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Golden State at Houston: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Mar 5, 2026 7:30 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 9.5, Total Points: 214.5

Matchup Menu: GS @ HOU

More Games From Mar 5, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 214.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 214.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Under 214.5	Similar Games	50% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	GS	HOU
Season	49-35-0	41-46-1
vs Division	7-11-0	8-8-0
vs Conference	32-22-0	26-32-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	5-5-0
Home	25-16-0	18-25-1
Away	24-19-0	23-21-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Golden State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/21	Away	LA Lakers	227.0	119-109	Over	+1.0
10/23	Home	Denver	233.0	137-131	Over	+35.0
10/24	Away	Portland	228.5	119-139	Over	+29.5
10/27	Home	Memphis	240.0	131-118	Over	+9.0
10/28	Home	LA Clippers	225.5	98-79	Under	-48.5
10/30	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	110-120	Over	+1.5
11/01	Away	Indiana	230.0	109-114	Under	-7.0
11/04	Home	Phoenix	235.5	118-107	Under	-10.5
11/05	Away	Sacramento	224.5	116-121	Over	+12.5
11/07	Away	Denver	230.5	104-129	Over	+2.5
11/09	Home	Indiana	221.5	114-83	Under	-24.5
11/11	Away	Okla City	227.5	102-126	Over	+0.5
11/12	Away	San Antonio	232.5	125-120	Over	+12.5
11/14	Away	San Antonio	233.5	109-108	Under	-16.5
11/16	Away	New Orleans	226.5	124-106	Over	+3.5
11/18	Away	Orlando	223.5	113-121	Over	+10.5
11/19	Away	Miami	234.5	96-110	Under	-28.5
11/21	Home	Portland	236.5	123-127	Over	+13.5
11/24	Home	Utah	239.5	134-117	Over	+11.5
11/26	Home	Houston	224.5	100-104	Under	-20.5
11/29	Home	New Orleans	228.5	104-96	Under	-28.5
12/02	Home	Okla City	223.5	112-124	Over	+12.5
12/04	Away	Philadelphia	223.5	98-99	Under	-26.5
12/06	Away	Cleveland	230.5	99-94	Under	-37.5
12/07	Away	Chicago	229.5	123-91	Under	-15.5
12/12	Home	Minnesota	227.5	120-127	Over	+19.5
12/14	Away	Portland	237.5	131-136	Over	+29.5
12/18	Away	Phoenix	229.5	98-99	Under	-32.5
12/20	Home	Phoenix	226.5	119-116	Over	+8.5
12/22	Home	Orlando	227.5	120-97	Under	-10.5
12/25	Home	Dallas	229.5	126-116	Over	+12.5
12/28	Away	Toronto	227.5	127-141	Over	+40.5
12/29	Away	Brooklyn	226.5	120-107	Over	+0.5
12/31	Away	Charlotte	235.5	132-125	Over	+21.5
01/02	Home	Okla City	226.5	94-131	Under	-1.5
01/03	Home	Utah	248.5	123-114	Under	-11.5
01/05	Away	LA Clippers	221.5	102-103	Under	-16.5
01/07	Home	Milwaukee	229.5	120-113	Over	+3.5
01/09	Home	Sacramento	231.5	137-103	Over	+8.5
01/11	Home	Atlanta	236.5	111-124	Under	-1.5
01/13	Home	Portland	225.5	119-97	Under	-9.5
01/15	Home	New York	227.5	126-113	Over	+11.5
01/17	Home	Charlotte	236.5	136-116	Over	+15.5
01/19	Home	Miami	239.5	135-112	Over	+7.5
01/20	Home	Toronto	225.5	127-145	Over	+46.5
01/22	Away	Dallas	234.5	115-123	Over	+3.5
01/25	Away	Minnesota	237.5	111-85	Under	-41.5
