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Portland at Minnesota: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 8:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 5.5, Total Points: 234.5

Matchup Menu: POR @ MIN

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 234.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 234.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 234.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	POR	MIN
Season	44-44-0	43-51-0
vs Division	12-4-0	10-12-0
vs Conference	32-26-0	29-35-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 5
Last 5	1-4-0	5-0-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	26-17-0	17-30-0
Away	18-27-0	26-21-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Portland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Minnesota	222.0	114-118	Over	+10.0
10/24	Home	Golden State	228.5	139-119	Over	+29.5
10/26	Away	LA Clippers	225.0	107-114	Under	-4.0
10/27	Away	LA Lakers	227.5	122-108	Over	+2.5
10/29	Away	Utah	235.5	136-134	Over	+34.5
10/31	Home	Denver	239.5	109-107	Under	-23.5
11/03	Home	LA Lakers	228.0	115-123	Over	+10.0
11/05	Home	Okla City	231.5	121-119	Over	+8.5
11/08	Away	Miami	241.5	131-136	Over	+25.5
11/10	Away	Orlando	235.5	112-115	Under	-8.5
11/12	Away	New Orleans	231.5	125-117	Over	+10.5
11/14	Away	Houston	236.5	116-140	Over	+19.5
11/16	Away	Dallas	236.5	133-138	Over	+34.5
11/18	Home	Phoenix	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
11/19	Home	Chicago	244.5	121-122	Under	-1.5
11/21	Away	Golden State	236.5	127-123	Over	+13.5
11/23	Away	Okla City	234.5	95-122	Under	-17.5
11/24	Away	Milwaukee	230.5	115-103	Under	-12.5
11/26	Home	San Antonio	239.5	102-115	Under	-22.5
11/30	Home	Okla City	233.5	115-123	Over	+4.5
12/02	Away	Toronto	230.5	118-121	Over	+8.5
12/03	Away	Cleveland	243.5	122-110	Under	-11.5
12/05	Away	Detroit	236.5	116-122	Over	+1.5
12/07	Away	Memphis	232.5	96-119	Under	-17.5
12/11	Away	New Orleans	241.5	120-143	Over	+21.5
12/14	Home	Golden State	237.5	136-131	Over	+29.5
12/18	Home	Sacramento	239.5	134-133	Over	+27.5
12/20	Away	Sacramento	235.5	98-93	Under	-44.5
12/22	Home	Detroit	234.5	102-110	Under	-22.5
12/23	Home	Orlando	231.5	106-110	Under	-15.5
12/26	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	103-119	Under	-5.5
12/28	Home	Boston	231.5	114-108	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Dallas	232.5	125-122	Over	+14.5
12/31	Away	Okla City	232.5	95-124	Under	-13.5
01/02	Away	New Orleans	240.5	122-109	Under	-9.5
01/03	Away	San Antonio	235.5	115-110	Under	-10.5
01/05	Home	Utah	242.5	137-117	Over	+11.5
01/07	Home	Houston	222.5	103-102	Under	-17.5
01/09	Home	Houston	222.5	111-105	Under	-6.5
01/11	Home	New York	229.5	114-123	Over	+7.5
01/13	Away	Golden State	225.5	97-119	Under	-9.5
01/15	Home	Atlanta	228.5	117-101	Under	-10.5
01/17	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	132-116	Over	+24.5
01/18	Away	Sacramento	229.5	117-110	Under	-2.5
01/22	Home	Miami	235.5	127-110	Over	+1.5
01/23	Home	Toronto	224.5	98-110	Under	-16.5
01/26	Away	Boston	222.5	94-102	Under	-26.5
01/27	Away	Washington	233.5	111-115	Under	-7.5
01/30	Away	New York	224.5	97-127	Under	-0.5
02/01	Home	Cleveland	227.5	111-130	Over	+13.5
02/03	Home	Phoenix	219.5	125-130	Over	+35.5
