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Washington at Sacramento: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Jan 16, 2026 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Sacramento by 7.5, Total Points: 235.5

Matchup Menu: WAS @ SAC

More Games From Jan 16, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 235.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 235.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Under 235.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	WAS	SAC
Season	47-35-0	43-39-0
vs Division	10-6-0	10-6-0
vs Conference	33-19-0	25-27-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 2
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	23-18-0	22-19-0
Away	24-17-0	21-20-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Washington Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Milwaukee	228.0	120-133	Over	+25.0
10/24	Away	Dallas	228.5	117-107	Under	-4.5
10/26	Home	Charlotte	240.0	113-139	Over	+12.0
10/28	Home	Philadelphia	238.5	134-139	Over	+34.5
10/30	Away	Okla City	231.5	108-127	Over	+3.5
11/01	Home	Orlando	234.5	94-125	Under	-15.5
11/03	Away	New York	234.0	102-119	Under	-13.0
11/05	Away	Boston	232.5	107-136	Over	+10.5
11/07	Home	Cleveland	240.5	115-148	Over	+22.5
11/08	Home	Dallas	234.5	105-111	Under	-18.5
11/10	Away	Detroit	236.5	135-137	Over	+35.5
11/12	Away	Houston	236.5	112-135	Over	+10.5
11/16	Home	Brooklyn	231.5	106-129	Over	+3.5
11/19	Away	Minnesota	239.5	109-120	Under	-10.5
11/21	Away	Toronto	238.5	110-140	Over	+11.5
11/22	Away	Chicago	245.5	120-121	Under	-4.5
11/25	Home	Atlanta	239.5	132-113	Over	+5.5
11/28	Away	Indiana	239.5	86-119	Under	-34.5
12/01	Home	Milwaukee	232.5	129-126	Over	+22.5
12/02	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	102-121	Under	-11.5
12/04	Home	Boston	231.5	101-146	Over	+15.5
12/06	Home	Atlanta	237.5	116-131	Over	+9.5
12/12	Home	Cleveland	245.5	126-130	Over	+10.5
12/14	Away	Indiana	233.5	108-89	Under	-36.5
12/18	Away	San Antonio	241.5	94-119	Under	-28.5
12/20	Away	Memphis	233.5	130-122	Over	+18.5
12/21	Home	San Antonio	237.5	113-124	Under	-0.5
12/23	Away	Charlotte	239.5	109-126	Under	-4.5
12/26	Home	Toronto	225.5	138-117	Over	+29.5
12/28	Home	Memphis	241.5	116-112	Under	-13.5
12/29	Home	Phoenix	233.5	101-115	Under	-17.5
12/31	Away	Milwaukee	234.5	114-113	Under	-7.5
01/02	Home	Brooklyn	224.5	119-99	Under	-6.5
01/04	Home	Minnesota	239.5	115-141	Over	+16.5
01/06	Home	Orlando	235.5	120-112	Under	-3.5
01/07	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	110-131	Over	+6.5
01/09	Home	New Orleans	243.5	107-128	Under	-8.5
01/11	Away	Phoenix	229.5	93-112	Under	-24.5
01/14	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	105-119	Under	-2.5
01/16	Away	Sacramento	235.5	115-128	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Denver	227.5	115-121	Over	+8.5
01/19	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	106-110	Under	-11.5
01/22	Home	Denver	227.5	97-107	Under	-23.5
01/24	Away	Charlotte	232.5	115-119	Over	+1.5
01/27	Home	Portland	233.5	115-111	Under	-7.5
01/29	Home	Milwaukee	223.5	109-99	Under	-15.5
01/30	Home	LA Lakers	229.5	111-142	Over	+23.5
02/01	Home	Sacramento	227.5	116-112	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	New York	227.5	101-132	Over	+5.5
02/05	Away	Detroit	227.5	126-117	Over	+15.5
02/07	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	113-127	Over	+23.5
02/08	Home	Miami	236.5	101-132	Under	-3.5
02/11	Away	Cleveland	239.5	113-138	Over	+11.5
02/19	Home	Indiana	233.5	112-105	Under	-16.5
02/20	Home	Indiana	230.5	131-118	Over	+18.5
02/22	Home	Charlotte	224.5	112-129	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Atlanta	236.5	98-119	Under	-19.5
02/26	Away	Atlanta	235.5	96-126	Under	-13.5
02/28	Home	Toronto	229.5	125-134	Over	+29.5
03/02	Home	Houston	225.5	118-123	Over	+15.5
03/03	Away	Orlando	227.5	109-126	Over	+7.5
03/05	Home	Utah	240.5	112-122	Under	-6.5
03/08	Away	New Orleans	244.5	118-138	Over	+11.5
03/10	Away	Miami	235.5	129-150	Over	+43.5
03/12	Away	Orlando	236.5	131-136	Over	+30.5
03/14	Away	Boston	233.5	100-111	Under	-22.5
03/16	Home	Golden State	234.5	117-125	Over	+7.5
03/17	Home	Detroit	234.5	117-130	Over	+12.5
03/19	Home	Detroit	231.5	95-117	Under	-19.5
03/21	Home	Okla City	231.5	111-132	Over	+11.5
03/22	Away	New York	229.5	113-145	Over	+28.5
03/25	Away	Utah	239.5	133-110	Over	+3.5
03/27	Away	Golden State	230.5	126-131	Over	+26.5
03/29	Away	Portland	236.5	88-123	Under	-25.5
03/30	Away	LA Lakers	236.5	101-120	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Philadelphia	238.5	131-153	Over	+45.5
04/04	Away	Miami	245.5	136-152	Over	+42.5
04/05	Away	Brooklyn	230.5	115-121	Over	+5.5
04/07	Home	Chicago	250.5	98-129	Under	-23.5
04/09	Home	Chicago	249.5	108-119	Under	-22.5
04/10	Home	Miami	244.5	117-140	Over	+12.5
04/12	Away	Cleveland	234.5	117-130	Over	+12.5

