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Portland at Charlotte: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 1:00 pm - Charlotte, NC
Odds: Charlotte by 6.5, Total Points: 229.5

Matchup Menu: POR @ CHA

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 230.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 229.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Under 229.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	POR	CHA
Season	44-44-0	32-52-0
vs Division	12-4-0	10-8-0
vs Conference	32-26-0	21-33-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 1
Last 5	1-4-0	1-4-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	26-17-0	15-27-0
Away	18-27-0	17-25-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Portland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Minnesota	222.0	114-118	Over	+10.0
10/24	Home	Golden State	228.5	139-119	Over	+29.5
10/26	Away	LA Clippers	225.0	107-114	Under	-4.0
10/27	Away	LA Lakers	227.5	122-108	Over	+2.5
10/29	Away	Utah	235.5	136-134	Over	+34.5
10/31	Home	Denver	239.5	109-107	Under	-23.5
11/03	Home	LA Lakers	228.0	115-123	Over	+10.0
11/05	Home	Okla City	231.5	121-119	Over	+8.5
11/08	Away	Miami	241.5	131-136	Over	+25.5
11/10	Away	Orlando	235.5	112-115	Under	-8.5
11/12	Away	New Orleans	231.5	125-117	Over	+10.5
11/14	Away	Houston	236.5	116-140	Over	+19.5
11/16	Away	Dallas	236.5	133-138	Over	+34.5
11/18	Home	Phoenix	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
11/19	Home	Chicago	244.5	121-122	Under	-1.5
11/21	Away	Golden State	236.5	127-123	Over	+13.5
11/23	Away	Okla City	234.5	95-122	Under	-17.5
11/24	Away	Milwaukee	230.5	115-103	Under	-12.5
11/26	Home	San Antonio	239.5	102-115	Under	-22.5
11/30	Home	Okla City	233.5	115-123	Over	+4.5
12/02	Away	Toronto	230.5	118-121	Over	+8.5
12/03	Away	Cleveland	243.5	122-110	Under	-11.5
12/05	Away	Detroit	236.5	116-122	Over	+1.5
12/07	Away	Memphis	232.5	96-119	Under	-17.5
12/11	Away	New Orleans	241.5	120-143	Over	+21.5
12/14	Home	Golden State	237.5	136-131	Over	+29.5
12/18	Home	Sacramento	239.5	134-133	Over	+27.5
12/20	Away	Sacramento	235.5	98-93	Under	-44.5
12/22	Home	Detroit	234.5	102-110	Under	-22.5
12/23	Home	Orlando	231.5	106-110	Under	-15.5
12/26	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	103-119	Under	-5.5
12/28	Home	Boston	231.5	114-108	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Dallas	232.5	125-122	Over	+14.5
12/31	Away	Okla City	232.5	95-124	Under	-13.5
01/02	Away	New Orleans	240.5	122-109	Under	-9.5
01/03	Away	San Antonio	235.5	115-110	Under	-10.5
01/05	Home	Utah	242.5	137-117	Over	+11.5
01/07	Home	Houston	222.5	103-102	Under	-17.5
01/09	Home	Houston	222.5	111-105	Under	-6.5
01/11	Home	New York	229.5	114-123	Over	+7.5
01/13	Away	Golden State	225.5	97-119	Under	-9.5
01/15	Home	Atlanta	228.5	117-101	Under	-10.5
01/17	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	132-116	Over	+24.5
01/18	Away	Sacramento	229.5	117-110	Under	-2.5
01/22	Home	Miami	235.5	127-110	Over	+1.5
01/23	Home	Toronto	224.5	98-110	Under	-16.5
01/26	Away	Boston	222.5	94-102	Under	-26.5
