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Miami at New Orleans: Recap

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: New Orleans by 1.5, Total Points: 233.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 50.5%
NO 49.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +1.5 MIA 52.8%
NO 47.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 233.5 Over 48.6%
Under 51.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +100 MIA +0.5%
NO -5.1%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 116.8 116.0 123
NO 116.1 117.5 111

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA NO
Points/Game 120.9 115.5
Avg Score Margin +2.3 -4.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 17.0
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 57.7
Assists/Game 29.0 25.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 53.0
Effective FG % 54.2% 52.7%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 27.0%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.284
Turnover % 11.4% 12.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA NO
Opp Points/Game 118.6 120.0
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 55.5%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 53.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 12.2
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 31.7
Blocks/Game 4.3 5.2
Steals/Game 8.6 8.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 19.9