02/06	Home	Memphis	235.5	135-115	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Memphis	229.5	122-115	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	Philadelphia	231.5	135-118	Over	+21.5
02/11	Away	Minnesota	234.5	109-133	Over	+7.5
02/12	Away	Utah	236.5	135-119	Over	+17.5
02/20	Home	Denver	241.5	103-157	Over	+18.5
02/22	Away	Phoenix	224.5	92-77	Under	-55.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	234.5	121-124	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	Chicago	234.5	121-112	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Charlotte	229.5	93-109	Under	-27.5
03/01	Away	Atlanta	235.5	101-135	Over	+0.5
03/04	Away	Memphis	231.5	122-114	Over	+4.5
03/06	Away	Houston	221.5	99-106	Under	-16.5
03/08	Home	Indiana	238.5	131-111	Over	+3.5
03/10	Home	Charlotte	227.5	101-103	Under	-23.5
03/13	Home	Utah	235.5	124-114	Over	+2.5
03/15	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	103-109	Under	-16.5
03/16	Away	Brooklyn	221.5	114-95	Under	-12.5
03/18	Away	Indiana	232.5	127-119	Over	+13.5
03/20	Away	Minnesota	231.5	108-104	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Denver	237.5	112-128	Over	+2.5
03/23	Home	Brooklyn	217.5	134-99	Over	+15.5
03/25	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	130-99	Over	+2.5
03/27	Home	Dallas	239.5	93-100	Under	-46.5
03/29	Home	Washington	236.5	123-88	Under	-25.5
03/31	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	114-104	Under	-7.5
04/02	Home	New Orleans	233.5	118-106	Under	-9.5
04/06	Away	Denver	236.5	132-137	Over	+32.5
04/08	Away	San Antonio	229.5	101-112	Under	-16.5
04/10	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	116-97	Under	-14.5
04/12	Home	Sacramento	226.5	122-110	Over	+5.5
04/14	Away	Phoenix	215.5	114-110	Over	+8.5
04/19	Away	San Antonio	222.5	98-111	Under	-13.5
04/21	Away	San Antonio	221.5	106-103	Under	-12.5
04/24	Home	San Antonio	220.5	108-120	Over	+7.5
04/26	Home	San Antonio	216.5	93-114	Under	-9.5
04/28	Away	San Antonio	218.5	95-114	Under	-9.5

Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Portland	222.0	118-114	Over	+10.0
10/24	Away	LA Lakers	226.0	110-128	Over	+12.0
10/26	Home	Indiana	228.5	114-110	Under	-4.5
10/27	Home	Denver	229.5	114-127	Over	+11.5
10/29	Home	LA Lakers	224.5	115-116	Over	+6.5
11/01	Away	Charlotte	235.0	122-105	Under	-8.0
11/03	Away	Brooklyn	226.0	125-109	Over	+8.0
11/05	Away	New York	228.5	114-137	Over	+22.5
11/07	Home	Utah	233.5	137-97	Over	+0.5
11/09	Away	Sacramento	238.5	144-117	Over	+22.5
11/10	Away	Utah	234.5	120-113	Under	-1.5
11/14	Home	Sacramento	240.5	124-110	Under	-6.5
11/15	Home	Denver	236.5	112-123	Under	-1.5
11/17	Home	Dallas	232.5	120-96	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Washington	239.5	120-109	Under	-10.5
11/21	Away	Phoenix	230.5	113-114	Under	-3.5
11/24	Away	Sacramento	238.5	112-117	Under	-9.5
11/26	Away	Okla City	226.5	105-113	Under	-8.5
11/29	Home	Boston	228.5	119-115	Over	+5.5
11/30	Home	San Antonio	233.5	125-112	Over	+3.5
12/02	Away	New Orleans	229.5	149-142	Over	+61.5
12/04	Away	New Orleans	233.5	125-116	Over	+7.5
12/06	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-106	Under	-13.5
12/08	Home	Phoenix	226.5	105-108	Under	-13.5
12/12	Away	Golden State	227.5	127-120	Over	+19.5
12/14	Home	Sacramento	235.5	117-103	Under	-15.5
