St	154.0	91-87	Over	+24.0
01/17	Home	Louisiana	130.5	56-59	Under	-15.5
01/22	Away	J Madison	138.5	90-83	Over	+34.5
01/29	Home	Coastal Car	140.5	53-48	Under	-39.5
01/31	Home	Georgia St	139.5	69-67	Under	-3.5
02/04	Away	App State	131.0	57-65	Under	-9.0
02/07	Home	Buffalo	144.0	81-69	Over	+6.0
02/12	Away	Southern Miss	135.5	84-78	Over	+26.5
02/14	Away	Arkansas St	149.5	92-88	Over	+30.5
02/16	Away	Marshall	150.5	80-84	Over	+13.5
02/19	Home	Texas St	137.5	82-90	Over	+34.5
02/21	Home	Troy	144.5	65-54	Under	-25.5
02/25	Home	UL Monroe	153.5	89-54	Under	-10.5
02/27	Home	Southern Miss	141.5	55-68	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Georgia So	149.5	85-94	Over	+29.5
03/17	Away	Auburn	151.5	67-78	Under	-6.5