01/26	Away	Minnesota	226.5	83-108	Under	-35.5
01/28	Away	Utah	241.5	140-124	Over	+22.5
01/30	Home	Detroit	225.5	124-131	Over	+29.5
02/03	Home	Philadelphia	223.5	94-113	Under	-16.5
02/05	Away	Phoenix	213.5	101-97	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	LA Lakers	221.5	99-105	Under	-17.5
02/09	Home	Memphis	219.5	114-113	Over	+7.5
02/11	Home	San Antonio	220.5	113-126	Over	+18.5
02/19	Home	Boston	210.5	110-121	Over	+20.5
02/22	Home	Denver	228.5	128-117	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	New Orleans	228.5	109-113	Under	-6.5
02/25	Away	Memphis	226.5	133-112	Over	+18.5
02/28	Home	LA Lakers	226.5	101-129	Over	+3.5
03/02	Home	LA Clippers	216.5	101-114	Under	-1.5
03/05	Away	Houston	214.5	115-113	Over	+13.5
03/07	Away	Okla City	220.5	97-104	Under	-19.5
03/09	Away	Utah	225.0	116-119	Over	+10.0
03/10	Home	Chicago	226.5	124-130	Over	+27.5
03/13	Home	Minnesota	224.5	117-127	Over	+19.5
03/15	Away	New York	218.5	107-110	Under	-1.5
03/16	Away	Washington	234.5	125-117	Over	+7.5
03/18	Away	Boston	216.5	99-120	Over	+2.5
03/20	Away	Detroit	219.5	101-115	Under	-3.5
03/21	Away	Atlanta	227.5	110-126	Over	+8.5
03/23	Away	Dallas	230.5	137-131	Over	+37.5
03/25	Home	Brooklyn	218.5	109-106	Under	-3.5
03/27	Home	Washington	230.5	131-126	Over	+26.5
03/29	Away	Denver	237.5	93-116	Under	-28.5
04/01	Home	San Antonio	227.5	113-127	Over	+12.5
04/02	Home	Cleveland	229.5	111-118	Under	-0.5
04/05	Home	Houston	226.5	116-117	Over	+6.5
04/07	Home	Sacramento	233.5	110-105	Under	-18.5
04/09	Home	LA Lakers	222.5	103-119	Under	-0.5
04/10	Away	Sacramento	228.5	118-124	Over	+13.5
04/12	Away	LA Clippers	229.5	110-115	Under	-4.5
04/15	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	126-121	Over	+26.5
04/17	Away	Phoenix	219.5	96-111	Under	-12.5

Houston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/21	Away	Okla City	226.0	124-125	Over	+23.0
10/24	Home	Detroit	226.0	111-115	Push	0.0
10/27	Home	Brooklyn	225.0	137-109	Over	+21.0
10/29	Away	Toronto	234.5	139-121	Over	+25.5
11/01	Away	Boston	226.0	128-101	Over	+3.0
11/03	Home	Dallas	226.0	110-102	Under	-14.0
11/05	Away	Memphis	232.5	124-109	Over	+0.5
11/07	Away	San Antonio	224.5	110-121	Over	+6.5
11/09	Away	Milwaukee	232.5	122-115	Over	+4.5
11/12	Home	Washington	236.5	135-112	Over	+10.5
11/14	Home	Portland	236.5	140-116	Over	+19.5
11/16	Home	Orlando	224.5	117-113	Over	+5.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland	233.5	114-104	Under	-15.5
11/21	Home	Denver	234.5	109-112	Under	-13.5
11/24	Away	Phoenix	224.5	114-92	Under	-18.5
11/26	Away	Golden State	224.5	104-100	Under	-20.5
11/30	Away	Utah	233.5	129-101	Under	-3.5
12/01	Away	Utah	234.5	125-133	Over	+23.5
12/03	Home	Sacramento	230.5	121-95	Under	-14.5
12/05	Home	Phoenix	219.5	117-98	Under	-4.5
12/06	Away	Dallas	221.5	109-122	Over	+9.5
12/11	Home	LA Clippers	221.5	115-113	Over	+6.5
12/15	Away	Denver	236.5	125-128	Over	+16.5
12/18	Away	New Orleans	235.5	128-133	Over	+25.5
12/20	Away	Denver	235.5	115-101	Under	-19.5
