This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NBA season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NBA section, register for a free account.

Minnesota at Washington: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Jan 4, 2026 6:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Minnesota by 10.5, Total Points: 239.5

Matchup Menu: MIN @ WAS

More Games From Jan 4, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 240.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 240.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 240.5	Similar Games	64% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIN	WAS
Season	43-51-0	47-35-0
vs Division	10-12-0	10-6-0
vs Conference	29-35-0	33-19-0
Streak	Ov 5	Ov 2
Last 5	5-0-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	17-30-0	23-18-0
Away	26-21-0	24-17-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Portland	222.0	118-114	Over	+10.0
10/24	Away	LA Lakers	226.0	110-128	Over	+12.0
10/26	Home	Indiana	228.5	114-110	Under	-4.5
10/27	Home	Denver	229.5	114-127	Over	+11.5
10/29	Home	LA Lakers	224.5	115-116	Over	+6.5
11/01	Away	Charlotte	235.0	122-105	Under	-8.0
11/03	Away	Brooklyn	226.0	125-109	Over	+8.0
11/05	Away	New York	228.5	114-137	Over	+22.5
11/07	Home	Utah	233.5	137-97	Over	+0.5
11/09	Away	Sacramento	238.5	144-117	Over	+22.5
11/10	Away	Utah	234.5	120-113	Under	-1.5
11/14	Home	Sacramento	240.5	124-110	Under	-6.5
11/15	Home	Denver	236.5	112-123	Under	-1.5
11/17	Home	Dallas	232.5	120-96	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Washington	239.5	120-109	Under	-10.5
11/21	Away	Phoenix	230.5	113-114	Under	-3.5
11/24	Away	Sacramento	238.5	112-117	Under	-9.5
11/26	Away	Okla City	226.5	105-113	Under	-8.5
11/29	Home	Boston	228.5	119-115	Over	+5.5
11/30	Home	San Antonio	233.5	125-112	Over	+3.5
12/02	Away	New Orleans	229.5	149-142	Over	+61.5
12/04	Away	New Orleans	233.5	125-116	Over	+7.5
12/06	Home	LA Clippers	228.5	109-106	Under	-13.5
12/08	Home	Phoenix	226.5	105-108	Under	-13.5
12/12	Away	Golden State	227.5	127-120	Over	+19.5
12/14	Home	Sacramento	235.5	117-103	Under	-15.5
12/17	Home	Memphis	227.5	110-116	Under	-1.5
12/19	Home	Okla City	232.5	112-107	Under	-13.5
12/21	Home	Milwaukee	226.5	103-100	Under	-23.5
12/23	Home	New York	229.5	115-104	Under	-10.5
12/25	Away	Denver	238.5	138-142	Over	+41.5
12/27	Home	Brooklyn	223.5	107-123	Over	+6.5
12/29	Away	Chicago	243.5	136-101	Under	-6.5
12/31	Away	Atlanta	239.5	102-126	Under	-11.5
01/03	Away	Miami	235.5	125-115	Over	+4.5
01/04	Away	Washington	239.5	141-115	Over	+16.5
01/06	Home	Miami	238.5	122-94	Under	-22.5
01/08	Home	Cleveland	239.5	131-122	Over	+13.5
01/10	Away	Cleveland	240.5	134-146	Over	+39.5
01/11	Home	San Antonio	232.5	104-103	Under	-25.5
01/13	Away	Milwaukee	229.5	139-106	Over	+15.5
01/16	Away	Houston	221.5	105-110	Under	-6.5
01/17	Away	San Antonio	234.5	123-126	Over	+14.5
01/20	Away	Utah	238.5	122-127	Over	+10.5
01/22	Home	Chicago	239.5	115-120	Under	-4.5
01/25	Home	Golden State	237.5	85-111	Under	-41.5
01/26	Home	Golden State	226.5	108-83	Under	-35.5
01/28	Away	Dallas	228.5	118-105	Under	-5.5