12/17	Home	Memphis	227.5	110-116	Under	-1.5
12/19	Home	Okla City	232.5	112-107	Under	-13.5
12/21	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	103-100	Under	-23.5
12/23	Home	New York	229.5	115-104	Under	-10.5
12/25	Away	Denver	238.5	138-142	Over	+41.5
12/27	Home	Brooklyn	223.5	107-123	Over	+6.5
12/29	Away	Chicago	243.5	136-101	Under	-6.5
12/31	Away	Atlanta	239.5	102-126	Under	-11.5
01/03	Away	Miami	235.5	125-115	Over	+4.5
01/04	Away	Washington	239.5	141-115	Over	+16.5
01/06	Home	Miami	238.5	122-94	Under	-22.5
01/08	Home	Cleveland	239.5	131-122	Over	+13.5
01/10	Away	Cleveland	240.5	134-146	Over	+39.5
01/11	Home	San Antonio	232.5	104-103	Under	-25.5
01/13	Away	Milwaukee	229.5	139-106	Over	+15.5
01/16	Away	Houston	221.5	105-110	Under	-6.5
01/17	Away	San Antonio	234.5	123-126	Over	+14.5
01/20	Away	Utah	238.5	122-127	Over	+10.5
01/22	Home	Chicago	239.5	115-120	Under	-4.5
01/25	Home	Golden State	237.5	85-111	Under	-41.5
01/26	Home	Golden State	226.5	108-83	Under	-35.5
01/28	Away	Dallas	228.5	118-105	Under	-5.5
01/29	Home	Okla City	227.5	123-111	Over	+6.5
01/31	Away	Memphis	229.5	131-114	Over	+15.5
02/02	Away	Memphis	232.5	128-137	Over	+32.5
02/04	Away	Toronto	228.5	128-126	Over	+25.5
02/06	Home	New Orleans	237.5	115-119	Under	-3.5
02/08	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	96-115	Under	-11.5
02/09	Home	Atlanta	238.5	138-116	Over	+15.5
02/11	Home	Portland	234.5	133-109	Over	+7.5
02/20	Home	Dallas	239.5	122-111	Under	-6.5
02/22	Home	Philadelphia	239.5	108-135	Over	+3.5
02/24	Away	Portland	234.5	124-121	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	94-88	Under	-38.5
03/01	Away	Denver	241.5	117-108	Under	-16.5
03/03	Home	Memphis	237.5	117-110	Under	-10.5
03/05	Home	Toronto	226.5	115-107	Under	-4.5
03/07	Home	Orlando	224.5	92-119	Under	-13.5
03/10	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
03/11	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	128-153	Over	+55.5
03/13	Away	Golden State	224.5	127-117	Over	+19.5
03/15	Away	Okla City	228.5	103-116	Under	-9.5
03/17	Home	Phoenix	220.5	116-104	Under	-0.5
03/18	Home	Utah	231.5	147-111	Over	+26.5
03/20	Home	Portland	231.5	104-108	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Boston	222.5	102-92	Under	-28.5
03/25	Home	Houston	223.5	110-108	Under	-5.5
03/28	Home	Detroit	222.5	87-109	Under	-26.5
03/30	Away	Dallas	236.5	124-94	Under	-18.5
04/02	Away	Detroit	224.5	108-113	Under	-3.5
04/03	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	103-115	Under	-16.5
04/05	Home	Charlotte	225.5	108-122	Over	+4.5
04/07	Away	Indiana	233.5	124-104	Under	-5.5
04/08	Away	Orlando	232.5	120-132	Over	+19.5
04/10	Away	Houston	227.5	136-132	Over	+40.5
04/12	Home	New Orleans	238.5	132-126	Over	+19.5
04/18	Away	Denver	233.5	105-116	Under	-12.5
04/20	Away	Denver	233.5	119-114	Under	-0.5
04/23	Home	Denver	232.5	113-96	Under	-23.5
04/25	Home	Denver	228.5	112-96	Under	-20.5
04/27	Away	Denver	225.5	113-125	Over	+12.5
04/30	Home	Denver	223.5	110-98	Under	-15.5
05/04	Away	San Antonio	218.5	104-102	Under	-12.5
05/06	Away	San Antonio	217.5	95-133	Over	+10.5
05/08	Home	San Antonio	216.5	108-115	Over	+6.5
05/10	Home	San Antonio	218.5	114-109	Over	+4.5
05/12	Away	San Antonio	218.5	97-126	Over	+4.5
05/15	Home	San Antonio	218.5	109-139	Over	+29.5