12/21	Away	Sacramento	223.5	124-125	Over	+25.5
12/23	Away	LA Clippers	219.5	108-128	Over	+16.5
12/25	Away	LA Lakers	231.5	119-96	Under	-16.5
12/27	Home	Cleveland	232.5	117-100	Under	-15.5
12/29	Home	Indiana	223.5	126-119	Over	+21.5
01/01	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	120-96	Under	-0.5
01/03	Away	Dallas	228.5	104-110	Under	-14.5
01/05	Home	Phoenix	222.5	100-97	Under	-25.5
01/07	Away	Portland	222.5	102-103	Under	-17.5
01/09	Away	Portland	222.5	105-111	Under	-6.5
01/11	Away	Sacramento	223.5	98-111	Under	-14.5
01/13	Home	Chicago	224.5	119-113	Over	+7.5
01/15	Home	Okla City	221.5	91-111	Under	-19.5
01/16	Home	Minnesota	221.5	110-105	Under	-6.5
01/18	Home	New Orleans	232.5	119-110	Under	-3.5
01/20	Home	San Antonio	220.5	111-106	Under	-3.5
01/22	Away	Philadelphia	221.5	122-128	Over	+28.5
01/23	Away	Detroit	217.5	111-104	Under	-2.5
01/26	Home	Memphis	226.5	108-99	Under	-19.5
01/28	Home	San Antonio	219.5	99-111	Under	-9.5
01/29	Away	Atlanta	223.5	104-86	Under	-33.5
01/31	Home	Dallas	222.5	111-107	Under	-4.5
02/02	Away	Indiana	218.5	118-114	Over	+13.5
02/04	Home	Boston	211.5	93-114	Under	-4.5
02/05	Home	Charlotte	218.5	99-109	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Okla City	213.5	112-106	Over	+4.5
02/10	Home	LA Clippers	214.5	102-95	Under	-17.5
02/11	Home	LA Clippers	211.5	102-105	Under	-4.5
02/19	Away	Charlotte	218.5	105-101	Under	-12.5
02/21	Away	New York	220.5	106-108	Under	-6.5
02/23	Home	Utah	228.5	125-105	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Sacramento	222.5	128-97	Over	+2.5
02/26	Away	Orlando	214.5	113-108	Over	+6.5
02/28	Away	Miami	226.5	105-115	Under	-6.5
03/02	Away	Washington	225.5	123-118	Over	+15.5
03/05	Home	Golden State	214.5	113-115	Over	+13.5
03/06	Home	Portland	221.5	106-99	Under	-16.5
03/08	Away	San Antonio	222.5	120-145	Over	+42.5
03/10	Home	Toronto	220.5	113-99	Under	-8.5
03/11	Away	Denver	231.5	93-129	Under	-9.5
03/13	Home	New Orleans	230.5	107-105	Under	-18.5
03/16	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	92-100	Under	-31.5
03/18	Home	LA Lakers	222.5	116-124	Over	+17.5
03/20	Home	Atlanta	226.5	117-95	Under	-14.5
03/21	Home	Miami	228.5	123-122	Over	+16.5
03/23	Away	Chicago	232.5	124-132	Over	+23.5
03/25	Away	Minnesota	223.5	108-110	Under	-5.5
03/27	Away	Memphis	227.5	119-109	Over	+0.5
03/29	Away	New Orleans	226.5	134-102	Over	+9.5
03/31	Home	New York	217.5	111-94	Under	-12.5
04/01	Home	Milwaukee	215.5	119-113	Over	+16.5
04/03	Home	Utah	233.5	140-106	Over	+12.5
04/05	Away	Golden State	226.5	117-116	Over	+6.5
04/07	Away	Phoenix	220.5	119-105	Over	+3.5
04/09	Home	Philadelphia	226.5	113-102	Under	-11.5
04/10	Home	Minnesota	227.5	132-136	Over	+40.5
04/12	Home	Memphis	230.5	132-101	Over	+2.5
04/18	Away	LA Lakers	207.5	98-107	Under	-2.5
04/21	Away	LA Lakers	209.5	94-101	Under	-14.5
04/24	Home	LA Lakers	206.5	108-112	Over	+13.5
04/26	Home	LA Lakers	206.5	115-96	Over	+4.5
04/29	Away	LA Lakers	209.5	99-93	Under	-17.5
05/01	Home	LA Lakers	204.5	78-98	Under	-28.5