01/29	Home	Okla City	227.5	123-111	Over	+6.5
01/31	Away	Memphis	229.5	131-114	Over	+15.5
02/02	Away	Memphis	232.5	128-137	Over	+32.5
02/04	Away	Toronto	228.5	128-126	Over	+25.5
02/06	Home	New Orleans	237.5	115-119	Under	-3.5
02/08	Home	LA Clippers	222.5	96-115	Under	-11.5
02/09	Home	Atlanta	238.5	138-116	Over	+15.5
02/11	Home	Portland	234.5	133-109	Over	+7.5
02/20	Home	Dallas	239.5	122-111	Under	-6.5
02/22	Home	Philadelphia	239.5	108-135	Over	+3.5
02/24	Away	Portland	234.5	124-121	Over	+10.5
02/26	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	94-88	Under	-38.5
03/01	Away	Denver	241.5	117-108	Under	-16.5
03/03	Home	Memphis	237.5	117-110	Under	-10.5
03/05	Home	Toronto	226.5	115-107	Under	-4.5
03/07	Home	Orlando	224.5	92-119	Under	-13.5
03/10	Away	LA Lakers	229.5	106-120	Under	-3.5
03/11	Away	LA Clippers	225.5	128-153	Over	+55.5
03/13	Away	Golden State	224.5	127-117	Over	+19.5
03/15	Away	Okla City	228.5	103-116	Under	-9.5
03/17	Home	Phoenix	220.5	116-104	Under	-0.5
03/18	Home	Utah	231.5	147-111	Over	+26.5
03/20	Home	Portland	231.5	104-108	Under	-19.5
03/22	Away	Boston	222.5	102-92	Under	-28.5
03/25	Home	Houston	223.5	110-108	Under	-5.5
03/28	Home	Detroit	222.5	87-109	Under	-26.5
03/30	Away	Dallas	236.5	124-94	Under	-18.5
04/02	Away	Detroit	224.5	108-113	Under	-3.5
04/03	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	103-115	Under	-16.5
04/05	Home	Charlotte	225.5	108-122	Over	+4.5
04/07	Away	Indiana	233.5	124-104	Under	-5.5
04/08	Away	Orlando	232.5	120-132	Over	+19.5
04/10	Away	Houston	227.5	136-132	Over	+40.5
04/12	Home	New Orleans	238.5	132-126	Over	+19.5
04/18	Away	Denver	233.5	105-116	Under	-12.5
04/20	Away	Denver	233.5	119-114	Under	-0.5
04/23	Home	Denver	232.5	113-96	Under	-23.5
04/25	Home	Denver	228.5	112-96	Under	-20.5
04/27	Away	Denver	225.5	113-125	Over	+12.5
04/30	Home	Denver	223.5	110-98	Under	-15.5
05/04	Away	San Antonio	218.5	104-102	Under	-12.5
05/06	Away	San Antonio	217.5	95-133	Over	+10.5
05/08	Home	San Antonio	216.5	108-115	Over	+6.5
05/10	Home	San Antonio	218.5	114-109	Over	+4.5
05/12	Away	San Antonio	218.5	97-126	Over	+4.5
05/15	Home	San Antonio	218.5	109-139	Over	+29.5

Washington Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Milwaukee	228.0	120-133	Over	+25.0
10/24	Away	Dallas	228.5	117-107	Under	-4.5
10/26	Home	Charlotte	240.0	113-139	Over	+12.0
10/28	Home	Philadelphia	238.5	134-139	Over	+34.5
10/30	Away	Okla City	231.5	108-127	Over	+3.5
11/01	Home	Orlando	234.5	94-125	Under	-15.5
11/03	Away	New York	234.0	102-119	Under	-13.0
11/05	Away	Boston	232.5	107-136	Over	+10.5
11/07	Home	Cleveland	240.5	115-148	Over	+22.5
11/08	Home	Dallas	234.5	105-111	Under	-18.5
11/10	Away	Detroit	236.5	135-137	Over	+35.5
11/12	Away	Houston	236.5	112-135	Over	+10.5
11/16	Home	Brooklyn	231.5	106-129	Over	+3.5
11/19	Away	Minnesota	239.5	109-120	Under	-10.5
11/21	Away	Toronto	238.5	110-140	Over	+11.5
11/22	Away	Chicago	245.5	120-121	Under	-4.5
11/25	Home	Atlanta	239.5	132-113	Over	+5.5
11/28	Away	Indiana	239.5	86-119	Under	-34.5
12/01	Home	Milwaukee	232.5	129-126	Over	+22.5