Sacramento Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Phoenix	228.5	116-120	Over	+7.5
10/24	Home	Utah	235.0	105-104	Under	-26.0
10/26	Home	LA Lakers	225.0	120-127	Over	+22.0
10/28	Away	Okla City	227.5	101-107	Under	-19.5
10/29	Away	Chicago	237.5	113-126	Over	+1.5
11/01	Away	Milwaukee	233.0	135-133	Over	+35.0
11/03	Away	Denver	237.0	124-130	Over	+17.0
11/05	Home	Golden State	224.5	121-116	Over	+12.5
11/07	Home	Okla City	234.5	101-132	Under	-1.5
11/09	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-144	Over	+22.5
11/11	Home	Denver	243.5	108-122	Under	-13.5
11/12	Home	Atlanta	230.5	100-133	Over	+2.5
11/14	Away	Minnesota	240.5	110-124	Under	-6.5
11/16	Away	San Antonio	242.5	110-123	Under	-9.5
11/19	Away	Okla City	232.5	99-113	Under	-20.5
11/20	Away	Memphis	234.5	96-137	Under	-1.5
11/22	Away	Denver	239.5	128-123	Over	+11.5
11/24	Home	Minnesota	238.5	117-112	Under	-9.5
11/26	Home	Phoenix	233.5	100-112	Under	-21.5
11/28	Away	Utah	242.5	119-128	Over	+4.5
11/30	Home	Memphis	233.5	107-115	Under	-11.5
12/03	Away	Houston	230.5	95-121	Under	-14.5
12/06	Away	Miami	241.5	127-111	Under	-3.5
12/08	Away	Indiana	232.5	105-116	Under	-11.5
12/11	Home	Denver	239.5	105-136	Over	+1.5
12/14	Away	Minnesota	235.5	103-117	Under	-15.5
12/18	Away	Portland	239.5	133-134	Over	+27.5
12/20	Home	Portland	235.5	93-98	Under	-44.5
12/21	Home	Houston	223.5	125-124	Over	+25.5
12/23	Home	Detroit	226.5	127-136	Over	+36.5
12/27	Home	Dallas	233.5	113-107	Under	-13.5
12/28	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	101-125	Under	-6.5
12/30	Away	LA Clippers	218.5	90-131	Over	+2.5
01/01	Home	Boston	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
01/02	Away	Phoenix	223.5	102-129	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	98-115	Under	-14.5
01/06	Home	Dallas	233.5	98-100	Under	-35.5
01/09	Away	Golden State	231.5	103-137	Over	+8.5
01/11	Home	Houston	223.5	111-98	Under	-14.5
01/12	Home	LA Lakers	231.5	124-112	Over	+4.5
01/14	Home	New York	229.5	112-101	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Washington	235.5	128-115	Over	+7.5
01/18	Home	Portland	229.5	110-117	Under	-2.5
01/20	Home	Miami	238.5	117-130	Over	+8.5
01/21	Home	Toronto	225.5	109-122	Over	+5.5
01/23	Away	Cleveland	233.5	118-123	Over	+7.5
01/25	Away	Detroit	226.5	116-139	Over	+28.5
01/27	Away	New York	225.5	87-103	Under	-35.5
01/29	Away	Philadelphia	229.5	111-113	Under	-5.5
01/30	Away	Boston	216.5	93-112	Under	-11.5
02/01	Away	Washington	227.5	112-116	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Memphis	235.5	125-129	Over	+18.5
02/06	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	111-114	Over	+2.5
02/07	Home	Cleveland	229.5	126-132	Over	+28.5
02/09	Away	New Orleans	229.5	94-120	Under	-15.5
02/11	Away	Utah	228.5	93-121	Under	-14.5
02/19	Home	Orlando	226.5	94-131	Under	-1.5
02/21	Away	San Antonio	230.5	122-139	Over	+30.5
02/23	Away	Memphis	232.5	123-114	Over	+4.5
02/25	Away	Houston	222.5	97-128	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Dallas	235.5	130-121	Over	+15.5
03/01	Away	LA Lakers	235.5	104-128	Under	-3.5
03/03	Home	Phoenix	224.5	103-114	Under	-7.5
03/05	Home	New Orleans	235.5	123-133	Over	+20.5
03/08	Home	Chicago	235.5	126-110	Over	+0.5
03/10	Home	Indiana	236.5	114-109	Under	-13.5
03/11	Home	Charlotte	224.5	109-117	Over	+1.5
03/14	Away	LA Clippers	231.5	118-109	Under	-4.5
03/15	Home	Utah	230.5	116-111	Under	-3.5
03/17	Home	San Antonio	233.5	104-132	Over	+2.5
03/19	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	118-139	Over	+28.5
03/22	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	126-122	Over	+28.5
03/24	Away	Charlotte	233.5	90-134	Under	-9.5
03/26	Away	Orlando	230.5	117-121	Over	+7.5
03/28	Away	Atlanta	234.5	113-123	Over	+1.5
03/29	Away	Brooklyn	217.5	99-116	Under	-2.5
04/01	Away	Toronto	226.5	123-115	Over	+11.5
04/03	Home	New Orleans	232.5	117-113	Under	-2.5
04/05	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-138	Over	+18.5
04/07	Away	Golden State	233.5	105-110	Under	-18.5
04/10	Home	Golden State	228.5	124-118	Over	+13.5
04/12	Away	Portland	226.5	110-122	Over	+5.5