01/27	Away	Washington	233.5	111-115	Under	-7.5
01/30	Away	New York	224.5	97-127	Under	-0.5
02/01	Home	Cleveland	227.5	111-130	Over	+13.5
02/03	Home	Phoenix	219.5	125-130	Over	+35.5
02/06	Home	Memphis	235.5	135-115	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Memphis	229.5	122-115	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	Philadelphia	231.5	135-118	Over	+21.5
02/11	Away	Minnesota	234.5	109-133	Over	+7.5
02/12	Away	Utah	236.5	135-119	Over	+17.5
02/20	Home	Denver	241.5	103-157	Over	+18.5
02/22	Away	Phoenix	224.5	92-77	Under	-55.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	234.5	121-124	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	Chicago	234.5	121-112	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Charlotte	229.5	93-109	Under	-27.5
03/01	Away	Atlanta	235.5	101-135	Over	+0.5
03/04	Away	Memphis	231.5	122-114	Over	+4.5
03/06	Away	Houston	221.5	99-106	Under	-16.5
03/08	Home	Indiana	238.5	131-111	Over	+3.5
03/10	Home	Charlotte	227.5	101-103	Under	-23.5
03/13	Home	Utah	235.5	124-114	Over	+2.5
03/15	Away	Philadelphia	228.5	103-109	Under	-16.5
03/16	Away	Brooklyn	221.5	114-95	Under	-12.5
03/18	Away	Indiana	232.5	127-119	Over	+13.5
03/20	Away	Minnesota	231.5	108-104	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Denver	237.5	112-128	Over	+2.5
03/23	Home	Brooklyn	217.5	134-99	Over	+15.5
03/25	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	130-99	Over	+2.5
03/27	Home	Dallas	239.5	93-100	Under	-46.5
03/29	Home	Washington	236.5	123-88	Under	-25.5
03/31	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	114-104	Under	-7.5
04/02	Home	New Orleans	233.5	118-106	Under	-9.5
04/06	Away	Denver	236.5	132-137	Over	+32.5
04/08	Away	San Antonio	229.5	101-112	Under	-16.5
04/10	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	116-97	Under	-14.5
04/12	Home	Sacramento	226.5	122-110	Over	+5.5
04/14	Away	Phoenix	215.5	114-110	Over	+8.5
04/19	Away	San Antonio	222.5	98-111	Under	-13.5
04/21	Away	San Antonio	221.5	106-103	Under	-12.5
04/24	Home	San Antonio	220.5	108-120	Over	+7.5
04/26	Home	San Antonio	216.5	93-114	Under	-9.5
04/28	Away	San Antonio	218.5	95-114	Under	-9.5

Charlotte Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Brooklyn	228.0	136-117	Over	+25.0
10/25	Away	Philadelphia	237.0	121-125	Over	+9.0
10/26	Away	Washington	240.0	139-113	Over	+12.0
10/28	Away	Miami	241.5	117-144	Over	+19.5
10/30	Home	Orlando	239.0	107-123	Under	-9.0
11/01	Home	Minnesota	235.0	105-122	Under	-8.0
11/02	Home	Utah	232.5	126-103	Under	-3.5
11/04	Away	New Orleans	229.5	112-116	Under	-1.5
11/07	Away	Miami	235.5	108-126	Under	-1.5
11/10	Home	LA Lakers	230.5	111-121	Over	+1.5
11/12	Home	Milwaukee	228.5	111-100	Under	-17.5
11/14	Away	Milwaukee	237.5	134-147	Over	+43.5
11/15	Home	Okla City	224.5	96-109	Under	-19.5
11/17	Away	Toronto	240.5	108-110	Under	-22.5
11/19	Away	Indiana	238.5	118-127	Over	+6.5
11/22	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	116-131	Over	+19.5
11/23	Away	Atlanta	232.5	110-113	Under	-9.5
11/26	Home	New York	242.5	101-129	Under	-12.5
11/28	Home	Chicago	249.5	123-116	Under	-10.5
