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New Orleans at Miami: Recap

Sunday Jan 4, 2026 6:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 7.5, Total Points: 246.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami NO 25.2%
MIA 74.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -7.5 NO 48.8%
MIA 51.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 247.5 Over 48.8%
Under 51.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off NO -4.2%
MIA -0.2%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
NO 119.4 120.0 106
MIA 127.1 127.5 125

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO MIA
Points/Game 115.5 120.9
Avg Score Margin -4.5 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 17.0 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 57.7 54.7
Assists/Game 25.1 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 53.0 55.0
Effective FG % 52.7% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 27.0% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.284 0.266
Turnover % 12.1% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO MIA
Opp Points/Game 120.0 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 55.5% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 53.1 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.2 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.7 34.5
Blocks/Game 5.2 4.3
Steals/Game 8.9 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.9 18.7