12/02	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	102-121	Under	-11.5
12/04	Home	Boston	231.5	101-146	Over	+15.5
12/06	Home	Atlanta	237.5	116-131	Over	+9.5
12/12	Home	Cleveland	245.5	126-130	Over	+10.5
12/14	Away	Indiana	233.5	108-89	Under	-36.5
12/18	Away	San Antonio	241.5	94-119	Under	-28.5
12/20	Away	Memphis	233.5	130-122	Over	+18.5
12/21	Home	San Antonio	237.5	113-124	Under	-0.5
12/23	Away	Charlotte	239.5	109-126	Under	-4.5
12/26	Home	Toronto	225.5	138-117	Over	+29.5
12/28	Home	Memphis	241.5	116-112	Under	-13.5
12/29	Home	Phoenix	233.5	101-115	Under	-17.5
12/31	Away	Milwaukee	234.5	114-113	Under	-7.5
01/02	Home	Brooklyn	224.5	119-99	Under	-6.5
01/04	Home	Minnesota	239.5	115-141	Over	+16.5
01/06	Home	Orlando	235.5	120-112	Under	-3.5
01/07	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	110-131	Over	+6.5
01/09	Home	New Orleans	243.5	107-128	Under	-8.5
01/11	Away	Phoenix	229.5	93-112	Under	-24.5
01/14	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	105-119	Under	-2.5
01/16	Away	Sacramento	235.5	115-128	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Denver	227.5	115-121	Over	+8.5
01/19	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	106-110	Under	-11.5
01/22	Home	Denver	227.5	97-107	Under	-23.5
01/24	Away	Charlotte	232.5	115-119	Over	+1.5
01/27	Home	Portland	233.5	115-111	Under	-7.5
01/29	Home	Milwaukee	223.5	109-99	Under	-15.5
01/30	Home	LA Lakers	229.5	111-142	Over	+23.5
02/01	Home	Sacramento	227.5	116-112	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	New York	227.5	101-132	Over	+5.5
02/05	Away	Detroit	227.5	126-117	Over	+15.5
02/07	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	113-127	Over	+23.5
02/08	Home	Miami	236.5	101-132	Under	-3.5
02/11	Away	Cleveland	239.5	113-138	Over	+11.5
02/19	Home	Indiana	233.5	112-105	Under	-16.5
02/20	Home	Indiana	230.5	131-118	Over	+18.5
02/22	Home	Charlotte	224.5	112-129	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Atlanta	236.5	98-119	Under	-19.5
02/26	Away	Atlanta	235.5	96-126	Under	-13.5
02/28	Home	Toronto	229.5	125-134	Over	+29.5
03/02	Home	Houston	225.5	118-123	Over	+15.5
03/03	Away	Orlando	227.5	109-126	Over	+7.5
03/05	Home	Utah	240.5	112-122	Under	-6.5
03/08	Away	New Orleans	244.5	118-138	Over	+11.5
03/10	Away	Miami	235.5	129-150	Over	+43.5
03/12	Away	Orlando	236.5	131-136	Over	+30.5
03/14	Away	Boston	233.5	100-111	Under	-22.5
03/16	Home	Golden State	234.5	117-125	Over	+7.5
03/17	Home	Detroit	234.5	117-130	Over	+12.5
03/19	Home	Detroit	231.5	95-117	Under	-19.5
03/21	Home	Okla City	231.5	111-132	Over	+11.5
03/22	Away	New York	229.5	113-145	Over	+28.5
03/25	Away	Utah	239.5	133-110	Over	+3.5
03/27	Away	Golden State	230.5	126-131	Over	+26.5
03/29	Away	Portland	236.5	88-123	Under	-25.5
03/30	Away	LA Lakers	236.5	101-120	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Philadelphia	238.5	131-153	Over	+45.5
04/04	Away	Miami	245.5	136-152	Over	+42.5
04/05	Away	Brooklyn	230.5	115-121	Over	+5.5
04/07	Home	Chicago	250.5	98-129	Under	-23.5
04/09	Home	Chicago	249.5	108-119	Under	-22.5
04/10	Home	Miami	244.5	117-140	Over	+12.5
04/12	Away	Cleveland	234.5	117-130	Over	+12.5