11/29	Home	Toronto	233.5	118-111	Under	-4.5
12/01	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	103-116	Under	-9.5
12/03	Away	New York	235.5	104-119	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Toronto	230.5	111-86	Under	-33.5
12/07	Home	Denver	235.5	106-115	Under	-14.5
12/12	Home	Chicago	229.5	126-129	Over	+25.5
12/14	Away	Cleveland	232.5	119-111	Under	-2.5
12/18	Home	Atlanta	240.5	133-126	Over	+18.5
12/20	Away	Detroit	235.5	86-112	Under	-37.5
12/22	Away	Cleveland	239.5	132-139	Over	+31.5
12/23	Home	Washington	239.5	126-109	Under	-4.5
12/26	Away	Orlando	228.5	120-105	Under	-3.5
12/29	Home	Milwaukee	227.5	113-123	Over	+8.5
12/31	Home	Golden State	235.5	125-132	Over	+21.5
01/02	Away	Milwaukee	233.5	121-122	Over	+9.5
01/03	Away	Chicago	240.5	112-99	Under	-29.5
01/05	Away	Okla City	235.5	124-97	Under	-14.5
01/07	Home	Toronto	229.5	96-97	Under	-36.5
01/08	Home	Indiana	232.5	112-114	Under	-6.5
01/10	Away	Utah	241.5	150-95	Over	+3.5
01/12	Away	LA Clippers	221.5	109-117	Over	+4.5
01/15	Away	LA Lakers	234.5	135-117	Over	+17.5
01/17	Away	Golden State	236.5	116-136	Over	+15.5
01/18	Away	Denver	226.5	110-87	Under	-29.5
01/21	Home	Cleveland	237.5	87-94	Under	-56.5
01/22	Away	Orlando	223.5	124-97	Under	-2.5
01/24	Home	Washington	232.5	119-115	Over	+1.5
01/26	Home	Philadelphia	229.5	130-93	Under	-6.5
01/28	Away	Memphis	230.5	112-97	Under	-21.5
01/29	Away	Dallas	226.5	123-121	Over	+17.5
01/31	Home	San Antonio	228.5	111-106	Under	-11.5
02/02	Home	New Orleans	230.5	102-95	Under	-33.5
02/05	Away	Houston	218.5	109-99	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Atlanta	234.5	126-119	Over	+10.5
02/09	Home	Detroit	222.5	104-110	Under	-8.5
02/11	Home	Atlanta	234.5	110-107	Under	-17.5
02/19	Home	Houston	218.5	101-105	Under	-12.5
02/20	Home	Cleveland	228.5	113-118	Over	+2.5
02/22	Away	Washington	224.5	129-112	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Chicago	231.5	131-99	Under	-1.5
02/26	Away	Indiana	229.5	133-109	Over	+12.5
02/28	Home	Portland	229.5	109-93	Under	-27.5
03/03	Home	Dallas	226.5	117-90	Under	-19.5
03/04	Away	Boston	215.5	118-89	Under	-8.5
03/06	Home	Miami	230.5	120-128	Over	+17.5
03/08	Away	Phoenix	218.5	99-111	Under	-8.5
03/10	Away	Portland	227.5	103-101	Under	-23.5
03/11	Away	Sacramento	224.5	117-109	Over	+1.5
03/14	Away	San Antonio	232.5	102-115	Under	-15.5
03/17	Home	Miami	236.5	136-106	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	Orlando	226.5	130-111	Over	+14.5
03/21	Home	Memphis	232.5	124-101	Under	-7.5
03/24	Home	Sacramento	233.5	134-90	Under	-9.5
03/26	Home	New York	224.5	114-103	Under	-7.5
03/28	Home	Philadelphia	232.5	114-118	Under	-0.5
03/29	Home	Boston	216.5	99-114	Under	-3.5
03/31	Away	Brooklyn	219.5	117-86	Under	-16.5
04/02	Home	Phoenix	225.5	127-107	Over	+8.5
04/03	Home	Indiana	233.5	129-108	Over	+3.5
04/05	Away	Minnesota	225.5	122-108	Over	+4.5
04/07	Away	Boston	221.5	102-113	Under	-6.5
04/10	Home	Detroit	225.5	100-118	Under	-7.5
04/12	Away	New York	217.5	110-96	Under	-11.5
04/14	Home	Miami	228.5	127-126	Over	+24.5
04/17	Away	Orlando	218.5	90-121	Under	-7.5